Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction

Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo· Mathias De Armas, Uruguay 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.38
SignalSOLIDModel46%RiskHighGap-6.1%
Defensor Sporting Rest
3 days
Deportivo Maldonado Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%2.70
X
28%3.08
2
46%2.45
Double Chance
1X
54%1.45
X2
74%1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.87
No
52%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.93 + 1.51 = 2.44
Over 1.5
68%1.36
Over 2.5
46%2.11
Over 3.5
25%3.98
Under 1.5
32%2.90
Under 2.5
54%1.65
Under 3.5
75%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

18'M. Gonzalez
21'C. Tabo
38'G. Larrazabal
46'H. Menosse INN. Fuica out
64'A. Torterolo INN. Scotti out
70'N. Wunsch INT. A. Pozzo out
70'G. Barrios INE. Cuello out
73'G. Larrazabal INL. Nunez out
73'M. Gonzalez INC. Mayada out
80'C. Tabo ING. Sosa out
80'B. Montenegro
80'L. de los Santos(Penalty missed)
80'S. Cartagena
84'E. Elizalde
88'B. Montenegro INJ. Diaz out
89'S. Ramirez INL. Ibanez out
89'G. Rodriguez INM. Rabunal out

Lineups

Defensor Sporting
Coach: Mauricio Larriera
Deportivo Maldonado
Coach: Joaquin Boghossian

Defensor Sporting Starting XI

12Kevin DawsonG
4Geanfranco RodríguezD
15Axel FrugoneD
3Guillermo De los SantosD
11Lucas AgazziD
2Edgar ElizaldeD
5Germán BarriosM
8Nicolás WunschM
24Lucas De los SantosM
22Alan TorteroloM
26Brian MontenegroF

Deportivo Maldonado Starting XI

1Diego SegoviaG
22Juan RamosD
4Juan Martin GinzoD
3Hernán MenosseD
19Facundo TealdeD
28Santiago CartagenaM
8Maximiliano GonzálezM
7Gonzalo LarrazabalM
17Santiago RamírezM
14Christian TabóF
16Renato CésarF

Defensor Sporting Substitutes

21Nicolas Scotti UrrutyF
30Erico Cuello GutiérrezM
29Tomás PozzoM
1Lucas MachadoG
25Diego AbellaD
55Martín RabuñalM
10Xavier BiscayzacuM
7Nicolás MedinaM
6Bruno PereiraM
19DiazF

Deportivo Maldonado Substitutes

2Nicolás FuicaD
18Camilo MayadaM
5Lucas NúñezM
99Adriano FreitasG
20Sebastian TormoD
32Hernán PetrikD
42Joaquín FernándezD
27Gonzalo SosaM
23Adrián VilaM
30Lautaro Ibáñez BenítezF

Team Comparison

Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
1496Elo Rating 1624
0.86Attack 1.64
2.08Defense 2.22
27%Hit Rate 59%

Game State Tendencies

Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Defensor Sporting 23%Draw 31%46% Deportivo Maldonado
1.54Avg Goals
31%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
0W4D1L
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
3W1D1L
10/09/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoWanderers
41
W
05/09/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoWanderers
20
W
02/09/2026
CerritoDeportivo Maldonado
02
W
29/08/2026
JuventudDeportivo Maldonado
20
L
22/08/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoPenarol
00
D

Referee Profile

Mathias De Armas, Uruguay · 4 matches analysed

4.1Avg Yellows
4.3Avg Cards
25.0Avg Fouls
Stricter than 39% of referees analysed

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol28175646:23+2355WDWWL
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado29157744:27+1752LWDWL
3Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo281410435:22+1352WWWWD
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque27155747:31+1650WWWDL
5Club NacionalClub Nacional291441143:38+546LWLLW
6WanderersWanderers29128936:35+144WLDWL
7Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo28119837:27+1042DWWDL
8Central EspanolCentral Espanol281081030:33-338LDLWW
9JuventudJuventud29981235:39-435LLWLL
10Albion FCAlbion FC29971337:38-134WLDLD
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo29891228:32-433WWLLL
12Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting297111125:33-832WLDLW
13CerroCerro29951523:43-2032LLLDD
14Boston RiverBoston River29861528:40-1230WLLDD
15DanubioDanubio294141124:38-1426LWDDL
16ProgresoProgreso29741823:42-1925LWDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol2846:2355
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado2944:2752
3Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo2835:2252
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque2747:3150
5Club NacionalClub Nacional2943:3846
6WanderersWanderers2936:3544
7Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo2837:2742
8Central EspanolCentral Espanol2830:3338
9JuventudJuventud2935:3935
10Albion FCAlbion FC2937:3834
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo2928:3233
12Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting2925:3332
13CerroCerro2923:4332
14Boston RiverBoston River2928:4030
15DanubioDanubio2924:3826
16ProgresoProgreso2923:4225

