Fortaleza EC vs São Bernardo Prediction

Fortaleza EC
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
São Bernardo
Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo, Fortaleza·Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho, