Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River Prediction
Uruguay · Clausura - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseHighGap-7.4%
Liverpool Montevideo Rest
4 days
Boston River Rest
4 days
Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River: the result in context
Liverpool Montevideo beat Boston River 1-0 in the Primera División on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Liverpool Montevideo have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game. Liverpool Montevideo tend to win more corners, 4.2 a game to 1.7 for Boston River.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
155%1.78
X25%3.35
220%4.30
Double Chance
1X80%1.18
X245%1.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%1.85
No52%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 0.87 = 2.44
Over 1.567%1.30
Over 2.544%2.00
Over 3.523%3.45
Under 1.533%3.20
Under 2.556%1.75
Under 3.577%1.26
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
3'S. Strasorier
11'R. A. Saravia Salvia
14'A. Cayetano
45+2'E. Castillo
46'F. Munoa INA. Amado out
67'F. Aristegui INY. Gonzalez out
67'M. Rivero INA. Aguirre out
68'L. Suhr
69'R. Machado INT. Brizuela out
73'F. Martinez
79'F. Martinez IND. Romero out
79'F. Perdomo INR. Haller out
79'F. Bonfiglio INF. Avenatti out
79'L. Vazquez INN. Siri out
84'R. Bentancourt INF. Barcelo out
84'L. Acosta INE. Olivera out
90+7'M. Gonzalez
Lineups
Liverpool MontevideoBoston River
4-4-2Coach: Ignacio Ithurralde Saez
1M. Bernatene
4F. Perdomo
2S. Strasorier
18A. Cayetano
34K. Lewis
23E. Castillo
5N. Garayalde
16L. Acosta
19R. Bentancourt
9R. Machado
7F. Martínez
1B. Antúnez
31J. Acosta
30M. González
23M. Rivero
22F. Martínez
15L. Vazquez
26F. Muñoa
5R. Saravia
16L. Suhr
9F. Bonfiglio
13F. Agustin Aristegui LemosLiverpool Montevideo Substitutes
25Martín Campaña
15Santiago Laquidaín
27Diego Romero79'for F. Martinez
24Rafael Haller79'for F. Perdomo
6Santiago Milano
8Matías Mir
22Diego Zabala
26Thiago Brizuela69'for R. Machado
29Ezequiel Olivera84'for L. Acosta
31Facundo Barceló84'for R. Bentancourt
Boston River Substitutes
12Juan Ignacio González
24Jairo O'Neil
6Facundo Saravia
25Agustín Aguirre67'for M. Rivero
3Marco Mancebo
17Marco Oroná
10Agustín Amado46'for F. Munoa
32Yair González67'for F. Aristegui
27Nicolás Siri79'for L. Vazquez
20Felipe Avenatti79'for F. Bonfiglio
Team Comparison
Liverpool MontevideoBoston River1669Elo Rating 1510
1.50Attack 0.93
3.00Defense 2.15
100%Hit Rate 44%
6.7Shots per Game 10.4
3.1Shots on Target 2.9
4.2Corners per Game 1.7
3.9Cards per Game 3.3
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+159 Elo
📊Home Overperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%
Game State Tendencies
Liverpool Montevideo- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
Boston River- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Liverpool Montevideo6Wins · 67%Draws222%
Boston River1Wins · 11%
1Wins · 11%2.0Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
22%3+ goals2 of 9
Previous meetings
02/09/2026Liverpool MontevideoBoston River01
01/06/2026Boston RiverLiverpool Montevideo01
10/03/2026Boston RiverLiverpool Montevideo01
29/03/2025Boston RiverLiverpool Montevideo01
23/06/2024Liverpool MontevideoBoston River10
14/03/2024Boston RiverLiverpool Montevideo11
28/04/2023Boston RiverLiverpool Montevideo13
16/05/2022Boston RiverLiverpool Montevideo23
27/06/2021Boston RiverLiverpool Montevideo11
Recent Form
Liverpool Montevideo5W3D2L
02/09/2026Liverpool MontevideoBoston River
Liverpool MontevideoBoston River01
L31/08/2026
Cerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
Cerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo11
D27/08/2026
FenixLiverpool Montevideo
FenixLiverpool Montevideo02
W22/08/2026Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Liverpool MontevideoCerro40
W16/08/2026
Defensor SportingLiverpool Montevideo
Defensor SportingLiverpool Montevideo04
W08/08/2026Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
Liverpool MontevideoAlbion FC10
W02/08/2026
Central EspanolLiverpool Montevideo
25/07/2026Central EspanolLiverpool Montevideo00
DDefensor SportingLiverpool Montevideo12
W12/07/2026Liverpool MontevideoCerro12
L09/06/2026Liverpool MontevideoCerro Largo00
DBoston River3W4D3L
02/09/2026Liverpool MontevideoBoston River
Liverpool MontevideoBoston River01
W29/08/2026Boston RiverCerro
21/08/2026Boston RiverCerro11
DAlbion FCBoston River23
W15/08/2026Boston River
Danubio
Boston RiverDanubio00
D09/08/2026
Club NacionalBoston River
Club NacionalBoston River12
W02/08/2026
Racing MontevideoBoston River
18/07/2026Racing MontevideoBoston River10
L
PenarolBoston River30
L12/07/2026Boston RiverCentral Espanol00
D07/06/2026Defensor SportingBoston River11
