NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht Prediction

NAC Breda
2-3
Finished
HT 2-1
Jong Utrecht
Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda 11/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.62
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+6.4%
NAC Breda Rest
7 days
Jong Utrecht Rest
4 days

NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht: result, form and history

Jong Utrecht beat NAC Breda 3-2 in the Eerste Divisie on 11 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: NAC Breda had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Jong Utrecht.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 8 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them. Jong Utrecht tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 4.8 for NAC Breda.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.29
X
23%5.58
2
15%8.00
Double Chance
1X
85%1.06
X2
38%3.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%1.62
No
33%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.29 + 1.06 = 3.35
Over 1.5
84%1.09
Over 2.5
67%1.34
Over 3.5
48%1.89
Under 1.5
16%6.81
Under 2.5
33%3.05
Under 3.5
52%1.87
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 3.8 = 9.3
Over 8.5
57%1.30
Over 9.5
45%1.56
Over 10.5
33%1.91
Under 8.5
43%3.00
Under 9.5
55%2.24
Under 10.5
67%1.78
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.9 = 3.4
Over 3.5
45%-
Over 4.5
26%-
Under 3.5
55%-
Under 4.5
74%-

Match Events

18'Imran NazihFoul
19'Noa Malik DundasAssist: Yousri Sbai
27'Imran Nazih INPaul Gladon out
29'Paul GladonAssist: Boyd Lucassen
36'Ferdinand Pohl INBjorn Menzo out
44'Paul GladonAssist: Moussa Soumano
45'Mylan Brouwers INMohamed Bouchouari out
48'Noa Malik DundasAssist: Bjorn Menzo
54'Viggo PlantingaFoul
57'tijn boggende den INRichie Omorowa out
59'Noa Malik DundasFoul
65'Emmanuel Chigozie OwenAssist: Driss Laaouina
66'Massien GhaddariFoul
67'Fredrik Jensen INPepijn Reulen out
75'Boyd Lucassen INElijah Ikpia out
80'Emmanuel Chigozie Owen INKenji Goes out
80'Noa Malik Dundas INLevi Rietveld out
84'Kenji GoesFoul

Lineups

NAC Breda
4-3-1-2Coach: R. Kruijs
Jong Utrecht
4-3-3Coach: Omar Rziki
Avg rating6.42
Avg rating6.58
M. Verrips5.81M. Verrips
B. Lucassen7.22B. Lucassen
J. Van den Bergh6.712J. Van den Bergh
R. Hillen6.322R. Hillen
M. Brouwers6.035M. Brouwers
I. Nazih5.634I. Nazih
M. Balard6.26M. Balard
F. Oldrup Jensen5.98F. Oldrup Jensen
J. Van Hecke6.178J. Van Hecke
G. Misehouy6.511G. Misehouy
M. Soumano6.59M. Soumano
K. Gadellaa6.91K. Gadellaa
Yousri Sbai6.12Y. Sbai
J. Schuldes6.43J. Schuldes
W. Kooy6.614W. Kooy
Viggo Plantinga5.95V. Plantinga
F. Pohl6.06F. Pohl
N. Dundas8.610N. Dundas
D. Laaouina6.38D. Laaouina
Massien Ghaddari6.37M. Ghaddari
Tijn den Boggende6.89T. den Boggende
E. C. Owen7.911E. C. Owen

NAC Breda Substitutes

5J. Candelaria
17M. Bouchouari45'for Mylan Brouwers6.1
19P. Gladon27'for Imran Nazih29'44'8.2
23R. Kortsmit
31K. Lamprou
26P. Reulen67'for Fredrik Jensen6.8
33E. Ikpia75'for Boyd Lucassen6.4
32R. van Aarst
27Bo Meijvogel

Jong Utrecht Substitutes

20J. Hunte
16Kenji Goes80'for Emmanuel Chigozie Owen84'5.8
19R. Omorowa57'for tijn boggende den6.5
21L. Rietveld80'for Noa Malik Dundas6.0
32M. Tsankov
12Matyas Havelka
31Justin Eversen
13A. Aslani
22Nana Gyamfi-Amoah
17Bjorn Menzo36'for Ferdinand Pohl6.7

Match Stats

NAC BredaJong Utrecht
64%Ball Possession36%
9Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards4
26Total Shots11
8Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal5
18Shots Inside Box7
8Shots Outside Box4
9Blocked Shots2
16Fouls17
1Offsides5
1Goalkeeper Saves6
477Total Passes285
372Passes Accurate177
17Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

NAC BredaNAC Breda
Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht
1566Elo Rating 1426
1.82Attack 1.97
2.12Defense 0.00
56%Hit Rate 14%
13.8Shots per Game 18.4
5.1Shots on Target 5.9
4.8Corners per Game 7.0
1.4Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+140 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.35 goals
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

NAC BredaNAC Breda
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

NAC BredaNAC Breda4Wins · 50%
Draws225%
Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht2Wins · 25%
3.0Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored6 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie01/03/2024
NAC BredaJong Utrecht
31
Eerste Divisie02/10/2023
Jong UtrechtNAC Breda
11
Eerste Divisie20/02/2023
Jong UtrechtNAC Breda
41
Eerste Divisie16/09/2022
NAC BredaJong Utrecht
31
Eerste Divisie04/04/2022
Jong UtrechtNAC Breda
10
Eerste Divisie19/11/2021
NAC BredaJong Utrecht
11
Eerste Divisie09/04/2021
NAC BredaJong Utrecht
31
Eerste Divisie21/09/2020
Jong UtrechtNAC Breda
02

