Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur Prediction

Fortuna Sittard
3-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Cambuur
Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard·Martin Van den Kerkhof, Netherlands 15/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.63
SignalGOODModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+11.7%
Fortuna Sittard Rest
7 days
Cambuur Rest
8 days

Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur: the result in context

Fortuna Sittard beat Cambuur 3-1 in the Eredivisie on 15 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3. Referee Martin Van den Kerkhof averages 2.65 cards a game, 0.57 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.65
X
24%4.20
2
24%4.60
Double Chance
1X
76%1.20
X2
48%2.19
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.50
No
42%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.66 + 1.22 = 2.88
Over 1.5
83%1.14
Over 2.5
58%1.47
Over 3.5
32%2.23
Under 1.5
17%5.33
Under 2.5
42%2.55
Under 3.5
68%1.63
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.9 = 10
Over 8.5
64%1.33
Over 9.5
53%1.59
Over 10.5
43%1.99
Under 8.5
36%2.95
Under 9.5
47%2.21
Under 10.5
57%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 1.8 = 3.1
Over 3.5
32%1.94
Over 4.5
9%2.55
Under 3.5
68%1.78
Under 4.5
91%1.43

Match Events

6'P. BrittijnAssist: M. Ihattaren
15'L. ZeefuikAssist: J. Dahlhaus
22'R. El ArguiouiAssist: N. Souren
46'S. Wylin INE. Michut out
46'M. Costarelli INW. Kooistra out
50'Lucas JettenFoul
64'Nicky SourenFoul
72'J. Dahlhaus INN. de Groot out
72'M. Ihattaren INS. Zand out
72'O. Romeny INA. Descotte out
76'I. Henstra INF. Kvam out
76'S. Vink INN. Binder out
82'J. Amofa INW. van der Goot out
88'I. Hamache INR. Mulders out
90'L. Zeefuik INM. Gbemou out
90'S. ZandAssist: I. Pinto

Lineups

Fortuna Sittard
3-4-2-1Coach: Danny Buijs
Cambuur
4-3-3Coach: Johan Plat
Avg rating7.23
Avg rating6.76
M. Branderhorst9.031M. Branderhorst
I. PintoC7.212I. Pinto
S. van Ottele7.36S. van Ottele
J. Hubner6.328J. Hubner
S. Wylin6.32S. Wylin
P. Brittijn7.723P. Brittijn
Y. Oukili7.35Y. Oukili
J. Dahlhaus7.08J. Dahlhaus
M. Ihattaren7.352M. Ihattaren
O. Romeny6.910O. Romeny
L. Zeefuik8.025L. Zeefuik
T. Jansen6.61T. Jansen
M. Costarelli6.028M. Costarelli
I. Baouf7.64I. Baouf
J. AmofaC7.06J. Amofa
L. Jetten6.923L. Jetten
R. El Arguioui8.310R. El Arguioui
S. Vink6.29S. Vink
N. Souren7.38N. Souren
I. Henstra7.029I. Henstra
S. Bouhoudane6.07S. Bouhoudane
I. Hamache7.011I. Hamache

Fortuna Sittard Substitutes

33Kaylen
1L. Koopmans
15N. de Groot72'for J. Dahlhaus7.0
35K. van Burgsteden
20E. Michut46'for S. Wylin7.2
22S. Zand72'for M. Ihattaren90'7.7
38M. Gbemou90'for L. Zeefuik
39G. Buyukhan
9A. Descotte72'for O. Romeny6.3

Cambuur Substitutes

21J. Meijster
24M. Kalisvaart
14R. van de Pavert
33B. Vogelzang
16R. Mulders88'for I. Hamache6.3
3J. Berkhout
15F. Kvam76'for I. Henstra6.3
18W. van der Heide
17E. Apkakou
40W. van der Goot82'for J. Amofa6.2
13N. Binder76'for S. Vink6.5
27W. Kooistra46'for M. Costarelli6.9