D01/06/2026Boston RiverLiverpool Montevideo
Boston RiverLiverpool Montevideo01
LReferee Profile
6.35Cards per match
6.10Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
25.2Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.35 cards a match, 0.28 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.07).
Cards come from 20 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 52:28 | +24 | 65 | LDLWL |
| 2 |  Atletico Torque | 36 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 61:43 | +18 | 64 | DWDLD |
| 3 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 54:32 | +22 | 63 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 47:33 | +14 | 61 | DWDWW |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 35 | 19 | 4 | 12 | 53:42 | +11 | 61 | LWLLW |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 47:31 | +16 | 59 | DLWLD |
| 7 |  Wanderers | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 42:44 | -2 | 51 | WLLLW |
| 8 | Albion FC | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 47:44 | +3 | 47 | WWWDD |
| 9 |  Juventud | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 37:43 | -6 | 41 | DDWLL |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 41 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Defensor Sporting | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 35:43 | -8 | 39 | WDWLD |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 35:43 | -8 | 38 | WLLDD |
| 13 | Boston River | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 34:47 | -13 | 37 | LWLWW |
| 14 | Cerro | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 29:53 | -24 | 37 | LDDWL |
| 15 |  Progreso | 36 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 36 | LLWLL |
| 16 | Danubio | 35 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 29:45 | -16 | 32 | WDDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 35 | 52:28 | 65 |
| 2 | Atletico Torque | 36 | 61:43 | 64 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 35 | 54:32 | 63 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 36 | 47:33 | 61 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 35 | 53:42 | 61 |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 35 | 47:31 | 59 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 35 | 42:44 | 51 |
| 8 | Albion FC | 35 | 47:44 | 47 |
| 9 | Juventud | 35 | 37:43 | 41 |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 35 | 35:48 | 41 |
| 11 | Defensor Sporting | 35 | 35:43 | 39 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 36 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 13 | Boston River | 35 | 34:47 | 37 |
| 14 | Cerro | 35 | 29:53 | 37 |
| 15 | Progreso | 36 | 33:51 | 36 |
| 16 | Danubio | 35 | 29:45 | 32 |
Primera: Promedios
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 72 | 43 | 15 | 14 | 118:62 | +56 | 144 | LDLWL |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 72 | 43 | 14 | 15 | 129:75 | +54 | 140 | LWLLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 54:32 | +22 | 63 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 72 | 34 | 22 | 16 | 98:68 | +30 | 124 | DLWLD |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 73 | 30 | 24 | 19 | 86:71 | +15 | 114 | DWDWW |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 73 | 32 | 17 | 24 | 115:94 | +21 | 113 | DWDLD |
| 7 | Juventud | 72 | 28 | 18 | 26 | 82:82 | 0 | 102 | DDWLL |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 72 | 27 | 19 | 26 | 77:81 | -4 | 100 | WDWLD |
| 9 | Albion FC | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 47:44 | +3 | 47 | WWWDD |
| 10 | Boston River | 72 | 24 | 20 | 28 | 84:86 | -2 | 92 | LWLWW |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 73 | 21 | 24 | 28 | 76:84 | -8 | 87 | WLLDD |
| 12 | Central Espanol | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 41 | WLDWW |
| 13 | Cerro | 72 | 22 | 18 | 32 | 62:95 | -33 | 83 | LDDWL |
| 14 | Wanderers | 72 | 20 | 22 | 30 | 67:91 | -24 | 82 | WLLLW |
| 15 | Danubio | 72 | 16 | 27 | 29 | 70:86 | -16 | 75 | WDDDL |
| 16 | Progreso | 73 | 20 | 15 | 38 | 71:111 | -40 | 75 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 72 | 118:62 | 144 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 72 | 129:75 | 140 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 35 | 54:32 | 63 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 72 | 98:68 | 124 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 73 | 86:71 | 114 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 73 | 115:94 | 113 |
| 7 | Juventud | 72 | 82:82 | 102 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 72 | 77:81 | 100 |
| 9 | Albion FC | 35 | 47:44 | 47 |
| 10 | Boston River | 72 | 84:86 | 92 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 73 | 76:84 | 87 |
