Jong Ajax vs Waalwijk Prediction

Eerste DivisieNetherlands Netherlands · Regular Season - 6
Jong Ajax
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Waalwijk
Sportcomplex De Toekomst, Ouder-Amstel 11/09/2026
Jong AjaxJong Ajax
0-2
Finished
WaalwijkWaalwijk

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+5.7%
Jong Ajax Rest
7 days
Waalwijk Rest
7 days

Jong Ajax vs Waalwijk: result, form and history

Waalwijk beat Jong Ajax 2-0 in the Eerste Divisie on 11 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Waalwijk tend to win more corners, 7.4 a game to 4.9 for Jong Ajax.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%3.25
X
28%3.90
2
48%1.95
Double Chance
1X
52%1.80
X2
76%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%1.35
No
33%3.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.68 = 3.01
Over 1.5
82%1.10
Over 2.5
59%1.36
Over 3.5
37%1.91
Under 1.5
18%6.50
Under 2.5
41%2.92
Under 3.5
63%1.84
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.1 + 5.5 = 9.5
Over 8.5
57%1.37
Over 9.5
48%1.66
Over 10.5
39%2.04
Under 8.5
43%2.70
Under 9.5
52%2.10
Under 10.5
61%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.5 = 3.1
Over 3.5
38%-
Over 4.5
21%-
Under 3.5
62%-
Under 4.5
79%-

Match Events

41'Sinclair de FalcoFoul
62'Keyan Anderson Pereira Varela INVirgil Misidjan out
62'Ryan Fage INYoram van der Veen out
66'Finn Stokkers INJesse van de Haar out
70'emre unuvar INRayane Bounida out
70'Mohamed Jabou Abdalla INLevi Acheampong out
70'Ryan van de Pavert INLeroy Fränkel out
80'Mark Verkuijl INJinairo Johnson out
84'Virgil Misidjan
85'Pharell Nash INJeshurun Simeon out
90'Jesse van de HaarFoul
90+1'Yoram van der VeenAssist: Juan Familia-Castillo

Lineups

Jong Ajax
4-3-3Coach: Carlos García
Waalwijk
4-4-2Coach: Sander Duits
Avg rating6.67
Avg rating7.16
J. Heerkens6.91J. Heerkens
R. van de Pavert6.82R. van de Pavert
G. Spina7.03G. Spina
M. Muzungu7.14M. Muzungu
Sinclair de Falco6.45S. de Falco
Alejandro Monserrate7.210A. Monserrate
M. Verkuijl6.76M. Verkuijl
Mohamed Abdalla6.38M. Abdalla
E. Ünüvar6.27E. Ünüvar
D. Pugno6.49D. Pugno
P. Nash6.411P. Nash
N. Schiks7.71N. Schiks
F. Al Mazyani7.733F. Al Mazyani
L. van Gelderen7.54L. van Gelderen
J. de Wijs7.630J. de Wijs
Juan Carlos Familia-Castillo8.05J. Carlos Familia-Castillo
R. Fage7.27R. Fage
J. Nap7.18J. Nap
L. Postma7.26L. Postma
Keyan Varela6.620K. Varela
F. Stokkers6.427F. Stokkers
T. van Leeuwen6.410T. van Leeuwen

Jong Ajax Substitutes

17M. van der Lans
24P. Da Silva
19F. Zahouani
20A. Camara
22Rayane Bounida70'for emre unuvar6.6
21L. Acheampong70'for Mohamed Jabou Abdalla6.5
30A. Hani
16L. Frankel70'for Ryan van de Pavert6.9
18Jinairo Johnson80'for Mark Verkuijl6.7
25Leo Salazar
12C. Setford
23J. Simeon85'for Pharell Nash6.5

Waalwijk Substitutes

24A. Dkidak
55N. Held
17R. Kuijpers
93V. Misidjan62'for Keyan Anderson Pereira Varela84'7.9
13Xander Mulder
16M. Spenkelink
19H. van Gemert
18R. van Hedel
9J. van de Haar66'for Finn Stokkers90'6.4
3S. van der Plas
11Yorem van der Veen62'for Ryan Fage90+1'6.9
25N. Bakboord

Match Stats

Jong AjaxWaalwijk
54%Ball Possession46%
6Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots20
5Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal7
7Shots Inside Box11
8Shots Outside Box9
6Blocked Shots8
13Fouls9
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves5
442Total Passes369
377Passes Accurate307
9Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

Jong AjaxJong Ajax
WaalwijkWaalwijk
1433Elo Rating 1596
1.41Attack 0.66
0.53Defense 1.47
23%Hit Rate 0%
18.4Shots per Game 15.9
6.8Shots on Target 4.1
4.9Corners per Game 7.4
2.7Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Jong AjaxJong Ajax
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
WaalwijkWaalwijk
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Jong AjaxJong Ajax0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
WaalwijkWaalwijk2Wins · 100%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie22/12/2025
Jong AjaxWaalwijk
02
Eerste Divisie29/09/2025
WaalwijkJong Ajax
21

