Moreirense vs SC Braga Prediction

Moreirense
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
SC Braga
Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos·Jose Bessa, Portugal 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.95
SignalNEUTRALModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+9.0%
Moreirense Rest
8 days
SC Braga Rest
3 days

Moreirense vs SC Braga: the result in context

Moreirense and SC Braga drew 2-2 in the Primeira Liga on 9 Aug 2026. SC Braga had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 1 for Moreirense.

SC Braga have had the better of this fixture, winning 10 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game. SC Braga tend to win more corners, 6.6 a game to 2.7 for Moreirense.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
11%5.75
X
23%3.90
2
66%1.58
Double Chance
1X
34%2.32
X2
89%1.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.95
No
45%1.77
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.09 + 1.7 = 2.79
Over 1.5
80%1.30
Over 2.5
56%1.95
Over 3.5
30%3.40
Under 1.5
20%3.35
Under 2.5
44%1.84
Under 3.5
70%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'F. NavarroAssist: Vitor Carvalho
8'N. JohnAssist: A. Duville-Parsemain
18'TravassosHolding
20'Guilherme LiberatoTripping
42'B. Arrey-Mbi INA. Bajrami out
45+2'Kevyn MonteiroFoul
46'Travassos INV. Gomez out
57'M. Dorgeles IND. Huseinbasic out
57'R. Horta INP. Victor out
59'A. Vieira INKiko Bondoso out
61'N. JohnFoul
66'P. VictorAssist: D. E. Tiknaz
67'Rodri INJ. Veloso out
75'Guilherme Liberato INYan Maranhao out
75'N. John INM. Stjepanovic out
78'G. BatistaTripping
90+1'J. Veloso
90+4'D. E. Tiknaz INJ. Moutinho out

Lineups

Moreirense
4-3-3Coach: Vasco Costa
SC Braga
3-4-3Coach: Carlos Vicens
Avg rating6.54
Avg rating6.63
André Ferreira5.913A. Ferreira
Leandro Santos6.62L. Santos
Gilberto Batista6.666G. Batista
Kevyn Monteiro6.34K. Monteiro
KikoC6.227Kiko
Nile John7.223N. John
Guilherme Liberato6.665G. Liberato
Rodrigo Alonso6.021R. Alonso
Afonso Vieira6.389A. Vieira
Alexandre Parsemain6.29A. Parsemain
Landerson6.311Landerson
Bernardo Fontes5.531B. Fontes
Gustaf Lagerbielke6.914G. Lagerbielke
Vítor Carvalho7.26V. Carvalho
Bright Arrey-Mbi6.326B. Arrey-Mbi
Diogo Travassos6.27D. Travassos
Jean-Baptiste Gorby6.229J. Gorby
Demir Ege Tıknaz7.334D. Ege Tıknaz
Gabriel Silva6.611G. Silva
Mario Dorgeles6.720M. Dorgeles
Fran Navarro7.79F. Navarro
Ricardo HortaC6.521R. Horta

Moreirense Substitutes

1Aranha
31Pedro Jesus
17Álvaro Martínez
8Mateja Stjepanović75'for N. John6.9
10Kiko Bondoso59'for A. Vieira6.7
25Afonso Assis
30Jimi Gower
20João Veloso67'for Rodri90+1'7.6
77Koby Mottoh
99Yan Maranhão75'replaced by Guilherme Liberato6.7
44Michael Dacosta Gonzalez

SC Braga Substitutes

44Adrian Bajrami42'for B. Arrey-Mbi6.3
78Joao Carvalho
12Tiago Sá
22Sergio Barcia
37Adrian Leon Barišić
8João Moutinho90+4'for D. E. Tiknaz
23Denis Huseinbašić57'for M. Dorgeles6.3
2Victor Gómez46'for Travassos6.5
5Leonardo Lelo
77Gabriel Martínez
90Luís Pinto
10Pau Víctor57'for R. Horta66'7.2

Match Stats

MoreirenseSC Braga
36%Ball Possession64%
4Corner Kicks2
4Yellow Cards2
7Total Shots13
3Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal5
2Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots4
15Fouls20
0Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves1
340Total Passes616
256Passes Accurate522
75%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

