Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro Prediction

Estadio Akron, Guadalajara·Salvador Perez Villalobos 27/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalHIGHModel67%SurpriseMediumGap-6.3%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.63
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+3.3%
Guadalajara Chivas Rest
6 days
Club Queretaro Rest
5 days

Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro: result, form and history

Club Queretaro beat Guadalajara Chivas 2-0 in the Liga MX on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Referee Salvador Perez Villalobos averages 5.29 cards a game, 0.74 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.55
X
23%4.15
2
20%5.25
Double Chance
1X
80%1.14
X2
43%2.32
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.68
No
43%2.02
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.04 + 0.96 = 3.00
Over 1.5
80%1.18
Over 2.5
59%1.63
Over 3.5
37%2.60
Under 1.5
20%4.33
Under 2.5
41%2.17
Under 3.5
63%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.7 + 3.9 = 10.6
Over 8.5
67%1.29
Over 9.5
55%1.52
Over 10.5
42%1.90
Under 8.5
33%3.04
Under 9.5
45%2.29
Under 10.5
58%1.83
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.4 = 4
Over 3.5
56%1.38
Over 4.5
37%1.67
Under 3.5
44%2.90
Under 4.5
63%2.10

Match Events

12'Ali ÁvilaAssist: Enzo Giménez
41'Bayron DuarteFoul
45'Fernando González INRichard Ledezma out
45'Brian Gutierrez INÁngel Sepúlveda out
52'Bayron Duarte INCarlos Villanueva out
62'Kevin Castañeda INEfrain Alvarez out
65'Iker Benito Sánchez INBernardo Parra out
68'Mateo CoronelAssist: Enzo Giménez
77'Hugo Camberos INJordan Carrillo out
83'Mateo Coronel INAlejandro Alcalá Solorio out
83'Carlo Garcia INPaulo Victor out
85'Daniel Aguirre INLuis Rey out
87'Lucas AbasciaFoul
90'Omar Govea

Lineups

Guadalajara Chivas
3-4-2-1Coach: G. Milito
Club Queretaro
4-2-3-1Coach: E. González
Avg rating6.57
Avg rating6.84
Óscar Whalley7.813Ó. Whalley
D. Aguirre6.723D. Aguirre
D. Campillo6.53D. Campillo
L. Romo6.97L. Romo
Santiago Sandoval5.830S. Sandoval
O. Govea6.46O. Govea
R. González7.028R. González
H. Camberos6.314H. Camberos
K. Castañeda7.119K. Castañeda
B. Gutiérrez6.611B. Gutiérrez
R. Marín6.417R. Marín
G. Allison7.625G. Allison
B. Duarte6.224B. Duarte
D. Reyes6.813D. Reyes
L. Abascia6.22L. Abascia
D. Parra6.027D. Parra
Carlo Adriano6.54C. Adriano
S. Homenchenko6.45S. Homenchenko
E. Giménez8.316E. Giménez
M. Coronel8.211M. Coronel
Iker Benito6.47I. Benito
A. Ávila7.69A. Ávila

Guadalajara Chivas Substitutes

33J. Carrillo77'for Hugo Camberos6.2
59C. Inda
37R. Ledezma45'for Fernando González6.5
18J. Pérez
16L. Rey85'for Daniel Aguirre6.2
190Ángel Robinho Romero
9Á. Sepúlveda45'for Brian Gutierrez6.1
10E. Álvarez62'for Kevin Castañeda6.7
57J. Hernández
56Á. Chávez

Club Queretaro Substitutes

30J. Martinez
1J. Hernández
29W. Madrid
17D. Muñoz
8B. Parra65'for Iker Benito Sánchez6.7
26E. Pérez
23J. Robles
15C. Villanueva52'for Bayron Duarte6.6
12Paulo Victor83'for Carlo Garcia6.5
20A. Alcalá83'for Mateo Coronel6.6