Recent Form

Jong AjaxJong Ajax
3W1D6L
04/09/2026
Almere City FCJong Ajax
01
W
31/08/2026
Jong PSV U21Jong Ajax
11
D
28/08/2026
Jong AjaxHelmond Sport
32
W
22/08/2026
NAC BredaJong Ajax
32
L
17/08/2026
Jong AjaxEmmen
46
L
07/08/2026
DordrechtJong Ajax
21
L
17/07/2026
Jong AZJong Ajax
30
L
24/04/2026
Jong AjaxJong Utrecht
02
L
17/04/2026
Jong PSV U21Jong Ajax
01
W
13/04/2026
Jong AjaxFC OSS
12
L
WaalwijkWaalwijk
2W6D2L
04/09/2026
WaalwijkNAC Breda
42
W
28/08/2026
WaalwijkJong PSV U21
22
D
21/08/2026
Helmond SportWaalwijk
11
D
14/08/2026
WaalwijkDordrecht
22
D
07/08/2026
VitesseWaalwijk
11
D
02/08/2026
WaalwijkKifisia
30
W
29/07/2026
WaalwijkPatro Eisden
12
L
25/07/2026
WaalwijkBochum II
02
L
11/07/2026
Kozakken BoysWaalwijk
00
D
04/07/2026
WaalwijkJong AZ
11
D

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1292137:14+2329DWWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1281334:20+1425WDWWL
3EmmenEmmen1281326:19+725WWWDW
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1271425:12+1322LLWWL
5RodaRoda1264215:11+422WWDLW
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1263323:20+321DWWDW
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1261529:20+919WDWLW
8Jong AZJong AZ1252531:26+517WDLWD
9VitesseVitesse1252516:17-117LWLDL
10MVVMVV1252516:27-1117DLLLW
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1237221:17+416DDLDL
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211244417:19-216WLDLD
13Den BoschDen Bosch1243518:21-315DWWDL
14FC OSSFC OSS1241719:20-113DLWWL
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1233618:29-1112DWLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1233615:26-1112DLWDW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1232716:25-911LLLDL
18DordrechtDordrecht1232716:31-1511LWLDW
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1223720:26-69LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1221919:31-127LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1237:1429
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1234:2025
3EmmenEmmen1226:1925
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1225:1222
5RodaRoda1215:1122
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1223:2021
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1229:2019
8Jong AZJong AZ1231:2617
9VitesseVitesse1216:1717
10MVVMVV1216:2717
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1221:1716
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211217:1916
13Den BoschDen Bosch1218:2115
14FC OSSFC OSS1219:2013
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1218:2912
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1215:2612
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1216:2511
18DordrechtDordrecht1216:3111
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1220:269
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1219:317

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1081131:12+1925DWWDW
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1071222:7+1522LLWWL
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1070326:14+1221WDWWL
4EmmenEmmen1061322:18+419WWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1052320:19+117DWWDW
6RodaRoda1044210:8+216WWDLW
7MVVMVV1051413:20-716DLLLW
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1050522:17+515WDWLW
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1035219:15+414DDLDL
10VitesseVitesse1042415:15014LWLDL
11Jong AZJong AZ1041522:18+413WDLWD
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211034315:17-213WLDLD
13FC OSSFC OSS1040615:15012DLWWL
14Den BoschDen Bosch1032514:18-411DWWDL
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1032515:22-711LLLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1032513:23-1011DLWDW
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1023516:19-39LLLDL
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1022613:25-128DWLDL
19DordrechtDordrecht1022613:27-148LWLDW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1021716:23-77LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1031:1225
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1022:722
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1026:1421
4EmmenEmmen1022:1819
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1020:1917
6RodaRoda1010:816
7MVVMVV1013:2016
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1022:1715
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1019:1514
10VitesseVitesse1015:1514
11Jong AZJong AZ1022:1813
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211015:1713
13FC OSSFC OSS1015:1512
14Den BoschDen Bosch1014:1811
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1015:2211
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1013:2311
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1016:199
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1013:258
19DordrechtDordrecht1013:278
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1016:237

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EmmenEmmen22004:1+36WWWDW
2RodaRoda22005:3+26WWDLW
3FC VolendamFC Volendam21107:3+44WDWLW
4HeraclesHeracles21106:2+44DWWDW
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo21108:6+24WDWWL
6NAC BredaNAC Breda21103:1+24DWWDW
7Den BoschDen Bosch21104:3+14DWWDL
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax21105:4+14DWLDL
9Jong AZJong AZ21109:8+14WDLWD
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2121012:203WLDLD
11DordrechtDordrecht21013:4-13LWLDW
12VitesseVitesse21011:2-13LWLDL
13WaalwijkWaalwijk20202:202DDLDL
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap20112:3-11DLWDW
15FC OSSFC OSS20114:5-11DLWWL
16MVVMVV20113:7-41DLLLW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven20021:3-20LLLDL
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC20023:5-20LLWWL
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport20024:7-30LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht20023:8-50LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1EmmenEmmen24:16
2RodaRoda25:36
3FC VolendamFC Volendam27:34
4HeraclesHeracles26:24
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo28:64
6NAC BredaNAC Breda23:14
7Den BoschDen Bosch24:34
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax25:44
9Jong AZJong AZ29:84
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2122:23
11DordrechtDordrecht23:43
12VitesseVitesse21:23
13WaalwijkWaalwijk22:22
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap22:31
15FC OSSFC OSS24:51
16MVVMVV23:71
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven21:30
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC23:50
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport24:70
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht23:80

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00
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About the Jong Ajax vs Waalwijk forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Jong Ajax and Waalwijk in the Eerste Divisie table

In the Eerste Divisie table, Waalwijk are 11th and Jong Ajax 15th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Jong Ajax 18-29, Waalwijk 21-17. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Jong Ajax and Waalwijk have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.