Criciuma vs Operario-PR Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 29
Criciuma
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Operario-PR
Estadio Heriberto Hülse, Chrissyuma·Lucas Guimaraes Rechatiko Horn 23/09/2026
CriciumaCriciuma
0-2
Finished
Operario-PROperario-PR

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-12.2%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+5.8%
Criciuma Rest
9 days
Operario-PR Rest
7 days

Criciuma vs Operario-PR: the result in context

Operario-PR beat Criciuma 2-0 in the Serie B on 22 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Operario-PR have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.01
X
30%3.10
2
29%3.90
Double Chance
1X
71%1.22
X2
59%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.01
No
53%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 0.93 = 2.34
Over 1.5
67%1.40
Over 2.5
41%2.33
Over 3.5
21%4.33
Under 1.5
33%2.75
Under 2.5
59%1.57
Under 3.5
79%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.5 = 9.5
Over 8.5
63%1.26
Over 9.5
50%1.51
Over 10.5
39%1.87
Under 8.5
37%3.20
Under 9.5
50%2.37
Under 10.5
61%1.89
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.3 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%-
Over 4.5
47%-
Under 3.5
34%-
Under 4.5
53%-

Match Events

36'JosephDissent
38'Caio DantasAssist: Mikael Doka
45'WaguininhoFoul
45'Rodrigo Fagundes INCaue out
45'Mikael Doka INMiranda out
45+5'Jose Abad Cuenu RodriguezFoul
65'Nicolas Godinho Johann INYuri Jonathan out
65'Waguininho INJoão Carlos Barros Lopes out
70'Jhonata Robert Alves da Silva INRómulo Otero out
72'Vinícius Diniz Dall Antonia INÍndio out
72'Hildeberto Pereira INEmaxwell Souza de Lima out
80'Marcelo HermesFoul
80'Ángel Torres INAylon out
82'Fellipe Mateus INGuilherme Teixeira Lobo out
85'Yuri JonathanFoul
89'Gabriel Feliciano da Silva INJuan Zuluaga out
90+6'Emaxwell Souza de LimaAssist: Gabriel Boschilia
90+9'Goal confirmedEmaxwell Souza de Lima

Lineups

Criciuma
3-4-3Coach: Eduardo Baptista
Operario-PR
4-2-3-1Coach: Luizinho Lopes
Avg rating6.30
Avg rating6.72
Airton6.032Airton
Rodrigo6.13Rodrigo
Luciano Castán6.84L. Castán
César Martins6.637C. Martins
Waguininho5.913Waguininho
Marcinho6.76Marcinho
Ronald6.614Ronald
Marcelo Hermes5.822M. Hermes
Jhonata Robert6.710J. Robert
Nicolas6.59Nicolas
Fellipe Mateus6.37F. Mateus
Vagner7.933Vagner
Mikael Doka6.82M. Doka
J. Cuenú6.622J. Cuenú
Joseph6.343Joseph
Gabriel Feliciano6.827G. Feliciano
Vinícius Diniz6.420V. Diniz
Matheus Trindade6.339M. Trindade
Á. Quiñones6.37Á. Quiñones
Boschilia7.110Boschilia
Hildeberto Pereira6.214H. Pereira
Caio Dantas7.899C. Dantas

Criciuma Substitutes

88Cauê45'for Rodrigo Fagundes5.7
34Bruno Alves
5Eduardo
8Guilherme Lobo82'for Fellipe Mateus6.1
31Hiago Accinelli da Roza
41Jean Irmer
21João Carlos65'for Waguininho6.4
91R. Otero70'for Jhonata Robert Alves da Silva6.2
11Romarinho
47Rômulo
33Yuri65'for Nicolas Godinho Johann85'6.4
70Pedro

