CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction

Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto·Victor Alfonso Caceres Hernandez, Mexico 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+6.9%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+5.4%
CF Pachuca Rest
6 days
Guadalajara Chivas Rest
6 days

CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas: result, form and history

CF Pachuca and Guadalajara Chivas drew 1-1 in the Liga MX on 30 Aug 2026. Guadalajara Chivas had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for CF Pachuca.

Guadalajara Chivas have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 1.5 goals a game. Referee Victor Alfonso Caceres Hernandez averages 4.07 cards a game, 0.62 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%3.00
X
28%3.44
2
32%2.20
Double Chance
1X
68%1.62
X2
60%1.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.57
No
39%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.34 = 2.59
Over 1.5
75%1.22
Over 2.5
51%1.72
Over 3.5
29%2.84
Under 1.5
25%4.00
Under 2.5
49%2.06
Under 3.5
71%1.39
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.2 = 9.2
Over 8.5
55%1.65
Over 9.5
40%2.06
Over 10.5
29%2.65
Under 8.5
45%2.14
Under 9.5
60%1.70
Under 10.5
71%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 2.4 = 5.2
Over 3.5
69%1.32
Over 4.5
55%1.73
Under 3.5
31%3.20
Under 4.5
45%2.03

Match Events

3'R. AlvaradoAssist: H. Camberos
25'O. IdrissiFoul
32'F. VenegasFoul
51'E. Alvarez INB. Gutierrez out
53'C. SanchezFoul
57'A. Bautista INR. Pizarro out
59'S. Sandoval INR. Ledezma out
59'H. Camberos INJ. Carrillo out
65'O. Idrissi INN. Vallejo out
65'E. Montiel INA. Arroyo out
79'S. Rondon(Penalty)
84'R. Marin INA. Sepulveda out
84'O. Govea INK. Castaneda out
87'Kenedy INA. Alcaraz out
90'A. ArroyoFoul

Lineups

CF Pachuca
4-3-3Coach: Benjamin Mora
Guadalajara Chivas
3-4-2-1Coach: Gabriel Milito
Avg rating6.75
Avg rating6.85
C. MorenoC7.025C. Moreno
C. Sanchez6.614C. Sanchez
J. Berlanga6.213J. Berlanga
S. D. Barreto7.52S. D. Barreto
F. Venegas6.515F. Venegas
E. Montiel6.710E. Montiel
C. Rivera7.216C. Rivera
A. Bautista6.226A. Bautista
Kenedy6.329Kenedy
S. Rondon6.623S. Rondon
O. Idrissi7.311O. Idrissi
R. Rangel7.91R. Rangel
M. Gomez6.624M. Gomez
D. Campillo Del Campo6.93D. Campillo Del Campo
L. RomoC7.37L. Romo
S. Sandoval30S. Sandoval
O. Govea6.96O. Govea
F. Gonzalez6.928F. Gonzalez
H. Camberos7.314H. Camberos
R. Alvarado7.225R. Alvarado
E. Alvarez6.610E. Alvarez
R. Marin6.617R. Marin

CF Pachuca Substitutes

31J. Eulogio
6M. Isais
206T. A. Contreras
28A. Arroyo65'for E. Montiel90'6.6
187G. Alvarez
32P. Budib
7R. Pizarro57'for A. Bautista6.9
30S. Rodriguez
9A. Alcaraz87'for Kenedy6.7
21N. Vallejo65'for O. Idrissi7.0

Guadalajara Chivas Substitutes

13O. Whalley
37R. Ledezma59'for S. Sandoval6.3
19K. Castaneda84'for O. Govea6.7
59S. Inda
11B. Gutierrez51'for E. Alvarez6.3
16L. Rey
9A. Sepulveda84'for R. Marin6.7
33J. Carrillo59'for H. Camberos6.5
18J. Perez
57J. Hernandez

Match Stats

CF PachucaGuadalajara Chivas
43%Ball Possession57%
8Corner Kicks7
4Yellow Cards0
17Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box7
7Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots3
20Fouls8
3Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves6
386Total Passes528
313Passes Accurate460
81%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

