Estrela vs Sporting CP Prediction

Estrela
2-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Sporting CP
Estádio José Gomes, Amadora·Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
54%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
2.05
SignalNEUTRALModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+8.7%
Estrela Rest
7 days
Sporting CP Rest
8 days

Estrela vs Sporting CP: the result in context

Estrela and Sporting CP drew 2-2 in the Primeira Liga on 8 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Sporting CP have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 3.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
10%11.52
X
15%6.03
2
75%1.23
Double Chance
1X
25%3.99
X2
90%1.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%2.05
No
46%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.81 + 2.84 = 3.65
Over 1.5
97%1.15
Over 2.5
92%1.53
Over 3.5
71%2.38
Under 1.5
3%4.85
Under 2.5
8%2.41
Under 3.5
29%1.57
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

46'R. ZalazarAssist: G. Catamo
52'Eddy DouéFoul
59'F. IoannidisAssist: R. Zalazar
61'F. Ioannidis INL. Suarez out
61'F. Goncalves INS. Andersen out
65'S. Serra INRobinho out
67'Luis Javier SuárezOff the ball foul
72'L. AntonettiAssist: I. Stoica
74'I. Stoica INB. Souza out
74'M. Scholze INJ. Encada out
78'G. Catamo INLuis Guilherme out
78'G. Vagiannidis INI. Fresneda out
82'I. Doumbia INJ. Derry out
84'B. SouzaAssist: Robinho
89'L. Antonetti INS. van Hooijdonk out
89'A. Marcus INAlisson Souza out
90+2'BénitoFoul
90+2'Jesse DerryArgument

Lineups

Estrela
4-2-3-1Coach: Pepa
Sporting CP
4-2-3-1Coach: Rui Borges
Avg rating6.89
Avg rating6.84
Leo Linck7.524L. Linck
M. Scholze6.221M. Scholze
Luan PatrickC7.030L. Patrick
Bernardo Schappo6.74B. Schappo
Rafa Soares6.755R. Soares
S. Serra6.578S. Serra
G. Doue6.939G. Doue
A. Marcus5.999A. Marcus
L. Zvonarek6.714L. Zvonarek
I. Stoica6.710I. Stoica
L. Antonetti8.337L. Antonetti
R. Silva6.21R. Silva
G. Vagiannidis6.313G. Vagiannidis
E. Quaresma8.572E. Quaresma
G. InacioC6.625G. Inacio
R. Dias6.950R. Dias
S. Altimira7.35S. Altimira
I. Doumbia6.577I. Doumbia
G. Catamo6.310G. Catamo
R. Zalazar9.217R. Zalazar
F. Goncalves7.258F. Goncalves
F. Ioannidis6.37F. Ioannidis

Estrela Substitutes

22D. Grilo
51D. Pinto
9S. van Hooijdonk89'for L. Antonetti
79A. Chernev
28T. Moustier
93B. Souza74'for I. Stoica84'90+2'7.5
71E. Pedro Vanga
17J. Encada74'for M. Scholze6.9
8Robinho65'for S. Serra6.9
3L. Mincarelli
80Alisson Souza89'for A. Marcus
72H. Poniewas

Sporting CP Substitutes

12J. Virginia
41Diego Callai
97L. Suarez61'for F. Ioannidis67'6.2
4S. Andersen61'for F. Goncalves6.5
21Pedro Lima
26O. Diomande
9R. Nel
31Luis Guilherme78'for G. Catamo6.6
73E. Felicissimo
22I. Fresneda78'for G. Vagiannidis6.2
28J. Derry82'for I. Doumbia90+2'6.7

Match Stats

EstrelaSporting CP
44%Ball Possession56%
5Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards2
8Total Shots15
3Shots on Goal8
3Shots off Goal5
4Shots Inside Box11
4Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots2
13Fouls14
1Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves2
349Total Passes446
278Passes Accurate393
80%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

