York United vs Pacific FC Prediction

Canadian Premier LeagueCanada Canada · Group Stage
York United
3-4
Finished
HT 3-4
Pacific FC
York Lions Stadium, Toronto 27/09/2026
York UnitedYork United
3-4
Finished
Pacific FCPacific FC

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.23
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-6.8%
York United Rest
3 days
Pacific FC Rest
7 days

York United vs Pacific FC: the result in context

Pacific FC beat York United 4-3 in the Canadian Premier League on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 8. York United tend to win more corners, 4.5 a game to 2.5 for Pacific FC.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.78
X
25%3.70
2
23%3.59
Double Chance
1X
77%1.23
X2
49%1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.47
No
39%2.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.82 + 1.26 = 3.08
Over 1.5
81%1.13
Over 2.5
60%1.51
Over 3.5
40%2.22
Under 1.5
19%4.85
Under 2.5
40%2.38
Under 3.5
60%1.57
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'Oswaldo Leon
9'Red card confirmedOswaldo Leon
13'Marco Bustos(Penalty)
15'Juan Córdova
28'Luca accettolaAssist: Frank Sturing
35'M. Piepgrass INTaras Gomulka out
41'Taras GomulkaAssist: Marco Bustos
44'R. KrattAssist: Christian Greco-Taylor
45'Luca accettola INRaúl López out
45'Frank Sturing INCarlos Guzman out
45'Kembo·Kibato INMax Ferrari out
45+1'Penalty cancelledY. Toualy
45+9'Penalty confirmedFrank Sturing
45+11'Ollie Bassett(Penalty)
45+14'Kembo·KibatoHandball
45+15'Marco Bustos(Penalty)
58'R. Kratt INAlejandro Diaz out
66'Goal cancelledD. Konincks
70'Ollie BassettFoul
76'Raúl LópezFoul
78'Marco Bustos INM. Vales out
78'Aidan Daniels INMatteo Schiavoni out
78'Y. Toualy INDylan Demelo out
82'Steffen Yeates INSebastian Gonzales out
83'Sebastian GonzalesArgument
85'Juan David Quintana EcheverryFoul

Lineups

York United
4-3-3Coach: M. Eustáquio
Pacific FC
4-4-2Coach: T. Dunfield
Avg rating6.09
Avg rating6.61
Campos Ralston Kai Antonio5.517C. Ralston Kai Antonio
L. Singh5.63L. Singh
F. Sturing6.25F. Sturing
O. León4.84O. León
K. Kibato5.721K. Kibato
S. Yeates6.37S. Yeates
J. Córdova7.923J. Córdova
O. Bassett6.710O. Bassett
L. Accettola7.513L. Accettola
T. Skublak6.477T. Skublak
J. Almagro5.911J. Almagro
E. Himaras5.81E. Himaras
S. Keshavarz6.434S. Keshavarz
D. Konincks6.44D. Konincks
J. Quintana6.15J. Quintana
C. Greco-Taylor6.515C. Greco-Taylor
M. Bustos7.710M. Bustos
L. Browning-Lagerfeldt6.36L. Browning-Lagerfeldt
M. Piepgrass6.318M. Piepgrass
Y. Toualy6.264Y. Toualy
R. Kratt8.027R. Kratt
A. Daniels6.78A. Daniels

York United Substitutes

8C. Guzmán45'for Frank Sturing5.8
6R. López45'for Luca accettola76'5.3
12I. Pavela
35C. Onyeocha
9S. Gonzales82'for Steffen Yeates83'6.1
16M. Ferrari45'for Kembo·Kibato5.8
36Davin Chhoeun

Pacific FC Substitutes

12J. Belluz
38Dylan Demelo78'replaced by Y. Toualy
9A. Díaz58'for R. Kratt6.6
37M. Vales78'for Marco Bustos6.1
21Matteo Schiavoni78'for Aidan Daniels5.8
55S. Melvin
16T. Gomulka35'for M. Piepgrass41'8.2

Match Stats

York UnitedPacific FC
47%Ball Possession53%
6Corner Kicks5
5Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
13Total Shots17
4Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal10
11Shots Inside Box12
2Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots3
14Fouls17
1Offsides5
0Goalkeeper Saves1
323Total Passes430
268Passes Accurate382
16Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

York UnitedYork United
Pacific FCPacific FC
1399Elo Rating 1309
1.11Attack 1.10
0.00Defense 0.00
17%Hit Rate 14%
11.5Shots per Game 9.3
3.2Shots on Target 2.3
4.5Corners per Game 2.5
2.8Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.08 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

York UnitedYork United
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Pacific FCPacific FC
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

York UnitedYork United4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
Pacific FCPacific FC2Wins · 20%
3.3Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Canadian Premier League10/09/2026
York UnitedPacific FC
33
Canadian Premier League08/08/2026
Pacific FCYork United
11
Canadian Premier League17/05/2026
Pacific FCYork United
01
Canadian Premier League10/10/2025
York UnitedPacific FC
22
Canadian Premier League24/08/2025
York UnitedPacific FC
51
Canadian Premier League15/06/2025
Pacific FCYork United
13
Canadian Premier League11/05/2025
Pacific FCYork United
21
Canadian Premier League24/10/2024
York UnitedPacific FC
20
Canadian Premier League11/10/2024
York UnitedPacific FC
12
Canadian Premier League03/08/2024
Pacific FCYork United
11

Recent Form

York UnitedYork United
2W5D3L
24/09/2026
Vancouver FCYork United
33
D
20/09/2026
HFX Wanderers FCYork United
41
L13/09/2026
York UnitedVancouver FC
31
W10/09/2026
York UnitedPacific FC
33
D
06/09/2026
ForgeYork United
11
D
29/08/2026
Atlético OttawaYork United
21
L
23/08/2026
York UnitedSupra du Quebec
11
D
16/08/2026
York UnitedHFX Wanderers FC
43
W
08/08/2026
Pacific FCYork United
11
D
02/08/2026
Cavalry FCYork United
50
L
Pacific FCPacific FC
1W5D4L
20/09/2026
Pacific FCVancouver FC
11
D
14/09/2026
Pacific FCCavalry FC
01
L
10/09/2026
York UnitedPacific FC
33
D05/09/2026
Atlético OttawaPacific FC
00
D
31/08/2026
Pacific FCHFX Wanderers FC
43
W
23/08/2026
ForgePacific FC
20
L
15/08/2026
Vancouver FCPacific FC
11
D
08/08/2026
Pacific FCYork United
11
D
01/08/2026
Pacific FCSupra du Quebec
12
L26/07/2026
Atlético OttawaPacific FC
32
L

League Table

Canadian Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC27176457:23+3457WDLLW
2ForgeForge27176448:21+2757WWWDD
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa271341041:43-243LWWWL
4Vancouver FCVancouver FC271071039:36+337WDDDD
5Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec271051243:47-435WDWWL
6HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC27771341:46-528LDDLW
7York UnitedYork United27691240:64-2427LLLWL
8Pacific FCPacific FC27281732:61-2914LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC2757:2357
2ForgeForge2748:2157
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa2741:4343
4Vancouver FCVancouver FC2739:3637
5Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec2743:4735
6HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC2741:4628
7York UnitedYork United2740:6427
8Pacific FCPacific FC2732:6114

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About the York United vs Pacific FC forecast

The forecasts for this Canadian Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

York United and Pacific FC in the Canadian Premier League table

York United and Pacific FC are close in the Canadian Premier League table, 7th and 8th, with 13 points between them. League goal record so far: York United 40-64, Pacific FC 32-61. The full standings are on the Canadian Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.