Recent Form

NAC BredaNAC Breda
5W1D4L
04/09/2026
WaalwijkNAC Breda
42
L
28/08/2026
RodaNAC Breda
22
D
22/08/2026
NAC BredaJong Ajax
32
W
14/08/2026
NAC BredaVVV Venlo
02
L
07/08/2026
FC OSSNAC Breda
12
W
01/08/2026
BoltonNAC Breda
10
L
28/07/2026
NAC BredaOFI
32
W
25/07/2026
Lokeren-TemseNAC Breda
12
W
18/07/2026
NAC BredaExcelsior
13
L
15/07/2026
HoekNAC Breda
12
W
Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht
1W2D7L
07/09/2026
Jong UtrechtFC Eindhoven
00
D
31/08/2026
Jong AZJong Utrecht
21
L
28/08/2026
FC OSSJong Utrecht
21
L
24/08/2026
Jong UtrechtHeracles
16
L
17/08/2026
Jong UtrechtVitesse
13
L
09/08/2026
MVVJong Utrecht
21
L
26/07/2026
Borussia Dortmund IIJong Utrecht
51
L
03/07/2026
Jong UtrechtWerder Bremen II
12
L
24/04/2026
Jong AjaxJong Utrecht
02
W
20/04/2026
Den BoschJong Utrecht
11
D

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1292137:14+2329DWWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1281334:20+1425WDWWL
3EmmenEmmen1281326:19+725WWWDW
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1271425:12+1322LLWWL
5RodaRoda1264215:11+422WWDLW
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1263323:20+321DWWDW
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1261529:20+919WDWLW
8Jong AZJong AZ1252531:26+517WDLWD
9VitesseVitesse1252516:17-117LWLDL
10MVVMVV1252516:27-1117DLLLW
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1237221:17+416DDLDL
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211244417:19-216WLDLD
13Den BoschDen Bosch1243518:21-315DWWDL
14FC OSSFC OSS1241719:20-113DLWWL
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1233618:29-1112DWLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1233615:26-1112DLWDW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1232716:25-911LLLDL
18DordrechtDordrecht1232716:31-1511LWLDW
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1223720:26-69LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1221919:31-127LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1237:1429
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1234:2025
3EmmenEmmen1226:1925
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1225:1222
5RodaRoda1215:1122
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1223:2021
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1229:2019
8Jong AZJong AZ1231:2617
9VitesseVitesse1216:1717
10MVVMVV1216:2717
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1221:1716
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211217:1916
13Den BoschDen Bosch1218:2115
14FC OSSFC OSS1219:2013
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1218:2912
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1215:2612
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1216:2511
18DordrechtDordrecht1216:3111
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1220:269
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1219:317

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1081131:12+1925DWWDW
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1071222:7+1522LLWWL
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1070326:14+1221WDWWL
4EmmenEmmen1061322:18+419WWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1052320:19+117DWWDW
6RodaRoda1044210:8+216WWDLW
7MVVMVV1051413:20-716DLLLW
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1050522:17+515WDWLW
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1035219:15+414DDLDL
10VitesseVitesse1042415:15014LWLDL
11Jong AZJong AZ1041522:18+413WDLWD
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211034315:17-213WLDLD
13FC OSSFC OSS1040615:15012DLWWL
14Den BoschDen Bosch1032514:18-411DWWDL
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1032515:22-711LLLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1032513:23-1011DLWDW
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1023516:19-39LLLDL
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1022613:25-128DWLDL
19DordrechtDordrecht1022613:27-148LWLDW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1021716:23-77LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1031:1225
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1022:722
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1026:1421
4EmmenEmmen1022:1819
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1020:1917
6RodaRoda1010:816
7MVVMVV1013:2016
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1022:1715
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1019:1514
10VitesseVitesse1015:1514
11Jong AZJong AZ1022:1813
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211015:1713
13FC OSSFC OSS1015:1512
14Den BoschDen Bosch1014:1811
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1015:2211
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1013:2311
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1016:199
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1013:258
19DordrechtDordrecht1013:278
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1016:237

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EmmenEmmen22004:1+36WWWDW
2RodaRoda22005:3+26WWDLW
3FC VolendamFC Volendam21107:3+44WDWLW
4HeraclesHeracles21106:2+44DWWDW
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo21108:6+24WDWWL
6NAC BredaNAC Breda21103:1+24DWWDW
7Den BoschDen Bosch21104:3+14DWWDL
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax21105:4+14DWLDL
9Jong AZJong AZ21109:8+14WDLWD
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2121012:203WLDLD
11DordrechtDordrecht21013:4-13LWLDW
12VitesseVitesse21011:2-13LWLDL
13WaalwijkWaalwijk20202:202DDLDL
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap20112:3-11DLWDW
15FC OSSFC OSS20114:5-11DLWWL
16MVVMVV20113:7-41DLLLW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven20021:3-20LLLDL
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC20023:5-20LLWWL
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport20024:7-30LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht20023:8-50LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1EmmenEmmen24:16
2RodaRoda25:36
3FC VolendamFC Volendam27:34
4HeraclesHeracles26:24
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo28:64
6NAC BredaNAC Breda23:14
7Den BoschDen Bosch24:34
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax25:44
9Jong AZJong AZ29:84
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2122:23
11DordrechtDordrecht23:43
12VitesseVitesse21:23
13WaalwijkWaalwijk22:22
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap22:31
15FC OSSFC OSS24:51
16MVVMVV23:71
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven21:30
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC23:50
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport24:70
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht23:80

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00
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About the NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

NAC Breda and Jong Utrecht in the Eerste Divisie table

In the Eerste Divisie table, NAC Breda are 6th and Jong Utrecht 20th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: NAC Breda 23-20, Jong Utrecht 19-31. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

NAC Breda have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Jong Utrecht have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.