Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 28
16/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+4.9%
Nautico Recife Rest
5 days
Operario-PR Rest
5 days
Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR: the result in context
Nautico Recife and Operario-PR drew 3-3 in the Serie B on 15 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Nautico Recife have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 3.5 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
146%1.80
X31%3.38
223%4.40
Double Chance
1X77%1.18
X254%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes49%1.84
No51%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1 = 2.42
Over 1.569%1.30
Over 2.544%1.99
Over 3.525%3.50
Under 1.531%3.25
Under 2.556%1.76
Under 3.575%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.6 = 9.7
Over 8.563%1.28
Over 9.554%1.53
Over 10.541%1.87
Under 8.537%3.14
Under 9.546%2.32
Under 10.559%1.87
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.566%-
Over 4.547%1.73
Under 3.534%-
Under 4.553%2.00
Match Events
1'ViniciusAssist: Kauan Almeida da Costa
28'Gabriel BoschiliaFoul
45+1'Onitlasi Júnior de Moraes Rodrigues INGabriel Feliciano da Silva out
45+2'Vinícius Diniz Dall AntoniaAssist: Índio
57'SamuelFoul
67'Kauan Almeida da Costa INLuiz Cláudio out
67'Benjamín Borasi INDerek Freitas Ribeiro out
74'Emaxwell Souza de Lima INParaiba out
74'Índio INJuan Zuluaga out
75'Caio Dantas INAylon out
81'AylonDissent
83'Jean Carlos(Penalty)
84'Ángel Torres INHildeberto Pereira out
87'Jean Carlos INDaniel Ferreira dos Santos Filho out
87'Wenderson da Silva Costa Ferreira INPatricio Nunez\t out
88'Daniel Ferreira dos Santos Filho
90'Igor Fernandes INGustavo Henrique out
90+4'Gabriel Boschilia
90+5'Jose Abad Cuenu RodriguezAssist: Gabriel Feliciano da Silva
90+7'Hélio César Pinto dos AnjosAbusive Language
90+7'Onitlasi Júnior de Moraes Rodrigues
90+8'Patricio Nunez\tFoul
Lineups
Nautico RecifeOperario-PR
4-2-3-1Coach: Luizinho LopesAvg ratingAvg rating
1Muriel
93R. Lopes
34Wanderson
3Alberto
23I. Fernandes
8Wenderson
41Samuel
7Vinícius
10J. Carlos
24B. Borasi
19K. Almeida da Costa
33Vagner
2M. Doka
22J. Cuenú
43Joseph
6Moraes
20V. Diniz
5Índio
7Á. Quiñones
10Boschilia
77Maxwell
99C. DantasNautico Recife Substitutes
72Derek67'for Benjamín Borasi
55G. Guruceaga
22P. Núñez87'for Wenderson da Silva Costa Ferreira90+8'
6Ryan
75H. Silva
78Daniel Ferreira dos Santos Filho87'replaced by Jean Carlos88'
46Gustavo Henrique90'for Igor Fernandes
28Everson
13Gabriel Severino de Sousa
88Caio
5Auremir
Operario-PR Substitutes
21Brenno
8J. Zuluaga74'for Índio
14Hildeberto Pereira84'for Ángel Torres
30Pedro Vilhena
88Neto Paraíba74'for Emaxwell Souza de Lima
16Miranda
4Klaus
27Gabriel Feliciano45+1'for Onitlasi Júnior de Moraes Rodrigues
28Dudu
1Elias Martello Curzel
32Charles
11Aylon75'for Caio Dantas81'
Match Stats
Nautico RecifeOperario-PR 51%Ball Possession49%
4Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards4
21Total Shots16
6Shots on Goal6
11Shots off Goal6
10Shots Inside Box9
11Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots4
23Fouls10
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
409Total Passes392
324Passes Accurate322
8Free Kicks23
Team Comparison
Nautico RecifeOperario-PR1553Elo Rating 1587
0.59Attack 0.44
1.85Defense 1.63
14%Hit Rate 27%
14.2Shots per Game 15.7
3.0Shots on Target 3.1
6.6Corners per Game 7.1
1.7Cards per Game 2.6
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Nautico Recife- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Operario-PR- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Nautico Recife4Wins · 66%Draws117%
Operario-PR1Wins · 17%
1Wins · 17%3.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6
Previous meetings
16/05/2026Operario-PRNautico Recife26
29/07/2023Operario-PRNautico Recife11
06/08/2022Operario-PRNautico Recife10
24/04/2022Nautico RecifeOperario-PR20
02/10/2021Operario-PRNautico Recife12
03/07/2021Nautico RecifeOperario-PR50
Recent Form
Nautico Recife4W4D2L
10/09/2026
America MineiroNautico RecifeNautico Recife
CearaNautico Recife
Atletico GoianienseNautico Recife
Londrina
CRBNautico Recife
America MineiroNautico Recife21
L04/09/2026Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
Nautico RecifeBotafogo SP10
W29/08/2026Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