MoreirenseMoreirense
SC BragaSC Braga
1604Elo Rating 1660
1.37Attack 1.36
2.00Defense 2.44
50%Hit Rate 37%
11.1Shots per Game 20.9
3.4Shots on Target 6.3
2.7Corners per Game 6.6
0.9Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MoreirenseMoreirense
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
SC BragaSC Braga
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MoreirenseMoreirense0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
SC BragaSC Braga10Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Primeira Liga04/04/2026
MoreirenseSC Braga
01
Primeira Liga09/11/2025
SC BragaMoreirense
21
Primeira Liga03/02/2025
MoreirenseSC Braga
12
Primeira Liga25/08/2024
SC BragaMoreirense
31
Primeira Liga04/02/2024
SC BragaMoreirense
10
Primeira Liga09/09/2023
MoreirenseSC Braga
23
Taça de Portugal10/11/2022
SC BragaMoreirense
21
Primeira Liga30/01/2022
SC BragaMoreirense
20
Primeira Liga20/08/2021
MoreirenseSC Braga
23
Primeira Liga14/05/2021
SC BragaMoreirense
21

Recent Form

MoreirenseMoreirense
3W4D3L
01/08/2026
MoreirenseAmarante
20
W
25/07/2026
GIL VicenteMoreirense
22
D
22/07/2026
Santa ClaraMoreirense
21
L
18/07/2026
MoreirenseAVS
22
D
16/05/2026
MoreirenseAVS
00
D
11/05/2026
TondelaMoreirense
20
L
02/05/2026
MoreirenseEstrela
32
W
25/04/2026
BenficaMoreirense
41
L
20/04/2026
MoreirenseEstoril
10
W
10/04/2026
FamalicaoMoreirense
11
D
SC BragaSC Braga
7W3D0L
06/08/2026
SC BragaDinamo Minsk
10
W
30/07/2026
SC BragaŽelezničar Pančevo
40
W
22/07/2026
Železničar PančevoSC Braga
01
W
18/07/2026
SC BragaCelta Vigo
22
D
14/07/2026
VizelaSC Braga
05
W
10/07/2026
Stoke CitySC Braga
01
W
07/07/2026
BuxtonSC Braga
13
W
03/07/2026
SC BragaSão João Ver
10
W
16/05/2026
SC BragaEstrela
22
D
11/05/2026
BenficaSC Braga
22
D

Referee Profile

Jose Bessa98 matches

5.48Cards per match
5.24Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
25.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jose Bessa5.48
Other referees5.24

5.48 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.24).

Cards come from 50 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto11110027:5+2233WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica1191130:10+2028WWWWL
3Sporting CPSporting CP1173124:11+1324WWLWD
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1163216:8+821LWLWD
5AroucaArouca1162313:8+520LWWWD
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1162315:13+220LWWWW
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente1153310:8+218WDLWW
8SC BragaSC Braga1152413:11+217WWLLL
9MoreirenseMoreirense1142513:18-514LWWLD
10FamalicaoFamalicao1134415:14+113WLWLW
11AlvercaAlverca1133514:15-112DLLWW
12EstrelaEstrela1124517:22-510LLLLL
13NacionalNacional1131711:19-810WLWLL
14Vitória SCVitória SC1123611:12-19LDWLD
15MaritimoMaritimo102269:21-128LLLDL
16Casa PiaCasa Pia112276:20-148DLWLW
17Rio AveRio Ave112189:24-157LLLWL
18EstorilEstoril100285:19-142LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto1127:533
2BenficaBenfica1130:1028
3Sporting CPSporting CP1124:1124
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1116:821
5AroucaArouca1113:820
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1115:1320
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente1110:818
8SC BragaSC Braga1113:1117
9MoreirenseMoreirense1113:1814
10FamalicaoFamalicao1115:1413
11AlvercaAlverca1114:1512
12EstrelaEstrela1117:2210
13NacionalNacional1111:1910
14Vitória SCVitória SC1111:129
15MaritimoMaritimo109:218
16Casa PiaCasa Pia116:208
17Rio AveRio Ave119:247
18EstorilEstoril105:192
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Moreirense vs SC Braga forecast

The forecasts for this Primeira Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Moreirense and SC Braga in the Primeira Liga table

SC Braga and Moreirense are close in the Primeira Liga table, 8th and 9th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Moreirense 13-18, SC Braga 13-11. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.