Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction

Primera DivisiónUruguay Uruguay · Clausura - 6
Defensor Sporting
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Deportivo Maldonado
Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo·Mathias De Armas, Uruguay 13/09/2026
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
1-0
Finished
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.38
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseHighGap-6.1%
Defensor Sporting Rest
3 days
Deportivo Maldonado Rest
3 days

Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado: result, form and history

Defensor Sporting beat Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 in the Primera División on 13 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Deportivo Maldonado had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Defensor Sporting.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.6 goals a game across 5 matches. Referee Mathias De Armas averages 4.89 cards a game, 1.08 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%2.70
X
28%3.08
2
46%2.45
Double Chance
1X
54%1.45
X2
74%1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.87
No
52%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.93 + 1.51 = 2.44
Over 1.5
68%1.36
Over 2.5
46%2.11
Over 3.5
25%3.98
Under 1.5
32%2.90
Under 2.5
54%1.65
Under 3.5
75%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

18'M. Gonzalez
21'C. Tabo
38'G. Larrazabal
46'H. Menosse INN. Fuica out
64'A. Torterolo INN. Scotti out
70'N. Wunsch INT. A. Pozzo out
70'G. Barrios INE. Cuello out
73'G. Larrazabal INL. Nunez out
73'M. Gonzalez INC. Mayada out
80'C. Tabo ING. Sosa out
80'B. Montenegro
80'L. de los Santos(Penalty missed)
80'S. Cartagena
84'E. Elizalde
88'B. Montenegro INJ. Diaz out
89'S. Ramirez INL. Ibanez out
89'G. Rodriguez INM. Rabunal out

Lineups

Defensor Sporting
Coach: Mauricio Larriera
Deportivo Maldonado
Coach: Joaquin Boghossian

Defensor Sporting Starting XI

12Kevin Dawson
4Geanfranco Rodríguez
15Axel Frugone
3Guillermo De los Santos
11Lucas Agazzi
2Edgar Elizalde84'
5Germán Barrios70'replaced by E. Cuello
8Nicolás Wunsch70'replaced by T. A. Pozzo
24Lucas De los Santos
22Alan Torterolo64'replaced by N. Scotti
26Brian Montenegro80'88'replaced by J. Diaz

Deportivo Maldonado Starting XI

1Diego Segovia
22Juan Ramos
4Juan Martin Ginzo
3Hernán Menosse46'replaced by N. Fuica
19Facundo Tealde
28Santiago Cartagena80'
8Maximiliano González18'73'replaced by C. Mayada
7Gonzalo Larrazabal38'73'replaced by L. Nunez
17Santiago Ramírez89'replaced by L. Ibanez
14Christian Tabó21'80'replaced by G. Sosa
16Renato César

Defensor Sporting Substitutes

21Nicolas Scotti Urruty64'for A. Torterolo
30Erico Cuello Gutiérrez70'for G. Barrios
29Tomás Pozzo70'for N. Wunsch
1Lucas Machado
25Diego Abella
55Martín Rabuñal89'replaced by G. Rodriguez
10Xavier Biscayzacu
7Nicolás Medina
6Bruno Pereira
19Diaz88'for B. Montenegro

Deportivo Maldonado Substitutes

2Nicolás Fuica46'for H. Menosse
18Camilo Mayada73'for M. Gonzalez
5Lucas Núñez73'for G. Larrazabal
99Adriano Freitas
20Sebastian Tormo
32Hernán Petrik
42Joaquín Fernández
27Gonzalo Sosa80'for C. Tabo
23Adrián Vila
30Lautaro Ibáñez Benítez89'for S. Ramirez

Team Comparison

Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
1476Elo Rating 1684
1.84Attack 2.20
1.20Defense 2.17
27%Hit Rate 56%
7.7Shots per Game 14.8
3.9Shots on Target 6.1
4.3Corners per Game 8.5
3.6Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1Wins · 20%
Draws240%
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado2Wins · 40%
1.6Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
0%3+ goals0 of 5

