Estrela vs Sporting CP Prediction

Estrela
2-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Sporting CP
Estádio José Gomes, Amadora· Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
54%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
2.05
SignalGOODModel54%RiskMediumGap+8.7%
Estrela Rest
7 days
Sporting CP Rest
8 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
10%11.52
X
15%6.03
2
75%1.23
Double Chance
1X
25%3.99
X2
90%1.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%2.05
No
46%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.81 + 2.84 = 3.65
Over 1.5
97%1.15
Over 2.5
92%1.53
Over 3.5
71%2.38
Under 1.5
3%4.85
Under 2.5
8%2.41
Under 3.5
29%1.57
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

46'R. ZalazarAssist: G. Catamo
52'Eddy DouéFoul
59'F. IoannidisAssist: R. Zalazar
61'F. Ioannidis INL. Suarez out
61'F. Goncalves INS. Andersen out
65'S. Serra INRobinho out
67'Luis Javier SuárezOff the ball foul
72'L. AntonettiAssist: I. Stoica
74'I. Stoica INB. Souza out
74'M. Scholze INJ. Encada out
78'G. Catamo INLuis Guilherme out
78'G. Vagiannidis INI. Fresneda out
82'I. Doumbia INJ. Derry out
84'B. SouzaAssist: Robinho
89'L. Antonetti INS. van Hooijdonk out
89'A. Marcus INAlisson Souza out
90+2'BénitoFoul
90+2'Jesse DerryArgument

Lineups

Estrela
4-2-3-1Coach: Pepa
Sporting CP
4-2-3-1Coach: Rui Borges
Leo Linck24L. LinckLeo Linck
M. Scholze21M. ScholzeM. Scholze
Luan Patrick30L. PatrickLuan Patrick
Bernardo Schappo4B. SchappoBernardo Schappo
Rafa Soares55R. SoaresRafa Soares
S. Serra78S. SerraS. Serra
G. Doue39G. DoueG. Doue
A. Marcus99A. MarcusA. Marcus
L. Zvonarek14L. ZvonarekL. Zvonarek
I. Stoica10I. StoicaI. Stoica
L. Antonetti37L. AntonettiL. Antonetti
R. Silva1R. SilvaR. Silva
G. Vagiannidis13G. VagiannidisG. Vagiannidis
E. Quaresma72E. QuaresmaE. Quaresma
G. Inacio25G. InacioG. Inacio
R. Dias50R. DiasR. Dias
S. Altimira5S. AltimiraS. Altimira
I. Doumbia77I. DoumbiaI. Doumbia
G. Catamo10G. CatamoG. Catamo
R. Zalazar17R. ZalazarR. Zalazar
F. Goncalves58F. GoncalvesF. Goncalves
F. Ioannidis7F. IoannidisF. Ioannidis

Estrela Substitutes

22D. GriloG
51D. PintoG
9S. van HooijdonkF
79A. ChernevD
28T. MoustierM
93B. SouzaM
71E. Pedro VangaM
17J. EncadaD
8RobinhoM
3L. MincarelliD
80Alisson SouzaF
72H. PoniewasF

Sporting CP Substitutes

12J. VirginiaG
41Diego CallaiG
97L. SuarezF
4S. AndersenM
21Pedro LimaM
26O. DiomandeD
9R. NelF
31Luis GuilhermeF
73E. FelicissimoM
22I. FresnedaD
28J. DerryF

Match Stats

EstrelaSporting CP
44%Ball Possession56%
5Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards2
9Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal8
3Shots off Goal5
5Shots Inside Box11
4Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots2
13Fouls14
1Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves2
348Total Passes444
278Passes Accurate391
80%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

EstrelaEstrela
Sporting CPSporting CP
1606Elo Rating 1883
2.44Attack 2.43
0.96Defense 2.36
39%Hit Rate 73%
13.6Shots per Game 11.6
5.2Shots on Target 5.2
4.0Corners per Game 4.3
2.6Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.66 goals
📈BTTS Trend31% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

EstrelaEstrela
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sporting CPSporting CP
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Estrela 0%Draw 0%100% Sporting CP
3.19Avg Goals
31%BTTS Rate
73%Over 2.5

Recent Form

EstrelaEstrela
3W2D0L
01/08/2026
EstrelaAl-Nassr
42
W
29/07/2026
MaritimoEstrela
11
D
29/07/2026
EstrelaLusitano Évora 1911
10
W
29/07/2026
EstrelaPortimonense
11
D
23/07/2026
EstrelaNacional
20
W
Sporting CPSporting CP
4W0D1L
31/07/2026
Sporting CPNottingham Forest
41
W
25/07/2026
Sporting CPMonaco
20
W
20/07/2026
Sporting CPStrasbourg
70
W
14/07/2026
Sporting CPCeltic
41
W
24/05/2026
Sporting CPTorreense
0111
L

Referee Profile

Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal · 11 matches analysed

5.0Avg Yellows
5.7Avg Cards
25.2Avg Fouls
Stricter than 87% of referees analysed

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto660015:2+1318WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica651021:4+1716WWWWW
3Sporting CPSporting CP642015:6+914DWWWW
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara642011:4+714WWDWW
5AroucaArouca63128:5+310LDWLW
6EstrelaEstrela624014:12+210DWDWD
7SC BragaSC Braga53117:5+210WLWWD
8Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu62227:9-28WWLDL
9GIL VicenteGIL Vicente52124:407LLDWW
10MaritimoMaritimo62137:11-47LLLDW
11MoreirenseMoreirense62137:13-67WLLWL
12AlvercaAlverca61238:11-35WLDLD
13FamalicaoFamalicao60425:7-24DDDLL
14Vitória SCVitória SC61144:7-34LDLWL
15NacionalNacional61147:11-44LLLLW
16Rio AveRio Ave61145:14-94DLLWL
17EstorilEstoril60242:8-62LDLLL
18Casa PiaCasa Pia60151:15-141LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto615:218
2BenficaBenfica621:416
3Sporting CPSporting CP615:614
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara611:414
5AroucaArouca68:510
6EstrelaEstrela614:1210
7SC BragaSC Braga57:510
8Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu67:98
9GIL VicenteGIL Vicente54:47
10MaritimoMaritimo67:117
11MoreirenseMoreirense67:137
12AlvercaAlverca68:115
13FamalicaoFamalicao65:74
14Vitória SCVitória SC64:74
15NacionalNacional67:114
16Rio AveRio Ave65:144
17EstorilEstoril62:82
18Casa PiaCasa Pia61:151
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Estrela vs Sporting CP Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primeira Liga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primeira Liga

ScorePredicts covers Portugal football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Sporting CP have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Estrela and Sporting CP have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.19 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.