Juventude vs São Bernardo Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 34
Juventude
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
São Bernardo
Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias Sul·Felipe Fernandes de Lima 11/10/2026
JuventudeJuventude
2-2
Finished
São BernardoSão Bernardo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.54
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-0.5%
Juventude Rest
4 days
São Bernardo Rest
4 days

Juventude vs São Bernardo: the result in context

Juventude and São Bernardo drew 2-2 in the Serie B on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Felipe Fernandes de Lima averages 5.66 cards a game, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.54
X
26%3.84
2
12%6.15
Double Chance
1X
88%1.11
X2
38%2.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.16
No
56%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 0.77 = 2.37
Over 1.5
69%1.36
Over 2.5
44%2.12
Over 3.5
23%3.82
Under 1.5
31%2.92
Under 2.5
56%1.66
Under 3.5
77%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 3.7 = 10.1
Over 8.5
67%1.37
Over 9.5
55%1.68
Over 10.5
45%2.05
Under 8.5
33%2.75
Under 9.5
45%2.05
Under 10.5
55%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.6 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%-
Over 4.5
48%1.83
Under 3.5
33%-
Under 4.5
52%1.83

Match Events

23'sam rodrigoAssist: Raí da Silva Pessanha
31'Alex AlvesFoul
35'JemersonFoul
45'Penalty confirmedLucas Eduardo·Lima da Silva
45'Fabio lima INManuel Castro out
45+2'Felipe Garcia(Penalty)
45+6'Maurício Nogueira BarbieriDissent
46'Marcos Paulo Lima Batista SilvaFoul
49'Lucas FernandesAssist: Felipe Garcia
61'Marcos Paulo Lima Batista Silva INJuan out
61'Raí Ramos INNathan·Santos de Araujo out
63'Lucas Eduardo·Lima da SilvaFoul
65'Felipe Garcia INPedro Vitor Ferreira da Silva out
65'Pedro Gabriel Pereira Lopes INLucas Rian Santos Oliveira out
69'Raí da Silva PessanhaAssist: Marcos Paulo
76'Lucas Fernandes INHyoran out
78'Marcos Paulo INAlan Kardec out
83'Gabriel Pires INLuan Martins·Goncalves out
86'Lucas Eduardo·Lima da Silva INFoguinho out
86'Pará INHugo Sanches Nogueira Ribeiro Magalhães out
90+3'Rodrigo FerreiraFoul

Lineups

Juventude
3-4-3Coach: Maurício Barbieri
São Bernardo
5-4-1Coach: Vinícius Bergantin
Avg rating6.70
Avg rating6.46
Jandrei6.693Jandrei
Rodrigo Sam7.434R. Sam
Messias6.94Messias
Marcos Paulo6.347M. Paulo
Raí Ramos6.22R. Ramos
Raí9.075Raí
Gabriel Pires6.329G. Pires
Diogo Barbosa6.816D. Barbosa
Fábio Lima6.711F. Lima
Alisson Safira6.525A. Safira
Marcos Paulo7.010M. Paulo
Alex Alves5.81A. Alves
Rodrigo Ferreira6.22R. Ferreira
Marcão6.777Marcão
Jemerson6.335Jemerson
Augusto7.797Augusto
Pará6.66Pará
Lucas Fernandes7.131L. Fernandes
Lucas Lima5.814L. Lima
Eduardo6.726Eduardo
Pedrinho5.729Pedrinho
Felipe Garcia7.79F. Garcia

Juventude Substitutes

9Alan Kardec78'for Marcos Paulo6.4
97Gabriel Pinheiro
17M. Castro45'for Fabio lima6.0
70Juan Christian61'for Marcos Paulo Lima Batista Silva6.4
5Luan Gonçalves83'for Gabriel Pires6.2
8Lucas Mineiro
26I. Ly
22Nathan61'for Raí Ramos6.6
12Pedro Rocha
3Titi
6Wadson
72Lucas Alves

São Bernardo Substitutes

27Echaporã
42Hyoran76'for Lucas Fernandes6.1
7Lucas65'for Pedro Gabriel Pereira Lopes6.6
11Pedro Vitor65'for Felipe Garcia6.6
17Romisson
44Caio Belmonte Garcez
16João Pedro Constancio Dos Santos
30Breninho
21Hugo Sanches86'for Pará6.0
37D. Davi
12Júnior Oliveira
8Foguinho86'for Lucas Eduardo·Lima da Silva6.1

Match Stats

JuventudeSão Bernardo
54%Ball Possession46%
4Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards4
15Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal2
10Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots4
16Fouls16
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
454Total Passes406
386Passes Accurate336
85%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

JuventudeJuventude
São BernardoSão Bernardo
1696Elo Rating 1605
2.02Attack 1.79
2.00Defense 1.37
50%Hit Rate 41%
15.1Shots per Game 12.6
4.6Shots on Target 4.0
5.2Corners per Game 7.0
2.9Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

JuventudeJuventude
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
São BernardoSão Bernardo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

JuventudeJuventude1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
São BernardoSão Bernardo0Wins · 0%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Serie B21/06/2026
São BernardoJuventude
01

Recent Form

JuventudeJuventude
6W2D2L
07/10/2026
Ponte PretaJuventude
02
W03/10/2026
JuventudeOperario-PR
30
W29/09/2026
America MineiroJuventude
01
W19/09/2026
Sport RecifeJuventude
21
L13/09/2026
JuventudeAthletic Club
02
L09/09/2026
CriciumaJuventude
02
W05/09/2026
JuventudeAtletico Goianiense
22
D
02/09/2026
LondrinaJuventude
00
D
26/08/2026
JuventudeCRB
21
W19/08/2026
GoiasJuventude
01
W
São BernardoSão Bernardo
4W3D3L
07/10/2026
Sport RecifeSão Bernardo
21
L03/10/2026
São BernardoCRB
31
W26/09/2026
NovorizontinoSão Bernardo
00
D19/09/2026
São BernardoAtletico Goianiense
10
W15/09/2026
America MineiroSão Bernardo
02
W11/09/2026
São BernardoLondrina
12
L
06/09/2026
Ponte PretaSão Bernardo
02
W
29/08/2026
GoiasSão Bernardo
21
L
23/08/2026
São BernardoNautico Recife
11
D
20/08/2026
Fortaleza ECSão Bernardo
11
D

Referee Profile

Felipe Fernandes de Lima184 matches

5.66Cards per match
5.38Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
31.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Felipe Fernandes de Lima5.66
Other referees5.14

5.66 cards a match, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.14).

Cards come from 131 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
3JuventudeJuventude341710741:23+1861DDWWW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC341612641:29+1260WDWDD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
7Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
8CRBCRB341571251:48+352LDWLW
9Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
10GoiasGoias341471334:40-649DWWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba341114932:27+547LLDWL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3411101339:42-343DLLDW
16CearaCeara3411101337:42-543DLWWD
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina34881843:49-632WDLLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro34552422:54-3220WLLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta34352619:74-5514DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
3JuventudeJuventude3441:2361
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3441:2960
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
7Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
8CRBCRB3451:4852
9Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
10GoiasGoias3434:4049
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3432:2747
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3439:4243
16CearaCeara3437:4243
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3443:4932
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3422:5420
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3419:7414
PromotionRelegation

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About the Juventude vs São Bernardo forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Juventude and São Bernardo in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Juventude are 3rd and São Bernardo 11th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Juventude 41-23, São Bernardo 49-39. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Juventude and São Bernardo have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.