Previous meetings

Primera División - Apertura15/03/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoDefensor Sporting
10
Primera División - Apertura09/06/2024
Deportivo MaldonadoDefensor Sporting
02
Primera División - Apertura24/03/2024
Deportivo MaldonadoDefensor Sporting
10
Primera División - Apertura23/04/2023
Defensor SportingDeportivo Maldonado
11
Primera División - Apertura29/05/2022
Defensor SportingDeportivo Maldonado
11

Recent Form

Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
1W5D4L
10/09/2026
Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting
11
D
06/09/2026
Central EspanolDefensor Sporting
11
D
29/08/2026
Defensor SportingAtletico Torque
13
L
25/08/2026
Defensor SportingRentistas
00
D
22/08/2026
Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting
11
D
16/08/2026
Defensor SportingLiverpool Montevideo
04
L
09/08/2026
Defensor SportingWanderers
01
L04/08/2026
Defensor SportingCerro
21
W25/07/2026
Defensor SportingLiverpool Montevideo
12
L14/07/2026
Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting
11
D
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
4W4D2L
10/09/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoWanderers
41
W
05/09/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoWanderers
20
W
02/09/2026
CerritoDeportivo Maldonado
02
W
29/08/2026
JuventudDeportivo Maldonado
20
L
22/08/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoPenarol
00
D
16/08/2026
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
02
W11/08/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoRacing Montevideo
22
D01/08/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoJuventud
00
D18/07/2026
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
10
L11/07/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoAlbion FC
11
D

Referee Profile

Mathias De Armas120 matches

4.89Cards per match
4.67Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mathias De Armas4.89
Other referees5.97

4.89 cards a match, 1.08 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.97).

Cards come from 27 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol35199752:28+2465LDLWL
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado35189854:32+2263LDWWL
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque351961059:41+1863WDLDL
4Club NacionalClub Nacional351941253:42+1161LWLLW
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo351612745:31+1460WDWWW
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo351611847:31+1659DLWLD
7WanderersWanderers351491242:44-251WLLLW
8Albion FCAlbion FC351381447:44+347WWWDD
9JuventudJuventud3510111437:43-641DDWLL
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol351181635:48-1341WLDWW
11Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting359121435:43-839WDWLD
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo359101633:41-837LLDDW
13Boston RiverBoston River351071834:47-1337LWLWW
14CerroCerro351071829:53-2437LDDWL
15ProgresoProgreso351052031:49-1835LWLLD
16DanubioDanubio356141529:45-1632WDDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol3552:2865
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3554:3263
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque3559:4163
4Club NacionalClub Nacional3553:4261
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo3545:3160
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo3547:3159
7WanderersWanderers3542:4451
8Albion FCAlbion FC3547:4447
9JuventudJuventud3537:4341
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol3535:4841
11Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting3535:4339
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo3533:4137
13Boston RiverBoston River3534:4737
14CerroCerro3529:5337
15ProgresoProgreso3531:4935
16DanubioDanubio3529:4532

Primera: Promedios

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol72431514118:62+56144LDLWL
2Club NacionalClub Nacional72431415129:75+54140LWLLW
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado35189854:32+2263LDWWL
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7234221698:68+30124DLWLD
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7230231984:69+15113WDWWW
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque72321624113:92+21112WDLDL
7JuventudJuventud7228182682:820102DDWLL
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7227192677:81-4100WDWLD
9Albion FCAlbion FC351381447:44+347WWWDD
10Boston RiverBoston River7224202884:86-292LWLWW
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7221232874:82-886LLDDW
12Central EspanolCentral Espanol351181635:48-1341WLDWW
13CerroCerro7222183262:95-3383LDDWL
14WanderersWanderers7220223067:91-2482WLLLW
15DanubioDanubio7216272970:86-1675WDDDL
16ProgresoProgreso7220143869:109-4074LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol72118:62144
2Club NacionalClub Nacional72129:75140
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3554:3263
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7298:68124
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7284:69113
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque72113:92112
7JuventudJuventud7282:82102
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7277:81100
9Albion FCAlbion FC3547:4447
10Boston RiverBoston River7284:8692
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7274:8286
12Central EspanolCentral Espanol3535:4841
13CerroCerro7262:9583
14WanderersWanderers7267:9182
15DanubioDanubio7270:8675
16ProgresoProgreso7269:10974

