Jaguares vs Chico Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 6
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalHIGHModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
Value Analysis
49%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
2.05
SignalNEUTRALModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+4.5%
Jaguares Rest
11 days
Chico Rest
13 days
Jaguares vs Chico: the result in context
Jaguares beat Chico 1-0 in the Primera A on 21 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game. Referee Jairo Londono averages 6.61 cards a game, 0.55 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
153%1.85
X30%3.25
217%4.34
Double Chance
1X83%1.20
X248%1.88
Both Teams to Score
Yes49%2.05
No51%1.69
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 0.8 = 2.17
Over 1.567%1.40
Over 2.545%2.30
Over 3.521%4.33
Under 1.533%2.75
Under 2.555%1.59
Under 3.579%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 3.5 = 8.2
Over 8.544%1.98
Over 9.541%2.56
Over 10.530%3.59
Under 8.556%1.75
Under 9.559%1.43
Under 10.570%1.23
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.6 = 5.1
Over 3.570%-
Over 4.557%-
Under 3.530%-
Under 4.543%-
Match Events
4'R. Bustamante
10'R. BustamanteAssist: Jopito
27'F. Mosquera
27'S. Navarro INC. Mosquera out
34'W. De La Rosa
46'W. De La Rosa INJ. Mejia out
46'Y. Cabrera INF. Cifuentes out
51'R. Bustamante INJ. Hinestroza out
58'C. Mosquera
61'J. Maza INF. A. Gil Mosquera out
61'A. Renteria IND. Lopez out
63'I. Camargo INS. Viveros out
63'S. Salazar INJ. Pimentel out
73'J. Hinestroza
79'Jopito INC. Cantillo out
85'C. Henao
89'C. Blanco Betancur INJ. Alomia out
89'F. Cifuentes
90'J. Mejia
90+4'J. Palma
90+4'F. A. Gil Mosquera
Lineups
JaguaresChico
Coach: Jhon GomezJaguares Starting XI
12Franklin Mosquera27'
4Juan Franco
3Jerson Malagón
29Carlos Henao85'
23Juan Pérez
5Royscer ColpaC
21Rafael Bustamante4'10'51'replaced by J. Hinestroza
7Wilfrido De la Rosa34'46'replaced by J. Mejia
10Cristian Alvarez79'replaced by C. Cantillo
15Jáder Maza61'replaced by F. A. Gil Mosquera
11Andrés Rentería61'replaced by D. Lopez
Avg rating
Chico Starting XI
12Branndon Zapata
15Sander Navarro27'replaced by C. Mosquera
4Jefferson MenaC
25Sebastián Palma90+4'
14Cristian Blanco89'replaced by J. Alomia
17Estiven Sarria
6Juan Diaz
8Sebastian Salazar63'replaced by J. Pimentel
16Santiago Mera
9Isaac Camargo63'for S. Viveros
10Yesus Cabrera46'for F. Cifuentes
Avg rating
Jaguares Substitutes
9Johar Mejía46'for W. De La Rosa90'
13Johan Hinestroza51'for R. Bustamante73'
20Faber Andrés Gil61'for J. Maza90+4'
17Darwin Lopez61'for A. Renteria
19Carlos Cantillo79'for Jopito
1Diego Martínez
28Diego Zuluaga
16Johan Beltrán
25Moises Flores
Chico Substitutes
24Cristián Mosquera27'for S. Navarro58'
7Felipe Cifuentes
20Sebastián Viveros
21Jacobo Pimentel63'for S. Salazar
5Jhonier Alomía89'for C. Blanco Betancur
1David Agudelo
2Daniel Polanco
Match Stats
JaguaresChico 43%Ball Possession57%
4Corner Kicks11
7Yellow Cards3
9Total Shots13
6Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal7
6Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box2
0Blocked Shots3
19Fouls9
2Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves5
285Total Passes374
228Passes Accurate310
80%Pass Accuracy83%
Team Comparison
JaguaresChico1415Elo Rating 1446
0.50Attack 0.56
1.34Defense 1.34
19%Hit Rate 19%
11.5Shots per Game 12.9
3.3Shots on Target 3.4
4.4Corners per Game 5.3
2.0Cards per Game 3.0
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Jaguares- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0.1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Chico- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Jaguares2Wins · 33%Draws117%
Chico3Wins · 50%
3Wins · 50%1.8Avg Goals
17%Both teams scored1 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6
Previous meetings
12/02/2026ChicoJaguares50
16/10/2024JaguaresChico10
01/04/2024ChicoJaguares10
25/07/2023JaguaresChico21
31/01/2023ChicoJaguares10
18/04/2021ChicoJaguares00
Recent Form
Jaguares2W3D5L
10/08/2026Jaguares
Once Caldas
Internacional de BogotaJaguaresJaguares
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo CaliJaguares
JaguaresOnce Caldas11
D06/08/2026Internacional de BogotaJaguares10
L02/08/2026JaguaresAtletico Nacional03
L25/07/2026Deportivo CaliJaguares20
L26/05/2026
Deportivo PereiraJaguares
Deportivo PereiraJaguares10
L21/05/2026Jaguares
Ind. Yumbo
JaguaresInd. Yumbo30
W10/05/2026
Águilas DoradasJaguares
Águilas DoradasJaguares00
D07/05/2026Jaguares
Real Soacha
JaguaresReal Soacha12
L02/05/2026Jaguares
Cucuta
JaguaresCucuta20
W25/04/2026
BucaramangaJaguares
BucaramangaJaguares22
DChico3W2D5L
08/08/2026
Santa FeChico
America de CaliChico
Santa FeChico20
L03/08/2026America de CaliChico70
L27/05/2026Chico
Llaneros
ChicoLlaneros01
L23/05/2026
MillonariosChico
MillonariosChico22
D16/05/2026Chico
Depor FC
ChicoDepor FC40
W07/05/2026
PatriotasChico
PatriotasChico00
D02/05/2026ChicoLlaneros
ChicoLlaneros30
W27/04/2026Internacional de BogotaChico
