PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen Prediction

PSV Eindhoven
5-1
Finished
HT 3-1
Groningen
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven·Allard Lindhout, Netherlands 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.25
SignalHIGHModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-4.9%
PSV Eindhoven Rest
7 days
Groningen Rest
7 days

PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen: the result in context

PSV Eindhoven beat Groningen 5-1 in the Eredivisie on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

PSV Eindhoven have had the better of this fixture, winning 9 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
75%1.30
X
19%5.90
2
6%8.44
Double Chance
1X
94%1.08
X2
25%3.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.47
No
45%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.48 + 0.85 = 3.33
Over 1.5
88%1.06
Over 2.5
75%1.25
Over 3.5
50%1.66
Under 1.5
12%8.50
Under 2.5
25%3.75
Under 3.5
50%2.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.8 + 2.8 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.24
Over 9.5
49%1.47
Over 10.5
39%1.80
Under 8.5
40%3.44
Under 9.5
51%2.50
Under 10.5
61%1.93
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.1 + 1.8 = 3
Over 3.5
31%2.59
Over 4.5
6%-
Under 3.5
69%1.41
Under 4.5
94%-

Match Events

9'B. WillumssonAssist: T. van Bergen
11'T. BlokzijlOG
21'Ruben van BommelFoul
35'I. Perisic
45'Penalty confirmedGuus Til
45'R. Pepi(Penalty)
45+2'Márk CsingerFoul
46'J. Schreuders INM. Rente out
53'I. PerisicAssist: Mauro Junior
54' INN. Brandis out
56'S. DestAssist: R. van Bommel
67'B. Willumsson INE. van der Laan out
67'D. van der Werff INJ. Ondrejka out
68'N. Fernandez INP. Wanner out
68'R. van Bommel INA. Bouhamdi out
75'Mauro Junior INF. Kostic out
76'I. Perisic IND. Man out
85'A. Obispo INL. Geertruida out
85'T. de Jonge INT. Hernes out

Lineups

PSV Eindhoven
4-3-3Coach: Peter Bosz
Groningen
4-2-3-1Coach: Dick Lukkien
Avg rating7.36
Avg rating6.44
M. Kovar7.332M. Kovar
S. Dest8.28S. Dest
R. Flamingo7.06R. Flamingo
A. Obispo7.54A. Obispo
Mauro JuniorC7.217M. Junior
G. Til7.620G. Til
K. Sano7.524K. Sano
N. Fernandez6.931N. Fernandez
I. Perisic9.65I. Perisic
R. Pepi6.99R. Pepi
R. van Bommel8.67R. van Bommel
E. Vaessen9.01E. Vaessen
J. Schreuders5.614J. Schreuders
T. BlokzijlC5.23T. Blokzijl
M. Csinger5.34M. Csinger
W. Prins5.32W. Prins
T. de Jonge7.58T. de Jonge
T. Land6.018T. Land
D. van der Werff6.217D. van der Werff
T. van Bergen6.326T. van Bergen
P. Clement7.024P. Clement
B. Willumsson7.39B. Willumsson

PSV Eindhoven Substitutes

1N. Olij
41K. Ngom
25K. Sildillia
3Y. Gasiorowski
2L. Geertruida85'for A. Obispo6.9
10P. Wanner68'for N. Fernandez6.3
18F. Kostic75'for Mauro Junior7.2
21S. Mijnans
27D. Man76'for I. Perisic6.7
19E. Bajraktarevic
37A. Bouhamdi68'for R. van Bommel6.3

Groningen Substitutes

31R. Janse
13L. Stubljar
12N. Brandis54'
42J. Mosselaar
5M. Rente46'for J. Schreuders6.2
15E. van der Laan67'for B. Willumsson6.9
11J. Ondrejka67'for D. van der Werff6.5
44J. Dillema
16A. Nordin
7T. Hernes85'for T. de Jonge6.5
53J. Hall
19O. Zawada

Match Stats

PSV EindhovenGroningen
62%Ball Possession38%
9Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
24Total Shots7
12Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal1
19Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box0
3Blocked Shots2
10Fouls4
2Goalkeeper Saves7
568Total Passes354
522Passes Accurate286
92%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
GroningenGroningen
1886Elo Rating 1661
2.38Attack 1.96
1.98Defense 0.37
39%Hit Rate 14%
20.7Shots per Game 16.1
6.7Shots on Target 7.0
6.6Corners per Game 5.0
1.3Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+225 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.33 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GroningenGroningen
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.8 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven9Wins · 90%
Draws00%
GroningenGroningen1Wins · 10%
4.3Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Eredivisie08/02/2026
GroningenPSV Eindhoven
12
Eredivisie23/08/2025
PSV EindhovenGroningen
42
Eredivisie05/04/2025
GroningenPSV Eindhoven
13
Eredivisie23/11/2024
PSV EindhovenGroningen
50
Eredivisie11/02/2023
PSV EindhovenGroningen
60
Eredivisie23/10/2022
GroningenPSV Eindhoven
42
Eredivisie16/01/2022
GroningenPSV Eindhoven
01
Eredivisie28/08/2021
PSV EindhovenGroningen
52
Eredivisie24/04/2021
PSV EindhovenGroningen
10
Eredivisie13/09/2020
GroningenPSV Eindhoven
13

Recent Form

PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
5W3D2L
15/08/2026
ExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven
12
W
08/08/2026
PSV EindhovenFortuna Sittard
22
D
02/08/2026
PSV EindhovenAZ Alkmaar
04
L
28/07/2026
PSV EindhovenFC Eindhoven
30
W
25/07/2026
PSV EindhovenVillarreal
13
L
18/07/2026
PSV EindhovenUnion St. Gilloise
73
W
11/07/2026
PSV EindhovenRaków Częstochowa
22
D
17/05/2026
PSV EindhovenTwente
51
W
10/05/2026
GO Ahead EaglesPSV Eindhoven
14
W
02/05/2026
AjaxPSV Eindhoven
22
D
GroningenGroningen
5W1D4L
16/08/2026
ADO Den HaagGroningen
14
W
09/08/2026
GroningenUtrecht
21
W
01/08/2026
GroningenValladolid
10
W
25/07/2026
GroningenVolos NFC
00
D
24/07/2026
GroningenFC Volendam
04
L
18/07/2026
GroningenAEK Athens FC
12
L
11/07/2026
GroningenEmmen
32
W
08/07/2026
HeraclesGroningen
21
L
21/05/2026
AjaxGroningen
20
L
17/05/2026
HeraclesGroningen
12
W

Referee Profile

Allard Lindhout220 matches

3.24Cards per match
3.08Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
21.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Allard Lindhout3.24
Other referees3.38

3.24 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.38).

Cards come from 211 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1282240:15+2526WWDLW
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1274136:17+1925LDDWW
3AjaxAjax1274132:15+1725DWWWD
4TwenteTwente1273230:12+1824DWWLD
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1272324:16+823WLLDL
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1263324:16+821WWWWL
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1255220:20020DDWDD
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1245324:27-317WLWLD
9GroningenGroningen1243529:28+115LLDLW
10CambuurCambuur1243525:27-215LWWDW
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1235420:21-114WLDDD
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1233621:29-812LWLWD
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1233613:24-1112DWDWL
14UtrechtUtrecht1233621:34-1312LLDWW
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1232716:29-1311LLLLL
16TelstarTelstar1224618:25-710DWLLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1223716:25-99WLLWD
18Willem IIWillem II1203911:40-293DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1240:1526
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1236:1725
3AjaxAjax1232:1525
4TwenteTwente1230:1224
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1224:1623
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1224:1621
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1220:2020
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1224:2717
9GroningenGroningen1229:2815
10CambuurCambuur1225:2715
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1220:2114
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1221:2912
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1213:2412
14UtrechtUtrecht1221:3412
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1216:2911
16TelstarTelstar1218:2510
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1216:259
18Willem IIWillem II1211:403
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen forecast

The forecasts for this Eredivisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

PSV Eindhoven and Groningen in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, PSV Eindhoven are 1st and Groningen 9th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: PSV Eindhoven 40-15, Groningen 29-28. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

PSV Eindhoven have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.