Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction

Estadio Libertad Financiera· J. Camacho Peregrina 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
59%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel49%RiskMediumGap-2.5%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.72
SignalGOODModel47%RiskMediumGap+8.0%
Atletico San Luis Rest
5 days
Guadalajara Chivas Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%4.19
X
28%3.70
2
47%1.79
Double Chance
1X
53%1.95
X2
75%1.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.62
No
37%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.1 + 1.46 = 2.56
Over 1.5
73%1.20
Over 2.5
55%1.70
Over 3.5
31%2.63
Under 1.5
27%4.25
Under 2.5
45%2.15
Under 3.5
69%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.8 = 9.9
Over 8.5
66%1.55
Over 9.5
52%2.01
Over 10.5
39%2.46
Under 8.5
34%2.23
Under 9.5
48%1.73
Under 10.5
61%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2 = 4.4
Over 3.5
65%1.32
Over 4.5
45%1.80
Under 3.5
35%2.77
Under 4.5
55%1.91

Match Events

6'Andrés SánchezOG
10'Ricardo MarínAssist: Ángel Sepúlveda
30'Anderson Duarte INLucas Esteves out
33'Andrés Sánchez INManuel Lajud out
45+3'Johan CaicedoFoul
45'Johan Caicedo INLeonardo Flores out
61'Hugo Camberos INRichard Ledezma out
61'Ángel Sepúlveda INEfrain Alvarez out
71'Miguel García INSebastián Pérez Bouquet out
71'David Rodriguez INLuis Ronaldo Najera Reyna out
71'Santiago Sandoval INLuis Rey out
71'Daniel Aguirre INKevin Castañeda out
79'Fernando González INBrian Gutierrez out
80'Richard LedezmaAssist: Ricardo Marín

Lineups

Atletico San Luis
5-4-1Coach: Diego Mejía
Guadalajara Chivas
3-4-2-1Coach: G. Milito
A. Sánchez1A. SánchezA. Sánchez
R. Torres2R. TorresR. Torres
Robson Bambu3R. BambuRobson Bambu
M. García14M. GarcíaM. García
E.  Águila31E. ÁguilaE. Águila
A. Duarte17A. DuarteA. Duarte
D. Rodríguez11D. RodríguezD. Rodríguez
J. Caicedo13J. CaicedoJ. Caicedo
Ó. Macías21Ó. MacíasÓ. Macías
S. Salles-Lamonge10S. Salles-LamongeS. Salles-Lamonge
Rafa Llorente22R. LlorenteRafa Llorente
J. Rangel1J. RangelJ. Rangel
D. Aguirre23D. AguirreD. Aguirre
D. Campillo3D. CampilloD. Campillo
L. Romo7L. RomoL. Romo
R. Alvarado25R. AlvaradoR. Alvarado
O. Govea6O. GoveaO. Govea
R. González28R. GonzálezR. González
H. Camberos14H. CamberosH. Camberos
Santiago Sandoval30S. SandovalSantiago Sandoval
R. Marín17R. MarínR. Marín
Á. Sepúlveda9Á. SepúlvedaÁ. Sepúlveda

Atletico San Luis Substitutes

26S. Pérez BouquetM
7B. GaldamesM
20L. FloresF
16Lucas EstevesD
18A. CruzD
30B. GalindoD
25G. LajudG
5R. MerazM
19S. MuñózF
8L. NájeraM

Guadalajara Chivas Substitutes

19K. CastañedaM
56Á. ChávezD
11B. GutiérrezM
57J. HernándezF
37R. LedezmaD
18J. PérezM
16L. ReyD
13Óscar WhalleyG
10E. ÁlvarezF
33J. CarrilloM

Match Stats

Atletico San LuisGuadalajara Chivas
50%Ball Possession50%
3Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards0
10Total Shots7
4Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal3
6Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots1
8Fouls8
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves4
557Total Passes564
458Passes Accurate469
82%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
1539Elo Rating 1748
0.75Attack 2.66
0.99Defense 2.47
19%Hit Rate 81%
12.0Shots per Game 9.1
3.8Shots on Target 4.5
2.3Corners per Game 5.3
1.6Cards per Game 0.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend69% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Atletico San Luis 36%Draw 0%64% Guadalajara Chivas
4.18Avg Goals
69%BTTS Rate
69%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
1W1D3L
31/08/2026
MonterreyAtletico San Luis
13
W
24/08/2026
Atletico San LuisCF Pachuca
11
D
17/08/2026
Club AmericaAtletico San Luis
30
L
13/08/2026
Orlando City SCAtletico San Luis
5232
L
10/08/2026
Nashville SCAtletico San Luis
41
L
Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas
3W1D1L
30/08/2026
CF PachucaGuadalajara Chivas
11
D
23/08/2026
Guadalajara ChivasClub Tijuana
52
W
17/08/2026
Santos LagunaGuadalajara Chivas
01
W
13/08/2026
Seattle SoundersGuadalajara Chivas
12
W
09/08/2026
Guadalajara ChivasFC Dallas
01
L

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1TolucaToluca961220:9+1119LWWWW
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas953117:8+918DWWDW
3Club AmericaClub America852117:8+917DLWWW
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul950416:15+115LWWWL
5Club QueretaroClub Queretaro842211:8+314DWWLD
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana842212:10+214DLWLW
7LeonLeon942312:10+214DWLDW
8PueblaPuebla942311:11014DLWLW
9AtlasAtlas942313:15-214DLDLW
10MonterreyMonterrey841314:10+413WDLLW
11CF PachucaCF Pachuca933315:10+512DWWDD
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas933312:13-112DLWLD
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis923411:16-59WLLWD
14Atlante FCAtlante FC91538:13-58DLDDL
15NecaxaNecaxa922510:16-68LLDLD
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL91449:13-47LDDDW
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna92169:15-67WWLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez91086:23-173WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1TolucaToluca920:919
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas917:818
3Club AmericaClub America817:817
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul916:1515
5Club QueretaroClub Queretaro811:814
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana812:1014
7LeonLeon912:1014
8PueblaPuebla911:1114
9AtlasAtlas913:1514
10MonterreyMonterrey814:1013
11CF PachucaCF Pachuca915:1012
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas912:1312
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis911:169
14Atlante FCAtlante FC98:138
15NecaxaNecaxa910:168
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL99:137
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna99:157
18FC JuarezFC Juarez96:233
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Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga MX fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Guadalajara Chivas have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Atletico San Luis and Guadalajara Chivas have met 5 times recently, averaging 4.18 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.