Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers Prediction

Incheon Football Stadium, Incheon·Ko Hyung-jin 09/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.34
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseMediumGap-6.3%
Incheon United Rest
11 days
Pohang Steelers Rest
18 days

Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers: the result in context

Incheon United beat Pohang Steelers 3-0 in the K League 1 on 9 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game. Pohang Steelers tend to win more corners, 5.6 a game to 3.3 for Incheon United.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.40
X
29%3.08
2
32%3.00
Double Chance
1X
68%1.34
X2
61%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.95
No
53%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.24 + 1.15 = 2.39
Over 1.5
65%1.44
Over 2.5
41%2.35
Over 3.5
21%4.50
Under 1.5
35%2.62
Under 2.5
59%1.57
Under 3.5
79%1.17
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'Lee Min-hyuk
40'Lee Chung-YongAssist: Lee Min-hyuk
42'Jorge Luiz Barbosa TeixeiraFoul
45'Shin Kwang-Hoon INJakob Tranziska out
45+2'Stefan MugošaAssist: Juan Ibiza
63'Kim Seong-Min INLee Dong-ryul out
65'Park Chan-yongFoul
65'Ki Sung-Yueng INJung Han-Min out
65'Kento Nishiya INKim Seung-Ho out
71'Stefan Mugoša INMorgan Ferrier out
71'Leandro Ribeiro INGerso Fernandes out
77'Jorge Luiz Barbosa Teixeira INAn Jae-Joon out
81'Lee Chung-Yong INPark Seung-ho out
81'Lee Myung-Joo INSeo Jae-min out
83'Eo Jeong-Won INKang Min-jun out

Lineups

Incheon United
4-3-3Coach: Jong-hwan Yoon
Pohang Steelers
5-3-2Coach: Tae-ha Park
Avg rating6.86
Avg rating5.99
Kim Dong-Heon1K. Dong-Heon
Kim Myung-Sun39K. Myung-Sun
Kim Geon-Hui4K. Geon-Hui
Juan Fernández7.22J. Fernández
Lee Ju-Yong32L. Ju-Yong
Kim Seong-Min17K. Seong-Min
Lee Myung-Joo5L. Myung-Joo
Lee Min-Hyeok8.326L. Min-Hyeok
Lee Chung-Yong7.072L. Chung-Yong
S. Mugoša7.09S. Mugoša
Leandro Ribeiro70L. Ribeiro
Hwang In-Jae5.721H. In-Jae
Eo Jeong-Won5.92E. Jeong-Won
Shin Kwang-Hoon6.017S. Kwang-Hoon
Jeon Min-Gwang5.64J. Min-Gwang
Park Chan-Yong5.620P. Chan-Yong
Wanderson5.977Wanderson
K. Nishiya5.431K. Nishiya
Ki Sung-Yueng5.840K. Sung-Yueng
Kim Dong-Jin5.816K. Dong-Jin
Juninho Rocha6.311J. Rocha
Jorge Luiz6.125J. Luiz

Incheon United Substitutes

13Choi Seung-Gu
99M. Ferrier71'for Stefan Mugoša6.5
11Gerso71'for Leandro Ribeiro6.5
10Lee Dong-Ryul63'for Kim Seong-Min6.2
3Lee Sang-Gi
21Lee Tae-Hui
20Park Kyung-Sub
77Park Seung-Ho81'for Lee Chung-Yong6.3
15Seo Jae-Min81'for Lee Myung-Joo6.8

Pohang Steelers Substitutes

13Kang Min-Jun83'for Eo Jeong-Won6.2
8Kim Seung-Ho65'for Kento Nishiya5.9
3Ye-Sung Kim
14Lee Chang-Woo
10J. Tranziska45'for Shin Kwang-Hoon6.7
37Jung Han-Min65'for Ki Sung-Yueng6.6
5Jin Si-woo
29Hong Seong-Min
9An Jae-Jun77'for Jorge Luiz Barbosa Teixeira6.3

Match Stats

Incheon UnitedPohang Steelers
52%Ball Possession48%
2Corner Kicks11
0Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots6
7Shots on Goal1
0Shots off Goal3
5Shots Inside Box5
5Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots2
6Fouls8
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
596Total Passes474
545Passes Accurate411
8Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