Primera: Promedios

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol65411113112:57+55134WDWWL
2Club NacionalClub Nacional66381414119:71+48125LWLLW
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado29157744:27+1752LWDWL
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo6529201688:64+24107DWWDL
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo6528211674:60+14105WWWWD
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque64281521101:82+1999WWWDL
7JuventudJuventud6627152480:78+296LLWLL
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting6625182367:71-493WLDLW
9Central EspanolCentral Espanol281081030:33-338LDLWW
10Boston RiverBoston River6622192578:79-185WLLDD
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo6620222469:73-482WWLLL
12CerroCerro6621162956:85-2978LLLDD
13Albion FCAlbion FC29971337:38-134WLDLD
14WanderersWanderers6618212761:82-2175WLDWL
15DanubioDanubio6614272565:79-1469LWDDL
16ProgresoProgreso6617133661:102-4164LWDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol65112:57134
2Club NacionalClub Nacional66119:71125
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado2944:2752
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo6588:64107
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo6574:60105
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque64101:8299
7JuventudJuventud6680:7896
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting6667:7193
9Central EspanolCentral Espanol2830:3338
10Boston RiverBoston River6678:7985
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo6669:7382
12CerroCerro6656:8578
13Albion FCAlbion FC2937:3834
14WanderersWanderers6661:8275
15DanubioDanubio6665:7969
16ProgresoProgreso6661:10264

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol751112:3+916WDWWL
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo73227:5+211WWLLL
3Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo72414:3+110WWWWD
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo72325:509DWWDL
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol72324:409LDLWW
6CerroCerro73046:10-49LLLDD
7Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting71336:9-36WLDLW
8Boston RiverBoston River71245:10-55WLLDD

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1WanderersWanderers743012:4+815WLDWL
2Club NacionalClub Nacional74128:8013LWLLW
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado733112:6+612LWDWL
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque740311:11012WWWDL
5JuventudJuventud72238:11-38LLWLL
6Albion FCAlbion FC71336:8-26WLDLD
7ProgresoProgreso72056:11-56LWDDL
8DanubioDanubio70435:9-44LWDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1WanderersWanderers712:415
2Club NacionalClub Nacional78:813
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado712:612
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque711:1112
5JuventudJuventud78:118
6Albion FCAlbion FC76:86
7ProgresoProgreso76:116
8DanubioDanubio75:94

Primera: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1594223:14+931WWWWD
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1592424:16+829LWDWL
3Albion FCAlbion FC1584326:16+1028WLDLD
4PenarolPenarol1583423:16+727WDWWL
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1573523:22+124LDLWW
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1565422:16+623WWWDL
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1571726:21+522LWLLW
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1556413:11+221WLDLW
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1555520:18+220DWWDL
10WanderersWanderers1562716:21-520WLDWL
11DanubioDanubio1546517:21-418LWDDL
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1552816:19-317WWLLL
13Boston RiverBoston River1552814:20-617WLLDD
14JuventudJuventud1543817:22-515LLWLL
15ProgresoProgreso1524912:23-1110LWDDL
16CerroCerro152498:24-1610LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1523:1431
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1524:1629
3Albion FCAlbion FC1526:1628
4PenarolPenarol1523:1627
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1523:2224
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1522:1623
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1526:2122
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1513:1121
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1520:1820
10WanderersWanderers1516:2120
11DanubioDanubio1517:2118
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1516:1917
13Boston RiverBoston River1514:2017
14JuventudJuventud1517:2215
15ProgresoProgreso1512:2310
16CerroCerro158:2410

Primera: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque550014:4+1015WWWDL
2Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo641112:4+813DWWDL
3CerroCerro74129:9013LLLDD
4PenarolPenarol641111:4+712WDWWL
5JuventudJuventud733110:6+412LLWLL
6Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo63218:5+311WWWWD
7Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado73228:5+311LWDWL
8Club NacionalClub Nacional73229:9011LWLLW
9WanderersWanderers72328:10-29WLDWL
10ProgresoProgreso73045:8-39LWDDL
11Boston RiverBoston River72239:10-18WLLDD
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo70525:8-35WWLLL
13Central EspanolCentral Espanol61233:7-45LDLWW
14Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting71246:13-75WLDLW
15DanubioDanubio70432:8-64LWDDL
16Albion FCAlbion FC70075:14-90WLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque514:415
2Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo612:413
3CerroCerro79:913
4PenarolPenarol611:412
5JuventudJuventud710:612
6Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo68:511
7Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado78:511
8Club NacionalClub Nacional79:911
9WanderersWanderers78:109
10ProgresoProgreso75:89
11Boston RiverBoston River79:108
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo75:85
13Central EspanolCentral Espanol63:75
14Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting76:135
15DanubioDanubio72:84
16Albion FCAlbion FC75:140
PromotionRelegation

Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primera División

ScorePredicts covers Uruguay football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Defensor Sporting and Deportivo Maldonado have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.54 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.