Nautico RecifeAthletic Club21
W23/08/2026
São BernardoNautico Recife
19/08/2026São BernardoNautico Recife11
DNautico RecifeCeara10
W15/08/2026
Ponte PretaNautico Recife
09/08/2026Ponte PretaNautico Recife11
DNautico RecifeAtletico Goianiense11
D26/07/2026
CriciumaNautico Recife
23/07/2026CriciumaNautico Recife00
DNautico RecifeLondrina21
W17/07/2026CRBNautico Recife21
LOperario-PR3W3D4L
10/09/2026Operario-PRCRBLondrinaOperario-PR
CuiabaOperario-PROperario-PRPonte Preta
Sport RecifeOperario-PR
Operario-PRCRB30
W06/09/2026LondrinaOperario-PR12
W01/09/2026
Fortaleza ECOperario-PR
Fortaleza ECOperario-PR11
D23/08/2026Operario-PR
Vila Nova
20/08/2026Operario-PRVila Nova00
DCuiabaOperario-PR10
L16/08/2026Operario-PR
Avai
Operario-PRAvai12
L08/08/2026Operario-PRSão Bernardo
Operario-PRSão Bernardo13
L28/07/2026Atletico GoianienseOperario-PR
23/07/2026Atletico GoianienseOperario-PR31
LOperario-PRPonte Preta32
W18/07/2026Sport RecifeOperario-PR22
DLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 62:30 | +32 | 64 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Vila Nova | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 50:36 | +14 | 62 | LDWDW |
| 3 |  Juventude | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 41:23 | +18 | 61 | DDWWW |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 43:31 | +12 | 61 | DWDWD |
| 5 | Criciuma | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 36:30 | +6 | 59 | LWWLW |
| 6 | CRB | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 53:49 | +4 | 55 | WLDWL |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 47:38 | +9 | 54 | WLDWW |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 42:33 | +9 | 54 | LDDLW |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 45:46 | -1 | 51 | WLLLL |
| 10 |  Goias | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 34:40 | -6 | 49 | DWWLL |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 49:39 | +10 | 49 | WLDLW |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 40:38 | +2 | 47 | WWWWL |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 32:27 | +5 | 47 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 44 | LDDLL |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 43 | DLLDW |
| 16 | Ceara | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 43 | DLWWD |
| 17 | Avai | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 | LDWWL |
| 18 | Londrina | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 44:51 | -7 | 32 | LWDLL |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22:54 | -32 | 20 | WLLLL |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 35 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 21:76 | -55 | 15 | DDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 35 | 62:30 | 64 |
| 2 | Vila Nova | 35 | 50:36 | 62 |
| 3 | Juventude | 34 | 41:23 | 61 |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 35 | 43:31 | 61 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 35 | 36:30 | 59 |
| 6 | CRB | 35 | 53:49 | 55 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 35 | 47:38 | 54 |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 35 | 42:33 | 54 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 35 | 45:46 | 51 |
| 10 | Goias | 34 | 34:40 | 49 |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 35 | 49:39 | 49 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 35 | 40:38 | 47 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 34 | 32:27 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 35 | 40:40 | 44 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 34 | 39:42 | 43 |
| 16 | Ceara | 34 | 37:42 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 35 | 33:45 | 37 |
| 18 | Londrina | 35 | 44:51 | 32 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 34 | 22:54 | 20 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 35 | 21:76 | 15 |
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About the Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR forecast
The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Nautico Recife and Operario-PR in the Serie B table
In the Serie B table, Operario-PR are 9th and Nautico Recife 15th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Nautico Recife 39-42, Operario-PR 45-46. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.