Jaguares vs Fortaleza FC Prediction

Jaguares
2-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Fortaleza FC
Estadio Jaraguay, Monteria 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.78
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+7.0%
Jaguares Rest
5 days
Fortaleza FC Rest
5 days

Jaguares vs Fortaleza FC: result, form and history

Jaguares and Fortaleza FC drew 2-2 in the Primera A on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.38
X
30%3.01
2
31%3.10
Double Chance
1X
69%1.33
X2
61%1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.91
No
46%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.23 + 0.97 = 2.20
Over 1.5
71%1.40
Over 2.5
45%2.29
Over 3.5
24%4.15
Under 1.5
29%2.75
Under 2.5
55%1.59
Under 3.5
76%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.5 = 9.1
Over 8.5
58%1.60
Over 9.5
45%2.00
Over 10.5
34%2.60
Under 8.5
42%2.18
Under 9.5
55%1.73
Under 10.5
66%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.3 = 4.8
Over 3.5
71%-
Over 4.5
53%-
Under 3.5
29%-
Under 4.5
47%-

Match Events

10'Jhonier BlancoAssist: Mariano Vázquez
21'A. MosqueraFoul
37'Jhonier Blanco INFranco Pulicastro out
38'Juan Esteban FrancoFoul
45'Wilfrido De la Rosa INDarwin Lopez out
45'Juan Esteban Franco INAndres Felipe Alfonso Ciprian out
45'Julio Sinisterra INJhon Solis out
48'Santiago Vivas VélezFoul
50'Carlos HenaoFoul
54'Mariano VázquezAssist: Sebastian Navarro
57'Johar Mejia INSantiago Cubides out
57'Cristian Alvarez INJohan Beltrán out
65'Mariano Vázquez INJordan Garcia out
75'Jonathan LoveraFoul
79'Andrés Rentería(Penalty)
80'Sebastian Navarro INJhoiner Salas out
80'Andres Felipe Alfonso Ciprian INDuvan Rodriguez out
85'Darwin LopezAssist: Duvan Rodriguez

Lineups

Jaguares
4-2-3-1Coach: H. Bodhert
Fortaleza FC
4-4-2Coach: Diego Arias
Avg rating6.45
Avg rating6.65
F. Mosquera6.212F. Mosquera
J. Franco6.14J. Franco
J. Lovera6.16J. Lovera
C. Henao6.029C. Henao
J. Arcila6.523J. Arcila
R. Colpa6.45R. Colpa
R. Bustamante6.721R. Bustamante
W. De La Rosa6.27W. De La Rosa
C. Álvarez6.010C. Álvarez
J. Mejia5.99J. Mejia
A. Rentería7.311A. Rentería
W. Barlasina6.81W. Barlasina
J. Cajares6.516J. Cajares
J. Medina Obando6.45J. Medina Obando
Y. Díaz6.36Y. Díaz
Andres Mosquera6.22A. Mosquera
S. Navarro7.38S. Navarro
L. Pico6.014L. Pico
S. Vivas6.128S. Vivas
J. Sinisterra5.927J. Sinisterra
3232M. Vázquez
J. Blanco7.720J. Blanco

Jaguares Substitutes

24S. Cubides57'for Johar Mejia6.6
16E. Beltrán57'for Cristian Alvarez6.6
2A. Alfonso45'for Juan Esteban Franco80'for Duvan Rodriguez5.7
27F. Gracia
17D. López45'for Wilfrido De la Rosa85'8.2
3J. Malagón
1D. Martínez
8D. Rodríguez80'replaced by Andres Felipe Alfonso Ciprian6.7
28D. Zuluaga

Fortaleza FC Substitutes

25J. Garcia65'replaced by Mariano Vázquez6.3
9J. Herrera
13Brandón Andrés Mejía Fajardo
7Í. Montaño
35Adrian Mosquera Rentería
19F. Pulicastro37'for Jhonier Blanco6.6
24J. Salas80'for Sebastian Navarro6.8
12C. Santander
30J. Solís45'for Julio Sinisterra6.5

Match Stats

JaguaresFortaleza FC
61%Ball Possession39%
5Corner Kicks7
3Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots8
6Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box5
7Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots3
13Fouls15
1Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves4
420Total Passes271
365Passes Accurate206
14Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

JaguaresJaguares
Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC
1432Elo Rating 1470
1.22Attack 1.20
0.54Defense 1.53
19%Hit Rate 0%
9.3Shots per Game 16.8
2.6Shots on Target 4.2
2.9Corners per Game 4.5
3.2Cards per Game 3.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

JaguaresJaguares
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

JaguaresJaguares0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC3Wins · 100%
2.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Primera A05/03/2026
Fortaleza FCJaguares
21
Primera A08/10/2024
Fortaleza FCJaguares
31
Primera A25/03/2024
JaguaresFortaleza FC
01

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040WDWWL
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735LWWLW
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434DLWWL
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWLDW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933DDDLD
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LDWWD
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729LWWDD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028WDLLD
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427DWWLD
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826DLDWW
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226LDWLW
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526WLWDL
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623LLLDD
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322DWDDD
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522DDLLL
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318WLDLL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417WDLWW
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717LWLDL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316DWDDL
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional15102330:13+1732WDWWL
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1594229:11+1831LWLDW
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1686224:10+1430DWWLD
4MillonariosMillonarios1668224:14+1026DLDWW
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1467122:13+925LLLDD
6Santa FeSanta Fe1474321:14+725LWWDD
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1572622:21+123LDWLW
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1656520:18+221DDDLD
9CucutaCucuta1563618:22-421DWDDL
10Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1655618:19-120LDWWD
11Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1547419:20-119WLWDL
12Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1553716:26-1018WDLWW
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1638518:22-417WDLLD
14LlanerosLlaneros1652916:21-517DWDDD
15JuniorJunior1536620:23-315LWWLW
16ChicoChico1543812:25-1315LWLDL
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1528511:19-814LLLDD
18JaguaresJaguares1534817:28-1113WLDLL
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1519516:22-612DDLLL
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1533910:22-1212DLWWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1530:1332
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1529:1131
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1624:1030
4MillonariosMillonarios1624:1426
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1422:1325
6Santa FeSanta Fe1421:1425
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1522:2123
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1620:1821
9CucutaCucuta1518:2221
10Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1618:1920
11Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1519:2019
12Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1516:2618
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1618:2217
14LlanerosLlaneros1616:2117
15JuniorJunior1520:2315
16ChicoChico1512:2515
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1511:1914
18JaguaresJaguares1517:2813
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1516:2212
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1510:2212

About the Jaguares vs Fortaleza FC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Jaguares and Fortaleza FC in the Primera A table

Fortaleza FC and Jaguares are close in the Primera A table, 15th and 16th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Jaguares 20-33, Fortaleza FC 22-27. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.