Match Stats

Guadalajara ChivasClub Queretaro
74%Ball Possession26%
13Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
26Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal6
13Shots off Goal6
9Shots Inside Box7
17Shots Outside Box6
8Blocked Shots1
6Fouls7
4Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves5
690Total Passes232
614Passes Accurate146
7Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
Club QueretaroClub Queretaro
1713Elo Rating 1627
0.98Attack 1.13
1.96Defense 1.17
27%Hit Rate 36%
17.6Shots per Game 13.1
4.8Shots on Target 3.7
9.1Corners per Game 4.1
1.8Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
Club QueretaroClub Queretaro
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
Club QueretaroClub Queretaro2Wins · 20%
2.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX18/01/2026
Guadalajara ChivasClub Queretaro
21
Liga MX23/10/2025
Club QueretaroGuadalajara Chivas
10
Liga MX02/02/2025
Guadalajara ChivasClub Queretaro
11
Liga MX17/07/2024
Club QueretaroGuadalajara Chivas
02
Liga MX21/04/2024
Guadalajara ChivasClub Queretaro
20
Liga MX01/11/2023
Club QueretaroGuadalajara Chivas
12
Liga MX06/02/2023
Guadalajara ChivasClub Queretaro
11
Liga MX28/07/2022
Club QueretaroGuadalajara Chivas
22
Liga MX23/01/2022
Guadalajara ChivasClub Queretaro
11
Liga MX30/09/2021
Club QueretaroGuadalajara Chivas
10

Recent Form

Club QueretaroClub Queretaro
4W2D4L
21/09/2026
Club QueretaroLeon
11
D
12/09/2026
Club TijuanaClub Queretaro
01
W
30/08/2026
AtlasClub Queretaro
13
W
22/08/2026
Club QueretaroToluca
12
L
16/08/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasClub Queretaro
00
D
13/08/2026
Los Angeles FCClub Queretaro
5131
L
09/08/2026
Seattle SoundersClub Queretaro
30
L
06/08/2026
FC DallasClub Queretaro
20
L
02/08/2026
Club QueretaroTigres UANL
32
W
27/07/2026
CF PachucaClub Queretaro
12
W

Referee Profile

Salvador Perez Villalobos75 matches

5.29Cards per match
4.76Yellow cards per match
0.53Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Salvador Perez Villalobos5.29
Other referees4.55

5.29 cards a match, 0.74 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.55).

Cards come from 17 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1283132:16+1627WWDWD
2TolucaToluca1465329:19+1023DDDLD
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1365220:12+823WDDLD
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul1372429:22+723WWDDL
5Club LeonClub Leon1464421:18+322WDLWD
6AtlasAtlas1363421:23-221LWDWD
7MonterreyMonterrey1262423:17+620WWDLW
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1262416:15+120LLWWD
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1361619:16+319WWWWW
10Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1454519:22-319WWDLW
11Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1245317:16+117DDDLD
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1344519:22-316LWDLD
13PueblaPuebla1344513:17-416LDDLD
14Tigres UANLTigres UANL1335514:18-414LDWWL
15Atlante FCAtlante FC1435614:20-614LWLLW
16CF PachucaCF Pachuca1334620:18+213LLDLD
17NecaxaNecaxa1424816:27-1110DLLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1412119:33-245DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1232:1627
2TolucaToluca1429:1923
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1320:1223
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul1329:2223
5Club LeonClub Leon1421:1822
6AtlasAtlas1321:2321
7MonterreyMonterrey1223:1720
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1216:1520
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1319:1619
10Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1419:2219
11Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1217:1617
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1319:2216
13PueblaPuebla1313:1716
14Tigres UANLTigres UANL1314:1814
15Atlante FCAtlante FC1414:2014
16CF PachucaCF Pachuca1320:1813
17NecaxaNecaxa1416:2710
18FC JuarezFC Juarez149:335
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About the Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Guadalajara Chivas and Club Queretaro in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd and Club Queretaro 8th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Guadalajara Chivas 20-12, Club Queretaro 16-15. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.