Juventude vs Operario-PR Prediction

Juventude
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Operario-PR
Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias Sul·Julio Cesar Pfleger 03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-4.8%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 5.5
1.83
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+6.9%
Juventude Rest
4 days
Operario-PR Rest
6 days

Juventude vs Operario-PR: the result in context

Juventude beat Operario-PR 3-0 in the Serie B on 3 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.75
X
28%3.40
2
18%4.60
Double Chance
1X
82%1.17
X2
46%1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.00
No
53%1.72
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.62 + 0.87 = 2.49
Over 1.5
69%1.36
Over 2.5
44%2.20
Over 3.5
24%4.00
Under 1.5
31%2.90
Under 2.5
56%1.65
Under 3.5
76%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 3.7 = 10.3
Over 8.5
70%1.46
Over 9.5
58%1.80
Over 10.5
47%2.30
Under 8.5
30%2.50
Under 9.5
42%1.92
Under 10.5
53%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.9 = 5.5
Over 3.5
80%-
Over 4.5
64%-
Under 3.5
20%-
Under 4.5
36%-

Match Events

9'Marcos Paulo Lima Batista SilvaFoul
22'Gabriel Pires
25'MandacaFoul
27'Mikael DokaFoul
41'Fabio limaAssist: Aderlan
45'Aylon INOnitlasi Júnior de Moraes Rodrigues out
45'Mikael Doka INMaguinho out
56'Marcos Paulo Lima Batista SilvaAssist: Mandaca
60'Mandaca INMarcos Paulo out
60'Marcos Paulo Lima Batista Silva INGabriel Barbosa Pinheiro out
68'Hildeberto Pereira INPedrinho out
69'Vinícius Diniz Dall Antonia INParaiba out
69'Caio Dantas INVinicius Alessandro Mingotti out
70'Gabriel Feliciano da SilvaFoul
70'Gabriel Pires INLuan Martins·Goncalves out
71'Fabio lima INAlan Kardec out
82'Patryck INWadson Victor Nunes Damasceno out

Lineups

Juventude
3-5-2Coach: Maurício Barbieri
Operario-PR
4-2-3-1Coach: Luizinho Lopes
Avg rating7.32
Avg rating6.14
Jandrei7.993Jandrei
Rodrigo Sam7.634R. Sam
Messias7.24Messias
Marcos Paulo7.747M. Paulo
Aderlan7.713Aderlan
Raí7.375Raí
Gabriel Pires8.229G. Pires
Mandaca7.844Mandaca
Patryck6.730Patryck
Fábio Lima8.211F. Lima
Alisson Safira6.525A. Safira
Vagner5.633Vagner
Mikael Doka5.62M. Doka
J. Cuenú6.322J. Cuenú
Joseph6.343Joseph
Gabriel Feliciano6.927G. Feliciano
Matheus Trindade6.539M. Trindade
Vinícius Diniz6.120V. Diniz
Hildeberto Pereira5.714H. Pereira
Boschilia7.110Boschilia
Aylon5.411Aylon
Caio Dantas6.799C. Dantas

Juventude Substitutes

97Gabriel Pinheiro60'for Marcos Paulo Lima Batista Silva7.0
18L. Amarilla
17M. Castro
3Titi
10Marcos Paulo60'for Mandaca6.6
5Luan Gonçalves70'for Gabriel Pires7.2
6Wadson82'for Patryck7.1
70Juan Christian
12Pedro Rocha
8Lucas Mineiro
9Alan Kardec71'for Fabio lima6.5
2Raí Ramos

Operario-PR Substitutes

16Miranda6.1
6Moraes45'for Aylon5.8
32Charles
26Maguinho45'for Mikael Doka6.1
8J. Zuluaga
30Pedro Vilhena68'for Hildeberto Pereira5.9
5Índio
21Brenno
9Vinícius Mingotti69'for Caio Dantas6.4
1Elias Martello Curzel
4Klaus
88Neto Paraíba69'for Vinícius Diniz Dall Antonia5.8

Match Stats

JuventudeOperario-PR
49%Ball Possession51%
3Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards2
25Total Shots22
6Shots on Goal4
10Shots off Goal10
18Shots Inside Box10
7Shots Outside Box12
9Blocked Shots8
26Fouls17
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves3
402Total Passes427
342Passes Accurate373
17Free Kicks26

Team Comparison

JuventudeJuventude
Operario-PROperario-PR
1696Elo Rating 1587
2.02Attack 0.44
2.00Defense 1.63
50%Hit Rate 27%
15.1Shots per Game 15.7
4.6Shots on Target 3.1
5.2Corners per Game 7.1
2.9Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+109 Elo
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

JuventudeJuventude
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Operario-PROperario-PR
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

JuventudeJuventude0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Operario-PROperario-PR1Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Serie B06/06/2026
Operario-PRJuventude
21

Referee Profile

Julio Cesar Pfleger3 matches analysed

4.28Cards per match
4.05Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
25.6Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 33% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
3JuventudeJuventude341710741:23+1861DDWWW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC341612641:29+1260WDWDD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
7Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
8CRBCRB341571251:48+352LDWLW
9Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
10GoiasGoias341471334:40-649DWWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba341114932:27+547LLDWL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3411101339:42-343DLLDW
16CearaCeara3411101337:42-543DLWWD
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina34881843:49-632WDLLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro34552422:54-3220WLLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta34352619:74-5514DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
3JuventudeJuventude3441:2361
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3441:2960
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
7Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
8CRBCRB3451:4852
9Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
10GoiasGoias3434:4049
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3432:2747
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3439:4243
16CearaCeara3437:4243
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3443:4932
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3422:5420
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3419:7414
PromotionRelegation

About the Juventude vs Operario-PR forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Juventude and Operario-PR in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Juventude are 3rd and Operario-PR 9th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Juventude 41-23, Operario-PR 45-46. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Juventude and Operario-PR have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.