Guimaraes vs Arouca Prediction
Portugal · Regular Season - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Guimaraes vs Arouca: the result in context
Arouca beat Guimaraes 1-0 in the Primeira Liga on 8 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Guimaraes had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Arouca.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 8. Guimaraes tend to win more corners, 5.7 a game to 3.7 for Arouca.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Lineups
Guimaraes
Avg ratingAvg rating
48O. Zych
2Maga
4O. Rivas Viondi
28T. Balieiro
13J. I. Mendes
16Beni
8G. Nogueira
11Gustavo
C20Samu
7O. Camara
24A. Ndoye
12I. De Arruabarrena
C28T. Esgaio
15J. Sanchez
3J. Fontan
21M. Flores
6E. van Ee
8T. Fukui
19A. Trezza
14H. Lee
7N. Djouahra
17I. BarberoGuimaraes Substitutes
Arouca Substitutes
Match Stats
GuimaraesArouca Team Comparison
GuimaraesAroucaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Guimaraes- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Arouca- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Guimaraes3Wins · 30%3Wins · 30%Previous meetings
07/02/2026AroucaGuimaraes30/08/2025GuimaraesArouca18/01/2025GuimaraesArouca12/08/2024AroucaGuimaraes18/05/2024AroucaGuimaraes15/01/2024GuimaraesArouca11/03/2023GuimaraesArouca18/09/2022AroucaGuimaraes19/02/2022GuimaraesArouca18/09/2021AroucaGuimaraesRecent Form
GuimaraesGuimaraes
ChavesGuimaraes
Nottingham Forest
Al-Ahli JeddahGuimaraesGuimaraes
AcademicaGuimaraes
Felgueiras 1932
NacionalGuimaraesGuimaraes
Casa Pia
Sporting CPGuimaraesGuimaraes
Rio Ave
GIL VicenteGuimaraesArouca
Lusitânia LourosaArouca
Santa ClaraArouca
FamalicaoArouca
FeirenseAroucaRio AveAroucaArouca
TondelaGIL VicenteAroucaAroucaSanta Clara
AlvercaAroucaArouca
EstrelaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.15 cards a match, 0.28 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.43).
Cards come from 121 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 25:4 | +21 | 30 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26:8 | +18 | 22 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | +12 | 21 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | +9 | 21 | WLWDW |
| 5 | Arouca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | +6 | 20 | WWWDL |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | +3 | 20 | WWWWW |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 14 | LWWDL |
| 8 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 14 | WWLDW |
| 9 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | LWWWL |
| 10 |  SC Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 10 | WLWDD |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 10 | LLLLD |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 | WLDLD |
| 14 |  Maritimo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 15 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 7 | LWLLL |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 7 | LLWLD |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5:19 | -14 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5:19 | -14 | 2 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 26:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 10 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 10 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 10 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 9 | Alverca | 9 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 10 | SC Braga | 9 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 14 | Maritimo | 10 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 | Nacional | 10 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 10 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 10 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 5:19 | 2 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primeira Liga matches
About the Guimaraes vs Arouca forecast
The forecasts for this Primeira Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Guimaraes and Arouca in the Primeira Liga table
In the Primeira Liga table, Arouca are 5th and Vitória SC 13th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Vitória SC 10-10, Arouca 13-7. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Arouca have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.