EstrelaEstrela
Sporting CPSporting CP
1539Elo Rating 1812
0.66Attack 1.56
1.36Defense 2.05
19%Hit Rate 69%
13.9Shots per Game 18.8
2.8Shots on Target 5.7
5.1Corners per Game 5.3
1.4Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.66 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

EstrelaEstrela
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sporting CPSporting CP
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

EstrelaEstrela0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Sporting CPSporting CP6Wins · 100%
3.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
83%3+ goals5 of 6

Previous meetings

Primeira Liga11/04/2026
EstrelaSporting CP
01
Primeira Liga30/11/2025
Sporting CPEstrela
40
Primeira Liga29/03/2025
EstrelaSporting CP
03
Primeira Liga01/11/2024
Sporting CPEstrela
51
Primeira Liga29/03/2024
EstrelaSporting CP
12
Primeira Liga05/11/2023
Sporting CPEstrela
32

Recent Form

EstrelaEstrela
4W4D2L
01/08/2026
EstrelaAl-Nassr
42
W
29/07/2026
MaritimoEstrela
11
D
29/07/2026
EstrelaLusitano Évora 1911
10
W
29/07/2026
EstrelaPortimonense
11
D
23/07/2026
EstrelaNacional
20
W
18/07/2026
EstrelaCasa Pia
12
L
15/07/2026
EstrelaNaval 1893
20
W
16/05/2026
SC BragaEstrela
22
D
11/05/2026
EstrelaFamalicao
00
D
02/05/2026
MoreirenseEstrela
32
L
Sporting CPSporting CP
7W2D1L
31/07/2026
Sporting CPNottingham Forest
41
W
25/07/2026
Sporting CPMonaco
20
W
20/07/2026
Sporting CPStrasbourg
70
W
14/07/2026
Sporting CPCeltic
41
W
24/05/2026
Sporting CPTorreense
1121
L
16/05/2026
Sporting CPGIL Vicente
30
W
11/05/2026
Rio AveSporting CP
14
W
04/05/2026
Sporting CPGuimaraes
51
W
29/04/2026
Sporting CPTondela
22
D
26/04/2026
AVSSporting CP
11
D

Referee Profile

Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves52 matches

5.37Cards per match
4.95Yellow cards per match
0.42Red cards per match
27.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves5.37
Other referees5.14

5.37 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.14).

Cards come from 38 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto10100025:4+2130WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica1081127:8+1925WWWLW
3Sporting CPSporting CP1173124:11+1324WWLWD
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1163216:8+821LWLWD
5AroucaArouca1162313:8+520LWWWD
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1162315:13+220LWWWW
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente1153310:8+218WDLWW
8SC BragaSC Braga1042412:11+114WLLLD
9MoreirenseMoreirense1142513:18-514LWWLD
10FamalicaoFamalicao1134415:14+113WLWLW
11AlvercaAlverca1133514:15-112DLLWW
12EstrelaEstrela1024415:19-410LLLLD
13NacionalNacional1131711:19-810WLWLL
14Vitória SCVitória SC1023510:1009DWLDL
15MaritimoMaritimo102269:21-128LLLDL
16Casa PiaCasa Pia112276:20-148DLWLW
17Rio AveRio Ave102179:23-147LLWLD
18EstorilEstoril100285:19-142LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto1025:430
2BenficaBenfica1027:825
3Sporting CPSporting CP1124:1124
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1116:821
5AroucaArouca1113:820
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1115:1320
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente1110:818
8SC BragaSC Braga1012:1114
9MoreirenseMoreirense1113:1814
10FamalicaoFamalicao1115:1413
11AlvercaAlverca1114:1512
12EstrelaEstrela1015:1910
13NacionalNacional1111:1910
14Vitória SCVitória SC1010:109
15MaritimoMaritimo109:218
16Casa PiaCasa Pia116:208
17Rio AveRio Ave109:237
18EstorilEstoril105:192
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Estrela vs Sporting CP forecast

The forecasts for this Primeira Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Estrela and Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga table

In the Primeira Liga table, Sporting CP are 3rd and Estrela 12th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Estrela 15-19, Sporting CP 24-11. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.