Jaguares vs Once Caldas Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.88
SignalNEUTRALModel43%SurpriseHighGap+10.2%
Jaguares Rest
3 days
Once Caldas Rest
3 days
Jaguares vs Once Caldas: the result in context
Jaguares and Once Caldas drew 1-1 in the Primera A on 10 Aug 2026. Once Caldas had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Jaguares.
Their history points to a close game: 9 previous meetings produced 1.9 goals a game. Once Caldas tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 4.4 for Jaguares.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
131%3.90
X28%3.23
241%1.96
Double Chance
1X59%1.79
X268%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.87
No47%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.08 + 1.19 = 2.27
Over 1.571%1.34
Over 2.547%2.10
Over 3.525%3.70
Under 1.529%3.00
Under 2.553%1.70
Under 3.575%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.4 = 9.9
Over 8.560%1.57
Over 9.548%1.93
Over 10.537%2.54
Under 8.540%2.24
Under 9.552%1.78
Under 10.563%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.3 = 5
Over 3.573%-
Over 4.555%-
Under 3.527%-
Under 4.545%-
Match Events
17'J. Alvarado
40'J. Arcila
46'D. Moreno INP. Gomez out
46'J. Alvarado INJ. Nieto out
48'J. Maza
58'D. Londono
67'A. Renteria INJ. Mejia out
67'Jopito INJ. Beltran out
68'W. De La Rosa INC. Cantillo out
68'R. Bustamante IND. Lopez out
70'A. RoaAssist: A. Colorado
73'D. LopezAssist: C. Cantillo
73'D. Lopez
75'A. Correa INJ. Patino out
76'J. Arcila INE. Martinez out
80'M. Barrios INM. Zuleta out
80'A. Roa INJ. Quinones out
81'J. Beltran
90+1'J. Cardona
Lineups
JaguaresOnce Caldas
4-3-3Coach: Hernan HerreraAvg ratingAvg rating
12F. Mosquera
4J. Franco
3J. Malagón
29C. Henao
23J. Pérez
7W. De la Rosa
C5R. Colpa
21R. Bustamante
15J. Maza
10C. Alvarez
11A. Rentería
99F. Parra
22J. David Cuesta
2J. Cardona
30D. Londoño
C3A. Correa
23A. Colorado
15J. Alvarado
20A. Roa
29E. Torres
17D. Moreno
7M. BarriosJaguares Substitutes
16Johan Beltrán67'for Jopito81'
9Johar Mejía67'for A. Renteria
19Carlos Cantillo68'for W. De La Rosa
17Darwin Lopez68'for R. Bustamante73'73'
14Edwin Martinez
1Diego Martínez
13Johan Hinestroza
28Diego Zuluaga
31Gildardo Ramirez
Once Caldas Substitutes
5Juan Pablo Nieto46'for J. Alvarado
9Pipe Gómez46'for D. Moreno
33Juan Patiño75'for A. Correa
42Jader Quinones80'for A. Roa
28Mateo Zuleta80'for M. Barrios
25Juan Gallego
16Juan Castaño
19Tomas García
21Helieyker Guzman
Match Stats
JaguaresOnce Caldas 43%Ball Possession57%
2Corner Kicks5
4Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots22
3Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal9
4Shots Inside Box12
9Shots Outside Box10
4Blocked Shots8
10Fouls9
4Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves2
335Total Passes447
290Passes Accurate395
87%Pass Accuracy88%
Team Comparison
JaguaresOnce Caldas1415Elo Rating 1634
0.50Attack 1.41
1.34Defense 2.64
19%Hit Rate 64%
11.5Shots per Game 20.7
3.3Shots on Target 7.6
4.4Corners per Game 7.0
2.0Cards per Game 3.0
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Jaguares- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0.1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Once Caldas- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Jaguares5Wins · 56%Draws333%
Once Caldas1Wins · 11%
1Wins · 11%1.9Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
33%3+ goals3 of 9
Previous meetings
02/02/2026Once CaldasJaguares11
26/08/2024Once CaldasJaguares20
19/02/2024JaguaresOnce Caldas30
14/10/2023Once CaldasJaguares00
02/05/2023JaguaresOnce Caldas10
01/10/2022Once CaldasJaguares01
12/04/2022JaguaresOnce Caldas21
26/07/2021JaguaresOnce Caldas11
06/04/2021Once CaldasJaguares12
Recent Form
Jaguares2W2D6L
06/08/2026
Internacional de BogotaJaguaresJaguares
Atletico Nacional
Deportivo CaliJaguares
Internacional de BogotaJaguares10
L02/08/2026JaguaresAtletico Nacional03
L25/07/2026Deportivo CaliJaguares20
L26/05/2026
Deportivo PereiraJaguares
Deportivo PereiraJaguares10
L21/05/2026Jaguares
Ind. Yumbo
JaguaresInd. Yumbo30
W10/05/2026
Águilas DoradasJaguares
Águilas DoradasJaguares00
D07/05/2026Jaguares
Real Soacha
JaguaresReal Soacha12
L02/05/2026Jaguares
Cucuta
JaguaresCucuta20
W25/04/2026
BucaramangaJaguares
BucaramangaJaguares22
D17/04/2026Jaguares
Deportivo Pasto
JaguaresDeportivo Pasto23
LOnce Caldas5W3D2L
06/08/2026Once Caldas
America de Cali
Santa FeOnce CaldasOnce CaldasCucuta
Once CaldasAmerica de Cali01
L03/08/2026Santa FeOnce Caldas22
D30/07/2026
EnvigadoOnce Caldas
27/07/2026EnvigadoOnce Caldas03
WOnce CaldasCucuta51
W22/07/2026Once CaldasEnvigado
Once CaldasEnvigado30
W14/05/2026
JuniorOnce Caldas
JuniorOnce Caldas22
D11/05/2026Once CaldasJunior
Once CaldasJunior01
L02/05/2026Once CaldasAtletico Nacional
Once CaldasAtletico Nacional10
W26/04/2026Águilas DoradasOnce Caldas
Águilas DoradasOnce Caldas22
D21/04/2026Once CaldasInternacional de Bogota