Incheon UnitedIncheon United
Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers
1611Elo Rating 1539
1.76Attack 0.82
2.36Defense 1.43
46%Hit Rate 14%
9.1Shots per Game 7.0
4.9Shots on Target 3.2
3.3Corners per Game 5.6
1.2Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Incheon UnitedIncheon United
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Incheon UnitedIncheon United1Wins · 10%
Draws440%
Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers5Wins · 50%
1.7Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
10%3+ goals1 of 10

Previous meetings

K League 112/05/2026
Incheon UnitedPohang Steelers
01
K League 115/03/2026
Pohang SteelersIncheon United
11
K League 127/09/2024
Pohang SteelersIncheon United
10
K League 123/06/2024
Incheon UnitedPohang Steelers
13
K League 128/04/2024
Pohang SteelersIncheon United
00
K League 120/10/2023
Pohang SteelersIncheon United
11
K League 102/09/2023
Incheon UnitedPohang Steelers
02
K League 125/06/2023
Incheon UnitedPohang Steelers
01
K League 130/04/2023
Pohang SteelersIncheon United
02
K League 116/10/2022
Incheon UnitedPohang Steelers
11

Recent Form

Incheon UnitedIncheon United
2W5D3L
27/09/2026
Gangwon FCIncheon United
00
D
20/09/2026
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
11
D
12/09/2026
Ulsan Hyundai FCIncheon United
21
L
08/09/2026
Incheon UnitedBucheon FC 1995
21
W
05/09/2026
FC SeoulIncheon United
10
L
30/08/2026
Incheon UnitedJeonbuk Motors
11
D
26/08/2026
FC AnyangIncheon United
21
L
23/08/2026
Gwangju FCIncheon United
01
W
16/08/2026
Incheon UnitedGimcheon Sangmu FC
11
D
02/08/2026
Jeju United FCIncheon United
33
D
Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers
4W3D3L
20/09/2026
Pohang SteelersFC Seoul
21
W
15/09/2026
Beijing GuoanPohang Steelers
31
L
12/09/2026
Daejeon CitizenPohang Steelers
22
D
09/09/2026
Pohang SteelersGimcheon Sangmu FC
00
D
05/09/2026
Jeonbuk MotorsPohang Steelers
20
L
30/08/2026
Gangwon FCPohang Steelers
00
D
25/08/2026
Jeju United FCPohang Steelers
12
W
22/08/2026
Bucheon FC 1995Pohang Steelers
30
L
19/08/2026
Pohang SteelersJinju Citizen
31
W
15/08/2026
Gwangju FCPohang Steelers
12
W

Referee Profile

Ko Hyung-jin164 matches

3.47Cards per match
3.33Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
21.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ko Hyung-jin3.47
Other referees3.62

3.47 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.62).

Cards come from 112 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

K League 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC SeoulFC Seoul33207661:29+3267DDWLW
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC331561252:47+551DWLLW
3Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen3313101053:41+1249WWWDD
4Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors331212943:33+1048DWLDL
5Gangwon FCGangwon FC331115740:30+1048DDWDL
6Incheon UnitedIncheon United3312101143:35+846WDWDD
7Jeju United FCJeju United FC3312101139:37+246LLLWD
8FC AnyangFC Anyang3310131040:48-843DDWWD
9Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers331191330:39-942DDLWD
10Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC33519933:41-834LDLWD
11Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 1995337111532:47-1532LLLLD
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC333121830:69-3921WLWDD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC SeoulFC Seoul3361:2967
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC3352:4751
3Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen3353:4149
4Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors3343:3348
5Gangwon FCGangwon FC3340:3048
6Incheon UnitedIncheon United3343:3546
7Jeju United FCJeju United FC3339:3746
8FC AnyangFC Anyang3340:4843
9Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers3330:3942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC3333:4134
11Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 19953332:4732
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC3330:6921
PromotionRelegation

About the Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers forecast

The forecasts for this K League 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Incheon United and Pohang Steelers in the K League 1 table

In the K League 1 table, Incheon United are 6th and Pohang Steelers 9th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Incheon United 43-35, Pohang Steelers 30-39. The full standings are on the K League 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.