CF PachucaCF Pachuca
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
1667Elo Rating 1738
2.05Attack 1.81
1.63Defense 2.15
50%Hit Rate 69%
16.4Shots per Game 15.2
5.1Shots on Target 5.8
4.3Corners per Game 6.7
3.0Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

CF PachucaCF Pachuca
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CF PachucaCF Pachuca1Wins · 10%
Draws330%
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas6Wins · 60%
1.5Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX11/01/2026
Guadalajara ChivasCF Pachuca
20
Liga MX03/11/2025
CF PachucaGuadalajara Chivas
01
Liga MX23/02/2025
Guadalajara ChivasCF Pachuca
21
Liga MX20/10/2024
CF PachucaGuadalajara Chivas
02
Liga MX14/04/2024
CF PachucaGuadalajara Chivas
01
Liga MX24/09/2023
Guadalajara ChivasCF Pachuca
00
Liga MX12/02/2023
CF PachucaGuadalajara Chivas
11
Liga MX31/07/2022
Guadalajara ChivasCF Pachuca
00
Liga MX17/01/2022
CF PachucaGuadalajara Chivas
21
Liga MX19/09/2021
Guadalajara ChivasCF Pachuca
10

Recent Form

CF PachucaCF Pachuca
3W1D6L
24/08/2026
Atletico San LuisCF Pachuca
11
D
18/08/2026
CF PachucaPuebla
23
L
12/08/2026
CharlotteCF Pachuca
01
W
08/08/2026
Columbus CrewCF Pachuca
21
L
05/08/2026
FC CincinnatiCF Pachuca
31
L
02/08/2026
LeonCF Pachuca
10
L
27/07/2026
CF PachucaClub Queretaro
12
L
19/07/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca
03
W
04/07/2026
CF PachucaPuebla
31
W
18/05/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca
10
L
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
4W2D4L
23/08/2026
Guadalajara ChivasClub Tijuana
52
W
17/08/2026
Santos LagunaGuadalajara Chivas
01
W
13/08/2026
Seattle SoundersGuadalajara Chivas
12
W
09/08/2026
Guadalajara ChivasFC Dallas
01
L
06/08/2026
Los Angeles FCGuadalajara Chivas
5141
L
01/08/2026
PueblaGuadalajara Chivas
11
D
26/07/2026
Guadalajara ChivasFC Juarez
10
W
19/07/2026
Guadalajara ChivasToluca
02
L
04/07/2026
Correcaminos UatGuadalajara Chivas
00
D
17/05/2026
Guadalajara ChivasCruz Azul
12
L

Referee Profile

Victor Alfonso Caceres Hernandez136 matches

4.07Cards per match
3.85Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Victor Alfonso Caceres Hernandez4.07
Other referees4.69

4.07 cards a match, 0.62 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.69).

Cards come from 123 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul16102437:26+1132WWWWW
2Club AmericaClub America1686238:23+1530DDDLW
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1686226:15+1130DWWWD
4TolucaToluca1676335:21+1427WDDDD
5AtlasAtlas1683527:30-327LWWLW
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1681723:20+325WWLWW
7LeonLeon1665523:21+223DLDWL
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1664629:20+922WWWLL
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1657425:22+322LDDWD
10MonterreyMonterrey1563626:25+121LDLWW
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1656524:26-221DWDLW
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1562718:23-520LLLLL
13PueblaPuebla1654719:23-419WLLLD
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1654719:24-519LLWWD
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1636717:25-815LLDLD
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1635816:26-1014LLLWL
17NecaxaNecaxa1634917:28-1113WLDLL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez16321113:34-2111WWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul1637:2632
2Club AmericaClub America1638:2330
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1626:1530
4TolucaToluca1635:2127
5AtlasAtlas1627:3027
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1623:2025
7LeonLeon1623:2123
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1629:2022
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1625:2222
10MonterreyMonterrey1526:2521
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1624:2621
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1518:2320
13PueblaPuebla1619:2319
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1619:2419
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1617:2515
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1616:2614
17NecaxaNecaxa1617:2813
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1613:3411
Promotion

About the CF Pachuca vs Guadalajara Chivas forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

CF Pachuca and Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd and CF Pachuca 8th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: CF Pachuca 29-20, Guadalajara Chivas 26-15. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.