Independiente Petrolero vs Guabirá Prediction

R. Vera 28/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.48
SignalGOODModel31%SurpriseHighGap+6.5%
Independiente Petrolero Rest
4 days
Guabirá Rest
4 days

Independiente Petrolero vs Guabirá: the result in context

Independiente Petrolero beat Guabirá 3-1 in the Primera División on 27 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. Referee R. Vera averages 5.09 cards a game, 0.88 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.89
X
30%3.55
2
26%3.50
Double Chance
1X
74%1.25
X2
56%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.55
No
45%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.18 = 2.74
Over 1.5
75%1.18
Over 2.5
54%1.60
Over 3.5
33%2.48
Under 1.5
25%4.40
Under 2.5
46%2.16
Under 3.5
67%1.48
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'Pedro
39'C. AnezOG
46'S. Torres INR. Cardozo out
46'J. Villavicencio INR. Zamora out
46'G. Alvarez INJeferson Carioca out
56'G. Cristaldo
58'Pedro INS. Gil out
58'Pablo Melgar INY. Baigorria out
62'D. Navarro INW. Soleto out
65'G. PeredoUnsportsmanlike conduct
69'G. Peredo INS. Garzon out
69'J. FloresOG
73'C. AnezFoul
76'P. Lujan INN. Masskooni out
76'J. Flores INM. Tellez out
86'Willie INR. E. Rocabado Concha out
89'Goal Disallowed - offsideD. Rojas

Match Stats

Independiente PetroleroGuabirá
51%Ball Possession49%
3Corner Kicks3
6Total Shots10
2Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal5
3Shots Inside Box6
3Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots1
6Fouls3
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves2
251Total Passes229
212Passes Accurate185
3Free Kicks5

Team Comparison

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
GuabiráGuabirá
1468Elo Rating 1429
2.21Attack 0.91
1.57Defense 0.78
36%Hit Rate 14%
11.9Shots per Game 13.0
4.2Shots on Target 2.9
2.4Corners per Game 3.5
2.3Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.9 in second half)
GuabiráGuabirá
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
GuabiráGuabirá3Wins · 30%
2.6Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División11/04/2026
GuabiráIndependiente Petrolero
22
CONMEBOL Sudamericana03/03/2026
Independiente PetroleroGuabirá
3020
Primera División03/12/2025
Independiente PetroleroGuabirá
31
Copa de la División Profesional14/08/2025
GuabiráIndependiente Petrolero
31
Primera División01/07/2025
GuabiráIndependiente Petrolero
11
Copa de la División Profesional21/05/2025
Independiente PetroleroGuabirá
01
Primera División27/10/2024
GuabiráIndependiente Petrolero
12
Primera División13/07/2024
Independiente PetroleroGuabirá
00
Primera División09/04/2024
Independiente PetroleroGuabirá
32
Primera División18/02/2024
GuabiráIndependiente
21

Recent Form

Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
4W1D5L
23/08/2026
Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero
30
L
20/08/2026
Independiente PetroleroBlooming
52
W
17/08/2026
Independiente PetroleroGualberto Villarroel SJ
10
W
08/08/2026
The StrongestIndependiente Petrolero
12
W
05/08/2026
Independiente PetroleroAurora
11
D
01/08/2026
Real OruroIndependiente Petrolero
03
W
26/07/2026
Independiente PetroleroOriente Petrolero
12
L
22/07/2026
Independiente PetroleroReal Potosí
12
L
16/07/2026
ABBIndependiente Petrolero
31
L
28/05/2026
Racing ClubIndependiente Petrolero
20
L
GuabiráGuabirá
6W3D1L
23/08/2026
GuabiráBlooming
11
D
19/08/2026
GuabiráUniversitario de Vinto
21
W
15/08/2026
GuabiráThe Strongest
31
W
07/08/2026
ABBGuabirá
01
W
05/08/2026
GuabiráReal Tomayapo
30
W
31/07/2026
Universitario de VintoGuabirá
11
D
18/07/2026
BolívarGuabirá
40
L
29/05/2026
San Antonio Bulo BuloGuabirá
12
W
18/05/2026
GuabiráNacional Potosí
21
W
15/05/2026
Oriente PetroleroGuabirá
22
D

Referee Profile

R. Vera16 matches

5.09Cards per match
4.45Yellow cards per match
0.64Red cards per match
19.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

R. Vera5.09
Other referees5.97

5.09 cards a match, 0.88 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.97).

Cards come from 11 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BolívarBolívar25193361:24+3760WWWWW
2Always ReadyAlways Ready25176261:19+4257WWWLW
3The StrongestThe Strongest25146546:29+1748LWLWL
4Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero25125842:30+1241WDWDW
5Real PotosíReal Potosí251010532:18+1440DDLWW
6AuroraAurora25812536:32+436DDWLD
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí25961037:33+433DDWLD
8GuabiráGuabirá25961040:50-1033WLLDL
9BloomingBlooming25710833:27+631LWLDL
10Real OruroReal Oruro25941241:58-1731WDLWW
11Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero25861132:42-1030LDWDL
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo25831428:50-2227LWWLD
13Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo25651419:42-2323WLLWD
14Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto25641532:49-1722DLLWL
15Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ25481330:47-1720LLWLW
16ABBABB25621737:57-2020LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BolívarBolívar2561:2460
2Always ReadyAlways Ready2561:1957
3The StrongestThe Strongest2546:2948
4Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero2542:3041
5Real PotosíReal Potosí2532:1840
6AuroraAurora2536:3236
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí2537:3333
8GuabiráGuabirá2540:5033
9BloomingBlooming2533:2731
10Real OruroReal Oruro2541:5831
11Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero2532:4230
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2528:5027
13Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo2519:4223
14Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto2532:4922
15Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ2530:4720
16ABBABB2537:5720

About the Independiente Petrolero vs Guabirá forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Independiente Petrolero and Guabirá in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Guabirá are 8th and Independiente Petrolero 11th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Independiente Petrolero 32-42, Guabirá 40-50. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.