Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland Prediction

Israel
0-3
Finished
HT 0-3
Rep. Of Ireland
Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen·Harm Osmers 27/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.66
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+8.2%
Israel Rest
3 days
Rep. Of Ireland Rest
3 days

Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland: result, form and history

Rep. Of Ireland beat Israel 3-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.75
X
28%3.20
2
38%2.65
Double Chance
1X
62%1.45
X2
66%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.77
No
50%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.06 + 0.92 = 1.98
Over 1.5
72%1.33
Over 2.5
47%2.09
Over 3.5
28%3.50
Under 1.5
28%3.25
Under 2.5
53%1.76
Under 3.5
72%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4 = 8.9
Over 8.5
55%1.81
Over 9.5
44%2.37
Over 10.5
33%3.13
Under 8.5
45%1.94
Under 9.5
56%1.52
Under 10.5
67%1.28
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%1.36
Over 4.5
47%1.79
Under 3.5
34%2.83
Under 4.5
53%1.95

Match Events

13'Troy ParrottAssist: James Abankwah
16'Adam IdahAssist: Jack Moylan
25'Jack Moylan
45'guy mizrahi INDor Peretz out
59'Raz ShlomoArgument
59'Adam IdahArgument
64'Gabi Kanikovski INEthane Azoulay out
64'Dor Turgeman INIdan Toklomati Jorno out
68'James Abankwah INJason Knight out
68'Jack Moylan INKillian Phillips out
69'Adam Idah INThomas Cannon out
76'Anan Khalaili INEli Dasa out
76'Troy Parrott INRocco Vata out
83'Roy Revivo INIlay Feingold out
88'Jayson Molumby INJoel Bagan out
89'Conor CoventryFoul

Lineups

Israel
5-3-2Coach: R. Ben Shimon
Rep. Of Ireland
3-4-3Coach: H. Hallgrímsson
Avg rating6.15
Avg rating7.00
Daniel Peretz5.61D. Peretz
A. Khalaili5.617A. Khalaili
G. Mizrahi5.814G. Mizrahi
R. Shlomo6.44R. Shlomo
N. Stoioanov6.513N. Stoioanov
R. Revivo5.93R. Revivo
G. Kanichowsky6.416G. Kanichowsky
E. Peretz6.315E. Peretz
M. Solomon6.310M. Solomon
D. Turgeman6.119D. Turgeman
O. Gloukh6.811O. Gloukh
C. Kelleher7.41C. Kelleher
D. O'Shea7.34D. O'Shea
J. O'Brien7.35J. O'Brien
L. Kitching7.012L. Kitching
J. Abankwah7.22J. Abankwah
C. Coventry6.414C. Coventry
J. Molumby6.76J. Molumby
R. Manning6.418R. Manning
J. Moylan8.617J. Moylan
T. Parrott7.67T. Parrott
A. Idah7.610A. Idah

Israel Substitutes

22E. Azoulay64'for Gabi Kanikovski6.0
20L. Abada
9T. Baribo
2E. Dasa76'for Anan Khalaili5.9
12I. Feingold83'for Roy Revivo6.0
18O. Glazer
6Y. Levi
5I. Nachmias
8Dor Peretz45'for guy mizrahi6.2
7Y. Shua
21I. Toklomati Giorno64'for Dor Turgeman6.6
23A. Tzur

Rep. Of Ireland Substitutes

9T. Cannon69'for Adam Idah6.5
23J. Dunne
15J. Egan
19O. Elding
8J. Knight68'for James Abankwah6.6
16M. O’Leary
20C. Ogbene
22K. Phillips68'for Jack Moylan6.6
3L. Scales
21R. Vata76'for Troy Parrott6.4
11F. Azaz
13J. Bagan88'for Jayson Molumby6.5

Match Stats

IsraelRep. Of Ireland
64%Ball Possession36%
2Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
8Total Shots9
4Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal3
3Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots3
16Fouls12
1Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves4
645Total Passes353
577Passes Accurate280
12Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

IsraelIsrael
Rep. Of IrelandRep. Of Ireland
1481Elo Rating 1543
1.00Attack 1.59
1.51Defense 1.82
14%Hit Rate 19%
11.0Shots per Game 10.0
3.4Shots on Target 2.9
3.7Corners per Game 3.5
1.8Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

IsraelIsrael
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Rep. Of IrelandRep. Of Ireland
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

IsraelIsrael
5W0D5L
24/09/2026
AustriaIsrael
31
L
03/06/2026
AlbaniaIsrael
01
W
16/11/2025
IsraelMoldova
41
W
14/10/2025
ItalyIsrael
30
L
11/10/2025
NorwayIsrael
50
L
08/09/2025
IsraelItaly
45
L
05/09/2025
MoldovaIsrael
04
W
06/06/2025
EstoniaIsrael
13
W
25/03/2025
IsraelNorway
24
L
22/03/2025
IsraelEstonia
21
W
Rep. Of IrelandRep. Of Ireland
5W1D4L
24/09/2026
KosovoRep. Of Ireland
10
L
06/06/2026
CanadaRep. Of Ireland
11
D
28/05/2026
Rep. Of IrelandQatar
10
W
16/05/2026
Rep. Of IrelandGrenada
50
W
26/03/2026
Czech RepublicRep. Of Ireland
4232
L
16/11/2025
HungaryRep. Of Ireland
23
W
13/11/2025
Rep. Of IrelandPortugal
20
W
14/10/2025
Rep. Of IrelandArmenia
10
W
11/10/2025
PortugalRep. Of Ireland
10
L
09/09/2025
ArmeniaRep. Of Ireland
21
L

Referee Profile

Harm Osmers196 matches

4.37Cards per match
4.16Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
22.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Harm Osmers4.37
Other referees4.30

4.37 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.30).

Cards come from 188 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AustriaAustria42209:5+48DDWW
2KosovoKosovo41213:4-15DDLW
3Rep. Of IrelandRep. Of Ireland41216:4+25DDWL
4IsraelIsrael40222:7-52DDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AustriaAustria49:58
2KosovoKosovo43:45
3Rep. Of IrelandRep. Of Ireland46:45
4IsraelIsrael42:72
PromotionRelegation

About the Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Israel and Rep. Of Ireland in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Rep. Of Ireland are 3rd in the UEFA Nations League, 3 points ahead of Israel in 4th. League goal record so far: Israel 2-7, Rep. Of Ireland 6-4. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rep. Of Ireland have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Israel and Rep. Of Ireland have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.