Operario-PR Substitutes

21Brenno
32Charles
1Elias Martello Curzel
5Índio72'for Vinícius Diniz Dall Antonia6.5
4Klaus
77Maxwell72'for Hildeberto Pereira90+6'7.4
16Miranda45'for Mikael Doka6.5
88Neto Paraíba
30Pedro Vilhena
8J. Zuluaga89'for Gabriel Feliciano da Silva6.6
11Aylon80'for Ángel Torres6.1
17Nicolas Schulz

Match Stats

CriciumaOperario-PR
67%Ball Possession33%
17Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards2
26Total Shots5
4Shots on Goal2
15Shots off Goal2
15Shots Inside Box2
11Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots1
17Fouls13
3Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves4
489Total Passes262
413Passes Accurate176
13Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

CriciumaCriciuma
Operario-PROperario-PR
1633Elo Rating 1587
0.98Attack 0.44
2.30Defense 1.63
56%Hit Rate 27%
16.5Shots per Game 15.7
2.7Shots on Target 3.1
5.9Corners per Game 7.1
2.4Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CriciumaCriciuma
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Operario-PROperario-PR
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

CriciumaCriciuma1Wins · 20%
Draws120%
Operario-PROperario-PR3Wins · 60%
2.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
20%3+ goals1 of 5

Previous meetings

Serie B25/05/2026
Operario-PRCriciuma
11
Serie B02/08/2025
Operario-PRCriciuma
10
Serie B05/04/2025
CriciumaOperario-PR
12
Serie B18/08/2022
CriciumaOperario-PR
20
Serie B07/05/2022
Operario-PRCriciuma
20

Recent Form

CriciumaCriciuma
3W2D5L
13/09/2026
Atletico GoianienseCriciuma
40
L09/09/2026
CriciumaJuventude
02
L
05/09/2026
CriciumaCuiaba
20
W
30/08/2026
CRBCriciuma
21
L
23/08/2026
CriciumaFortaleza EC
02
L
20/08/2026
Botafogo SPCriciuma
11
D15/08/2026
CriciumaGoias
10
W09/08/2026
Athletic ClubCriciuma
20
L
26/07/2026
CriciumaNautico Recife
00
D
22/07/2026
NovorizontinoCriciuma
01
W
Operario-PROperario-PR
3W3D4L
16/09/2026
Nautico RecifeOperario-PR
33
D10/09/2026
Operario-PRCRB
30
W06/09/2026
LondrinaOperario-PR
12
W
01/09/2026
Fortaleza ECOperario-PR
11
D
23/08/2026
Operario-PRVila Nova
00
D
20/08/2026
CuiabaOperario-PR
10
L
16/08/2026
Operario-PRAvai
12
L
08/08/2026
Operario-PRSão Bernardo
13
L
28/07/2026
Atletico GoianienseOperario-PR
31
L
23/07/2026
Operario-PRPonte Preta
32
W

Referee Profile

Lucas Guimaraes Rechatiko Horn82 matches

4.79Cards per match
4.54Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
30.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lucas Guimaraes Rechatiko Horn4.79
Other referees5.24

4.79 cards a match, 0.45 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.24).

Cards come from 24 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
3JuventudeJuventude341710741:23+1861DDWWW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC341612641:29+1260WDWDD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
7Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
8CRBCRB341571251:48+352LDWLW
9Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
10GoiasGoias341471334:40-649DWWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba341114932:27+547LLDWL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3411101339:42-343DLLDW
16CearaCeara3411101337:42-543DLWWD
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina34881843:49-632WDLLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro34552422:54-3220WLLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta34352619:74-5514DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
3JuventudeJuventude3441:2361
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3441:2960
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
7Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
8CRBCRB3451:4852
9Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
10GoiasGoias3434:4049
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3432:2747
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3439:4243
16CearaCeara3437:4243
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3443:4932
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3422:5420
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3419:7414
PromotionRelegation

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About the Criciuma vs Operario-PR forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Criciuma and Operario-PR in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Criciuma are 5th and Operario-PR 9th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Criciuma 36-30, Operario-PR 45-46. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.