Match Stats

Fortuna SittardCambuur
36%Ball Possession64%
6Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots19
7Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal7
11Shots Inside Box16
6Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots5
10Fouls9
3Offsides1
6Goalkeeper Saves4
289Total Passes511
204Passes Accurate443
71%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
CambuurCambuur
1675Elo Rating 1655
1.46Attack 2.61
1.91Defense 2.24
37%Hit Rate 66%
11.0Shots per Game 13.4
4.3Shots on Target 6.5
4.7Corners per Game 3.8
1.5Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)
CambuurCambuur
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 1.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard2Wins · 50%
Draws00%
CambuurCambuur2Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

Eredivisie29/01/2023
CambuurFortuna Sittard
12
Eredivisie20/08/2022
Fortuna SittardCambuur
14
Eredivisie26/02/2022
CambuurFortuna Sittard
21
Eredivisie16/10/2021
Fortuna SittardCambuur
10

Recent Form

Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
4W1D5L
08/08/2026
PSV EindhovenFortuna Sittard
22
D
31/07/2026
Fortuna SittardApoel Nicosia
21
W
25/07/2026
MetzFortuna Sittard
31
L
17/07/2026
Olympiakos PiraeusFortuna Sittard
31
L
11/07/2026
Fortuna SittardGenk
21
W
03/07/2026
Fortuna SittardK. Lierse S.K.
10
W
17/05/2026
UtrechtFortuna Sittard
20
L
10/05/2026
Fortuna SittardPEC Zwolle
32
W
03/05/2026
Fortuna SittardFeyenoord
12
L
25/04/2026
HeerenveenFortuna Sittard
21
L
CambuurCambuur
3W2D5L
07/08/2026
CambuurExcelsior
04
L
01/08/2026
BolognaCambuur
31
L
28/07/2026
CambuurVolos NFC
12
L
24/07/2026
CambuurUtrecht
10
W
10/07/2026
CambuurRoda
21
W
04/07/2026
ExcelsiorCambuur
32
L
24/04/2026
CambuurVitesse
21
W
17/04/2026
De GraafschapCambuur
31
L
10/04/2026
Den BoschCambuur
11
D
06/04/2026
CambuurDordrecht
11
D

Referee Profile

Martin Van den Kerkhof170 matches

2.65Cards per match
2.52Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
19.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Martin Van den Kerkhof2.65
Other referees3.22

2.65 cards a match, 0.57 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.22).

Cards come from 168 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1174033:12+2125DDWWW
2AjaxAjax1173130:13+1724WWWDD
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1172235:13+2223WDLWL
4TwenteTwente1172228:10+1823WWLDW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1162320:13+720LLDLW
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1154218:18019DWDDW
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1153319:13+618WWWLW
8GroningenGroningen1143426:24+215LDLWW
9CambuurCambuur1143423:22+115WWDWD
10GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1135323:27-414LWLDD
11Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1133520:26-612WLWDL
12UtrechtUtrecht1133519:31-1212LDWWL
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1125417:19-211LDDDD
14PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1132612:23-1111WDWLL
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1132616:28-1211LLLLD
16TelstarTelstar1123616:23-79WLLDL
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1113713:24-116LLWDD
18Willem IIWillem II1102910:39-292LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1133:1225
2AjaxAjax1130:1324
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1135:1323
4TwenteTwente1128:1023
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1120:1320
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1118:1819
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1119:1318
8GroningenGroningen1126:2415
9CambuurCambuur1123:2215
10GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1123:2714
11Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1120:2612
12UtrechtUtrecht1119:3112
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1117:1911
14PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1112:2311
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1116:2811
16TelstarTelstar1116:239
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1113:246
18Willem IIWillem II1110:392
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About the Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur forecast

The forecasts for this Eredivisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fortuna Sittard and Cambuur in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, Fortuna Sittard are 6th and Cambuur 9th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Fortuna Sittard 18-18, Cambuur 23-22. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cambuur have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.