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol751112:3+916LDLWL
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo73227:5+211LLDDW
3Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo72414:3+110WDWWW
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo72325:509DLWLD
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol72324:409WLDWW
6CerroCerro73046:10-49LDDWL
7Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting71336:9-36WDWLD
8Boston RiverBoston River71245:10-55LWLWW
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol712:316
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo77:511
3Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo74:310
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo75:59
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol74:49
6CerroCerro76:109
7Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting76:96
8Boston RiverBoston River75:105

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1WanderersWanderers743012:4+815WLLLW
2Club NacionalClub Nacional74128:8013LWLLW
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado733112:6+612LDWWL
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque740311:11012WDLDL
5JuventudJuventud72238:11-38DDWLL
6Albion FCAlbion FC71336:8-26WWWDD
7ProgresoProgreso72056:11-56LWLLD
8DanubioDanubio70435:9-44WDDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1WanderersWanderers712:415
2Club NacionalClub Nacional78:813
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado712:612
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque711:1112
5JuventudJuventud78:118
6Albion FCAlbion FC76:86
7ProgresoProgreso76:116
8DanubioDanubio75:94

Primera: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1594223:14+931WDWWW
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1592424:16+829LDWWL
3Albion FCAlbion FC1584326:16+1028WWWDD
4PenarolPenarol1583423:16+727LDLWL
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1573523:22+124WLDWW
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1565422:16+623WDLDL
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1571726:21+522LWLLW
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1556413:11+221WDWLD
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1555520:18+220DLWLD
10WanderersWanderers1562716:21-520WLLLW
11DanubioDanubio1546517:21-418WDDDL
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1552816:19-317LLDDW
13Boston RiverBoston River1552814:20-617LWLWW
14JuventudJuventud1543817:22-515DDWLL
15ProgresoProgreso1524912:23-1110LWLLD
16CerroCerro152498:24-1610LDDWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1523:1431
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1524:1629
3Albion FCAlbion FC1526:1628
4PenarolPenarol1523:1627
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1523:2224
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1522:1623
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1526:2122
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1513:1121
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1520:1820
10WanderersWanderers1516:2120
11DanubioDanubio1517:2118
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1516:1917
13Boston RiverBoston River1514:2017
14JuventudJuventud1517:2215
15ProgresoProgreso1512:2310
16CerroCerro158:2410

Primera: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1393122:8+1430DLWLD
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1391326:14+1228WDLDL
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1382319:13+626LWLLW
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1364318:10+822LDWWL
5PenarolPenarol1365217:9+822LDLWL
6Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1354418:14+419WDWWW
7ProgresoProgreso1361613:15-219LWLLD
8JuventudJuventud1346312:10+218DDWLL
9CerroCerro1353515:19-418LDDWL
10WanderersWanderers1344514:19-516WLLLW
11Boston RiverBoston River1343615:17-215LWLWW
12Albion FCAlbion FC1341815:20-513WWWDD
13Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1333716:23-712WDWLD
14DanubioDanubio132477:15-810WDDDL
15Cerro LargoCerro Largo1316610:17-79LLDDW
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol132298:22-148WLDWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1322:830
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1326:1428
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1319:1326
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1318:1022
5PenarolPenarol1317:922
6Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1318:1419
7ProgresoProgreso1313:1519
8JuventudJuventud1312:1018
9CerroCerro1315:1918
10WanderersWanderers1314:1916
11Boston RiverBoston River1315:1715
12Albion FCAlbion FC1315:2013
13Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1316:2312
14DanubioDanubio137:1510
15Cerro LargoCerro Largo1310:179
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol138:228
PromotionRelegation

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About the Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Defensor Sporting and Deportivo Maldonado in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Deportivo Maldonado are 2nd and Defensor Sporting 11th, 24 points apart. League goal record so far: Defensor Sporting 35-43, Deportivo Maldonado 54-32. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.