| 12 | Central Espanol | 35 | 35:48 | 41 |
| 13 | Cerro | 72 | 62:95 | 83 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 72 | 67:91 | 82 |
| 15 | Danubio | 72 | 70:86 | 75 |
| 16 | Progreso | 73 | 71:111 | 75 |
Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | +9 | 16 | LDLWL |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | +2 | 11 | WLLDD |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 10 | DWDWW |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 | DLWLD |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 9 | WLDWW |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 | LDDWL |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 | WDWLD |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 | LWLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 4:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 5:10 | 5 |
Primera: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | +9 | 31 | DWDWW |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | LDWWL |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | +10 | 28 | WWWDD |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | +7 | 27 | LDLWL |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | +1 | 24 | WLDWW |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 23 | DWDLD |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | +5 | 22 | LWLLW |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 21 | WDWLD |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 20 | DLWLD |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 | WLLLW |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 | WDDDL |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 | WLLDD |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 | LWLWW |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 | DDWLL |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 | LLWLL |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 | LDDWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 13:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 17:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 8:24 | 10 |
Primera: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:8 | +14 | 30 | DLWLD |
| 2 | Atletico Torque | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 28:16 | +12 | 29 | DWDLD |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | +6 | 26 | LWLLW |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:10 | +8 | 22 | LDWWL |
| 5 | Penarol | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17:9 | +8 | 22 | LDLWL |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 20 | DWDWW |
| 7 | Progreso | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 20 | LLWLL |
| 8 | Juventud | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12:10 | +2 | 18 | DDWLL |
| 9 | Cerro | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 18 | LDDWL |
| 10 | Wanderers | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 11 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 | LWLWW |
| 12 | Albion FC | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 13 | WWWDD |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 12 | WDWLD |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 10 | WLLDD |
| 15 | Danubio | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7:15 | -8 | 10 | WDDDL |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 8 | WLDWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool Montevideo | 13 | 22:8 | 30 |
| 2 | Atletico Torque | 14 | 28:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 13 | 19:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 13 | 18:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Penarol | 13 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 14 | 20:16 | 20 |
| 7 | Progreso | 14 | 15:17 | 20 |
| 8 | Juventud | 13 | 12:10 | 18 |
| 9 | Cerro | 13 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 13 | 14:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Boston River | 13 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 12 | Albion FC | 13 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting | 13 | 16:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 14 | 12:19 | 10 |
| 15 | Danubio | 13 | 7:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 13 | 8:22 | 8 |
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About the Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Liverpool Montevideo and Boston River in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Liverpool Montevideo are 6th and Boston River 13th, 22 points apart. League goal record so far: Liverpool Montevideo 47-31, Boston River 34-47. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Liverpool Montevideo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.