Germany vs Greece Prediction

Germany
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Greece
WWK Arena, Augsburg·Chris Kavanagh 27/09/2026
GermanyGermany
0-1
Finished
GreeceGreece

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.41
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-6.9%
Germany Rest
3 days
Greece Rest
3 days

Germany vs Greece: result, form and history

Greece beat Germany 1-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Germany tend to win more corners, 6.7 a game to 4.1 for Greece.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.42
X
20%5.00
2
17%6.80
Double Chance
1X
83%1.12
X2
37%2.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.57
No
45%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.84 + 0.88 = 2.72
Over 1.5
82%1.10
Over 2.5
63%1.41
Over 3.5
44%2.11
Under 1.5
18%5.80
Under 2.5
37%2.73
Under 3.5
56%1.74
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 3.7 = 8.9
Over 8.5
55%1.72
Over 9.5
44%2.17
Over 10.5
33%2.94
Under 8.5
45%2.02
Under 9.5
56%1.60
Under 10.5
67%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.4 = 4
Over 3.5
56%1.79
Over 4.5
37%2.48
Under 3.5
44%1.94
Under 4.5
63%1.50

Match Events

17'Yann BisseckFoul
18'Georgios VagiannidisFoul
22'Konstantinos KaretsasDissent
45'Georgios Vagiannidis INManolis Saliakas out
57'Panagiotis RetsosFoul
59'Christos Zafeiris INDimitrios Kourbelis out
59'Andrews Tetteh INFotis Ioannidis out
65'Kevin Schade INJonathan Burkardt out
65'Bambasé Conté INFlorian Wirtz out
68'Dimitrios KourbelisFoul
74'Dimitrios Kourbelis
75'Karim Adeyemi INSerge Gnabry out
81'Christos Tzolis INGeorgios Masouras out
84'Nathaniel Brown INHennes Behrens out
84'Felix Nmecha INAnton Stach out
89'Vangelis Pavlidis INGiannis Michailidis out

Lineups

Germany
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Klopp
Greece
4-4-2Coach: I. Jovanović
Avg rating6.52
Avg rating6.69
A. Nübel6.521A. Nübel
J. Vagnoman6.614J. Vagnoman
Y. Bisseck6.62Y. Bisseck
J. Tah6.44J. Tah
N. Brown6.818N. Brown
F. Nmecha6.98F. Nmecha
J. Kimmich7.26J. Kimmich
K. Adeyemi6.719K. Adeyemi
B. Conté6.415B. Conté
K. Schade6.59K. Schade
Y. Ebnoutalib6.123Y. Ebnoutalib
K. Tzolakis7.712K. Tzolakis
G. Vagiannidis6.22G. Vagiannidis
K. Mavropanos7.74K. Mavropanos
P. Retsos6.15P. Retsos
K. Tsimikas6.821K. Tsimikas
K. Karetsas6.319K. Karetsas
T. Androutsos6.815T. Androutsos
C. Zafeiris6.620C. Zafeiris
C. Tzolis6.410C. Tzolis
V. Pavlidis6.414V. Pavlidis
A. Tetteh6.716A. Tetteh

Germany Substitutes

10J. Burkardt65'for Kevin Schade6.2
11N. Amiri
12F. Dahmen
5Y. Engelhardt
7C. Führich
20S. Gnabry75'for Karim Adeyemi6.7
3M. Rosenfelder
16A. Stach84'for Felix Nmecha6.4
13P. Treu
17F. Wirtz65'for Bambasé Conté6.0
1M. ter Stegen
22Hennes Behrens84'for Nathaniel Brown6.3

Greece Substitutes

1O. Vlachodimos
17M. Saliakas45'for Georgios Vagiannidis6.6
3A. Ntoi
23C. Mouzakitis
18G. Michailidis89'for Vangelis Pavlidis6.5
7G. Masouras81'for Christos Tzolis6.5
13C. Mandas
22G. Kiriakopoulos
6D. Kourbelis59'for Christos Zafeiris68'74'7.5
11C. Kostoulas
8F. Ioannidis59'for Andrews Tetteh6.3
9T. Douvikas

Match Stats

GermanyGreece
76%Ball Possession24%
8Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards4
16Total Shots8
5Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box5
8Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots1
12Fouls11
1Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves5
730Total Passes228
668Passes Accurate167
11Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

GermanyGermany
GreeceGreece
1760Elo Rating 1652
0.76Attack 0.98
2.50Defense 2.38
23%Hit Rate 36%
19.7Shots per Game 10.9
4.8Shots on Target 3.6
6.7Corners per Game 4.1
1.2Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+108 Elo
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

GermanyGermany
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GreeceGreece
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

GermanyGermany1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
GreeceGreece0Wins · 0%
6.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Euro Championship22/06/2012
GermanyGreece
42

Recent Form

GermanyGermany
7W1D2L
24/09/2026
NetherlandsGermany
11
D
29/06/2026
GermanyParaguay
3141
L
25/06/2026
EcuadorGermany
21
L
20/06/2026
GermanyIvory Coast
21
W
14/06/2026
GermanyCuraçao
71
W
06/06/2026
USAGermany
12
W
31/05/2026
GermanyFinland
40
W
17/11/2025
GermanySlovakia
60
W
14/11/2025
LuxembourgGermany
02
W
13/10/2025
Northern IrelandGermany
01
W
GreeceGreece
4W2D4L
24/09/2026
SerbiaGreece
12
W
07/06/2026
GreeceItaly
01
L
04/06/2026
SwedenGreece
22
D
18/11/2025
BelarusGreece
00
D
15/11/2025
GreeceScotland
32
W
12/10/2025
DenmarkGreece
31
L
09/10/2025
ScotlandGreece
31
L
08/09/2025
GreeceDenmark
03
L
05/09/2025
GreeceBelarus
51
W
23/03/2025
ScotlandGreece
03
W

Referee Profile

Chris Kavanagh212 matches

4.12Cards per match
3.96Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
22.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Chris Kavanagh4.12
Other referees3.89

4.12 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.89).

Cards come from 203 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NetherlandsNetherlands42207:5+28WDWD
2GreeceGreece42205:3+28DDWW
3GermanyGermany41213:2+15DWLD
4SerbiaSerbia40043:8-50LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NetherlandsNetherlands47:58
2GreeceGreece45:38
3GermanyGermany43:25
4SerbiaSerbia43:80

About the Germany vs Greece forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Germany and Greece in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Greece are 2nd in the UEFA Nations League, 3 points ahead of Germany in 3rd. League goal record so far: Germany 3-2, Greece 5-3. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Germany and Greece have met only 1 time recently, with 6.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.