Once CaldasInternacional de Bogota21
WReferee Profile
6.36Cards per match
5.76Yellow cards per match
0.60Red cards per match
21.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.36 cards a match, 0.36 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.00).
Cards come from 42 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | LWWWD |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | WDWWL |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | LLWWD |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWWLW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DWDDD |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | WWWDD |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | LWLWD |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | WLDWW |
| 10 |  Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | WLDLD |
| 11 |  Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WWWLD |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | DLLWL |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | DLWLL |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | LDLDW |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | LLWDD |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | WLLWL |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | DLWDW |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | WLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 37:17 | +20 | 39 | LWWWD |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 34 | WLDWW |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30:18 | +12 | 34 | WWWDD |
| 4 | America de Cali | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 29:15 | +14 | 33 | LWWLW |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 30:17 | +13 | 32 | DLWLL |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 28:25 | +3 | 29 | WWWLD |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 25:16 | +9 | 27 | WLDLD |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22:18 | +4 | 27 | DWDDD |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | +2 | 26 | LWLDW |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22:21 | +1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 11 | Llaneros | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 24 | LDLDW |
| 12 | Cucuta | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 19:26 | -7 | 24 | DLWDW |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 23 | LWLWD |
| 14 | Junior | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 22 | WDWWL |
| 15 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 15:29 | -14 | 20 | WLLWL |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 18 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 17 | WLDLL |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13:30 | -17 | 15 | LLWWD |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 13 | DLLWL |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 12 | LLWDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 37:17 | 39 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 26:10 | 34 |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 19 | 30:18 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 18 | 29:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 30:17 | 32 |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 28:25 | 29 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 25:16 | 27 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 22:18 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 23:21 | 26 |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 22:21 | 25 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 19 | 21:24 | 24 |
| 12 | Cucuta | 18 | 19:26 | 24 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 25:25 | 23 |
| 14 | Junior | 19 | 26:27 | 22 |
| 15 | Chico | 19 | 15:29 | 20 |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 18:31 | 18 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 16:26 | 17 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 13:30 | 15 |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 17:35 | 13 |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 17:28 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Fortaleza FC vs Cucuta 08/08/26
- Deportes Tolima vs Internacional de Bogota 09/08/26
- Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Cali 09/08/26
- Alianza Valledupar vs Bucaramanga 09/08/26
- America de Cali vs Atletico Nacional 10/08/26
- Águilas Doradas vs Llaneros 19/08/26
- Cucuta vs Internacional de Bogota 20/08/26
- Jaguares vs Chico 21/08/26
About the Jaguares vs Once Caldas forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Jaguares and Once Caldas in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Once Caldas are 5th and Jaguares 16th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Jaguares 20-33, Once Caldas 31-22. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.