Internacional de BogotaChico40
L23/04/2026
Independiente MedellinChico
Independiente MedellinChico20
L17/04/2026ChicoDeportivo Cali
ChicoDeportivo Cali10
WReferee Profile
6.61Cards per match
6.24Yellow cards per match
0.37Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.61 cards a match, 0.55 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.06).
Cards come from 46 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | LWWWD |
| 2 |  Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | DWWLW |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | LWWDL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWWLW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DWDDD |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | WWDDL |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | WLWDL |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | WLDWW |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WWWLD |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | DLLWL |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | DLWLL |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DLDWD |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | LLWDD |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | DLLWD |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LLWLW |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | DLWDW |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | WLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 37:17 | +20 | 39 | LWWWD |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 36 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 34 | WLDWW |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 30:17 | +13 | 32 | DLWLL |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:18 | +10 | 31 | WWDDL |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 28:25 | +3 | 29 | WWWLD |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 25:16 | +9 | 27 | WLDLD |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22:18 | +4 | 27 | DWDDD |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | +2 | 26 | LWLDW |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22:21 | +1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 11 | Cucuta | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 19:26 | -7 | 24 | DLWDW |
| 12 | Llaneros | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 23 | DLDWD |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22:25 | -3 | 20 | WLWDL |
| 14 | Junior | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 19 | DWWLW |
| 15 | Chico | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15:29 | -14 | 19 | LLWLW |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 18 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 17 | WLDLL |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13:29 | -16 | 15 | LWWDL |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 13 | DLLWL |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 12 | LLWDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 37:17 | 39 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 31:12 | 36 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 26:10 | 34 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 30:17 | 32 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 18 | 28:18 | 31 |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 28:25 | 29 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 25:16 | 27 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 22:18 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 23:21 | 26 |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 22:21 | 25 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 18 | 19:26 | 24 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 18 | 21:24 | 23 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 22:25 | 20 |
| 14 | Junior | 18 | 25:27 | 19 |
| 15 | Chico | 18 | 15:29 | 19 |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 18:31 | 18 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 16:26 | 17 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 18 | 13:29 | 15 |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 17:35 | 13 |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 17:28 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Jaguares vs Once Caldas 10/08/26
- America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional 10/08/26
- Águilas Doradas vs Llaneros 19/08/26
- Cucuta vs Internacional de Bogota 20/08/26
- Águilas Doradas vs Millonarios 22/08/26
- Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga 22/08/26
- Santa Fe vs America de Cali 23/08/26
- Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta 23/08/26
About the Jaguares vs Chico forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Jaguares and Chico in the Primera A table
Jaguares and Chico are close in the Primera A table, 16th and 18th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Jaguares 20-33, Chico 15-32. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.