Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali Prediction

Millonarios
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Deportivo Cali
11/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel49%SurpriseHighGap-3.7%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.31
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseHighGap+8.0%
Millonarios Rest
4 days
Deportivo Cali Rest
2 days

Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali: the result in context

Millonarios and Deportivo Cali drew 1-1 in the Primera A on 11 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.73
X
27%3.50
2
19%4.78
Double Chance
1X
81%1.17
X2
46%2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.95
No
48%1.77
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.4 + 0.87 = 2.27
Over 1.5
71%1.33
Over 2.5
42%2.07
Over 3.5
22%3.58
Under 1.5
29%3.15
Under 2.5
58%1.72
Under 3.5
78%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.5 = 8.8
Over 8.5
44%1.75
Over 9.5
33%2.22
Over 10.5
23%2.97
Under 8.5
56%1.96
Under 9.5
67%1.58
Under 10.5
77%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.3 = 4.5
Over 3.5
65%-
Over 4.5
46%-
Under 3.5
35%-
Under 4.5
54%-

Match Events

33'Daniel Felipe Ruiz RiveraFoul
39'Johan Martinez
45'Daniel Felipe Ruiz Rivera INAndrey Estupinan out
45'Sebastián Valencia INDanovis Banguero out
45'Mateo Garcia Rojas INDavid Silva out
45+2'Gustavo CuéllarFoul
55'Eduard Bello INSantiago Vallecilla González out
59'Edwin VelascoFoul
60'Francisco ChaverraAssist: Samuel Martín Díaz
74'Johan Martinez INAvilés Hurtado out
77'Leyser Chaverra RenteriaFoul
80'Leonardo Castro
84'David SilvaFoul
85'Fabian Viafara INAlexis Castillo Manyoma out
85'Steven Rodríguez INJuan Dinenno out
85'Nicolás Benedetti INEmanuel Reynoso out
90+1'Avilés HurtadoFoul
90+4'Rodrigo UreñaFoul
90+4'Jose Carlos CalderaTime wasting
90+7'Jaine BarreiroFoul

Lineups

Millonarios
4-4-2Coach: F. Bustos
Deportivo Cali
4-4-2Coach: R. Dudamel
Avg rating6.70
Avg rating6.62
J. Burrai7.11J. Burrai
M. Diaz Samuel7.63M. Diaz Samuel
S. Mosquera6.36S. Mosquera
S. Barreiro6.24S. Barreiro
Sebastián Valencia Isaza6.622S. Valencia Isaza
F. Chaverra7.713F. Chaverra
R. Ureña6.918R. Ureña
M. García6.419M. García
D. Ruiz6.710D. Ruiz
L. Castro6.423L. Castro
R. Contreras6.827R. Contreras
P. Gallese7.51P. Gallese
F. Viáfara6.927F. Viáfara
J. Caldera6.512J. Caldera
L. Chaverra6.315L. Chaverra
E. Velasco6.128E. Velasco
N. Benedetti6.521N. Benedetti
Fernando Antonio Álvarez Amador6.34F. Antonio Álvarez Amador
G. Cuéllar6.45G. Cuéllar
E. Bello6.720E. Bello
J. Martínez8.219J. Martínez
S. Rodríguez6.823S. Rodríguez

Millonarios Substitutes

15Yeiner Matias Romero Pino
12J. Aguirre
24J. Angulo
20D. Banguero45'for Sebastián Valencia6.2
11A. Estupiñán45'for Daniel Felipe Ruiz Rivera6.6
26A. Llinás
25D. Quintero
14D. Silva45'for Mateo Garcia Rojas84'6.5
30S. del Castillo

Deportivo Cali Substitutes

14A. Castillo Manyoma85'for Fabian Viafara6.4
9J. Dinenno85'for Steven Rodríguez6.6
70C. Bacca
35Santiago Vallecilla González55'replaced by Eduard Bello
18A. Hurtado74'for Johan Martinez90+1'5.9
43Santiago Martinez
10E. Reynoso85'for Nicolás Benedetti6.6
38A. Rodríguez
26J. Tello

Match Stats

MillonariosDeportivo Cali
53%Ball Possession47%
7Corner Kicks3
5Yellow Cards5
20Total Shots11
7Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box7
9Shots Outside Box4
8Blocked Shots1
15Fouls13
2Offsides4
4Goalkeeper Saves6
404Total Passes360
318Passes Accurate291
12Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

MillonariosMillonarios
Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali
1648Elo Rating 1668
1.31Attack 1.35
2.27Defense 2.77
19%Hit Rate 46%
19.2Shots per Game 12.0
6.3Shots on Target 5.4
5.2Corners per Game 4.0
3.4Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk90%

Game State Tendencies

MillonariosMillonarios
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MillonariosMillonarios4Wins · 40%
Draws550%
Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1Wins · 10%
2.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A09/02/2026
Deportivo CaliMillonarios
00
Primera A09/08/2025
MillonariosDeportivo Cali
33
Primera A24/02/2025
Deportivo CaliMillonarios
31
Primera A05/10/2024
Deportivo CaliMillonarios
01
Primera A23/03/2024
MillonariosDeportivo Cali
11
Primera A25/08/2023
Deportivo CaliMillonarios
00
Primera A05/03/2023
MillonariosDeportivo Cali
20
Primera A07/08/2022
MillonariosDeportivo Cali
42
Primera A14/02/2022
Deportivo CaliMillonarios
02
Primera A15/08/2021
Deportivo CaliMillonarios
22

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040LWWWD
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735WDWWL
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434LLWWD
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWWLW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933DWDDD
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LWLDW
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729WWWDD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028LWLWD
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427WLDWW
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826WLDLD
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226WWWLD
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526DLLWL
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623DLWLL
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322LDLDW
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522LLWDD
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318DLLWL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417DLLWD
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717WLLWL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316DLWDW
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710WLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional18123337:17+2039LWWWD
2Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1897226:10+1634WLDWW
3Santa FeSanta Fe19104530:18+1234WWWDD
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1896329:15+1433LWWLW
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1888230:17+1332DLWLL
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1892728:25+329WWWLD
7MillonariosMillonarios1869325:16+927WLDLD
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1876522:18+427DWDDD
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1875623:21+226LWLDW
10Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1867522:21+125DLLWL
11LlanerosLlaneros1973921:24-324LDLDW
12CucutaCucuta1873819:26-724DLWDW
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1958625:25023LWLWD
14JuniorJunior1957726:27-122WDWWL
15ChicoChico1955915:29-1420WLLWL
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar18531018:31-1318DLLWD
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1838716:26-1017WLDLL
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19431213:30-1715LLWWD
19JaguaresJaguares18341117:35-1813DLLWL
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1819817:28-1112LLWDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1837:1739
2Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1826:1034
3Santa FeSanta Fe1930:1834
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1829:1533
5BucaramangaBucaramanga1830:1732
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1828:2529
7MillonariosMillonarios1825:1627
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1822:1827
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1823:2126
10Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1822:2125
11LlanerosLlaneros1921:2424
12CucutaCucuta1819:2624
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1925:2523
14JuniorJunior1926:2722
15ChicoChico1915:2920
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1818:3118
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1816:2617
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1913:3015
19JaguaresJaguares1817:3513
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1817:2812

About the Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali forecast

The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Millonarios and Deportivo Cali in the Primera A table

Deportivo Cali and Millonarios are close in the Primera A table, 9th and 10th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Millonarios 31-23, Deportivo Cali 20-16. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.