Juventude vs Athletic Club Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 28
Juventude
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Athletic Club
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul·S. Sampaio 13/09/2026
JuventudeJuventude
0-2
Finished
Athletic ClubAthletic Club

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.67
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+10.6%
Juventude Rest
4 days
Athletic Club Rest
4 days

Juventude vs Athletic Club: the result in context

Athletic Club beat Juventude 2-0 in the Serie B on 13 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Juventude had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Athletic Club.

Referee S. Sampaio averages 4.53 cards a game, 0.65 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.67
X
24%3.34
2
10%5.55
Double Chance
1X
90%1.13
X2
34%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%2.22
No
52%1.59
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.8 + 0.74 = 2.54
Over 1.5
75%1.44
Over 2.5
52%2.36
Over 3.5
29%4.50
Under 1.5
25%2.61
Under 2.5
48%1.56
Under 3.5
71%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4 = 9.9
Over 8.5
63%1.34
Over 9.5
54%1.61
Over 10.5
41%1.97
Under 8.5
37%2.85
Under 9.5
46%2.15
Under 10.5
59%1.74
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.5 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%-
Over 4.5
39%1.90
Under 3.5
42%-
Under 4.5
61%1.83

Match Events

6'Marcos Paulo Lima Batista SilvaFoul
15'Carlos Moisés de Lima INWilinton Aponza Carabali out
45'Dixon Vera INKauan Gabriel Cordeiro Lindes out
57'Marcos Paulo INFabio lima out
57'Safira INAlan Kardec out
62'Maswel Ananias Silva INOtavio Bruno Dos Santos out
65'Wilinton Aponza CarabaliFoul
67'Penalty confirmedMarcelo Henrique Laborão dos Santos
70'Wilinton Aponza Carabali(Penalty)
72'Luan Martins·GoncalvesFoul
73'Mandaca INLucas Alves out
73'Raí da Silva Pessanha INGabriel Pires out
76'Fabio limaFoul
81'Luan Martins·Goncalves INPablo Roberto Dos Santos Barbosa out
81'Aderlan INJuan out
87'Felipe Negrucci Berdague INJhan Pool Torres Cañete out
89'Wilinton Aponza Carabali INJoao Victor Broad Moreira Guimaraes out
90'João MiguelFoul
90+7'Kauan Gabriel Cordeiro LindesAssist: Otavio Bruno Dos Santos

Lineups

Juventude
3-4-3Coach: Maurício Barbieri
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1Coach: Alex
Avg rating6.52
Avg rating7.05
Jandrei6.093Jandrei
Rodrigo Sam7.034R. Sam
Gabriel Pinheiro6.797G. Pinheiro
Marcos Paulo6.847M. Paulo
Aderlan6.813Aderlan
Luan Gonçalves6.55L. Gonçalves
Mandaca6.544Mandaca
Diogo Barbosa7.216D. Barbosa
Raí6.575Raí
Alisson Safira6.225A. Safira
Marcos Paulo6.210M. Paulo
Luan Polli8.71L. Polli
Diogo Batista7.322D. Batista
Jhonatan7.13Jhonatan
Lucas Belezi7.44L. Belezi
Marcelo Henrique6.56M. Henrique
Felipe Negrucci6.45F. Negrucci
João Miguel7.116J. Miguel
Max6.411Max
Kauan6.617Kauan
D. Vera6.721D. Vera
Carlinhos6.59Carlinhos

Juventude Substitutes

28Alan Ruschel
12Pedro Rocha
70Juan Christian81'for Aderlan6.3
6Wadson
29Gabriel Pires73'for Raí da Silva Pessanha6.4
18L. Amarilla
11Fábio Lima57'for Marcos Paulo76'6.9
9Alan Kardec57'for Safira6.6
8Lucas Mineiro
2Raí Ramos
7Pablo Roberto81'for Luan Martins·Goncalves5.8
72Lucas Alves73'for Mandaca6.6

Athletic Club Substitutes

20W. Aponza15'for Carlos Moisés de Lima65'70'89'for Joao Victor Broad Moreira Guimaraes7.8
23Yarlen
15Jota89'replaced by Wilinton Aponza Carabali6.8
8G. Cabezas
10Kauan Lindes45'for Dixon Vera90+7'7.8
12Tony
13Philipe Sampaio
14Yago Santos
19J. Torres87'for Felipe Negrucci Berdague7.0
2Douglas Pelé
18Assis
7Bruninho62'for Maswel Ananias Silva6.6

Match Stats

JuventudeAthletic Club
65%Ball Possession35%
3Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards2
20Total Shots8
8Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal2
13Shots Inside Box3
7Shots Outside Box5
6Blocked Shots3
18Fouls13
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves8
567Total Passes314
495Passes Accurate245
12Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

JuventudeJuventude
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
1707Elo Rating 1570
2.46Attack 1.01
1.74Defense 1.89
37%Hit Rate 27%
14.9Shots per Game 15.0
7.2Shots on Target 3.4
4.1Corners per Game 5.7
2.8Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+137 Elo

Game State Tendencies

JuventudeJuventude
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

JuventudeJuventude0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
Athletic ClubAthletic Club0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Serie B17/05/2026
Athletic ClubJuventude
11

Recent Form

JuventudeJuventude
5W4D1L
09/09/2026
CriciumaJuventude
02
W05/09/2026
JuventudeAtletico Goianiense
22
D
02/09/2026
LondrinaJuventude
00
D
26/08/2026
JuventudeCRB
21
W19/08/2026
GoiasJuventude
01
W15/08/2026
JuventudeFortaleza EC
00
D09/08/2026
NovorizontinoJuventude
01
W
05/08/2026
JuventudeAtletico-MG
01
L
02/08/2026
Atletico-MGJuventude
00
D29/07/2026
JuventudeAvai
10
W
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
4W2D4L
09/09/2026
CuiabaAthletic Club
30
L
05/09/2026
Athletic ClubVila Nova
50
W
29/08/2026
Nautico RecifeAthletic Club
21
L
25/08/2026
Athletic ClubNovorizontino
14
L
21/08/2026
Athletic ClubCRB
02
L
16/08/2026
America MineiroAthletic Club
13
W09/08/2026
Athletic ClubCriciuma
20
W
29/07/2026
Ponte PretaAthletic Club
11
D
24/07/2026
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
21
W
18/07/2026
Atletico GoianienseAthletic Club
00
D

Referee Profile

S. Sampaio169 matches

4.53Cards per match
4.35Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
26.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

S. Sampaio4.53
Other referees5.18

4.53 cards a match, 0.65 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.18).

Cards come from 152 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
PromotionRelegation

Explore more predictions

This match

More Serie B matches

All predictions

About the Juventude vs Athletic Club forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Juventude and Athletic Club in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Juventude are 2nd and Athletic Club 14th, 21 points apart. League goal record so far: Juventude 49-26, Athletic Club 44-44. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Juventude and Athletic Club have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.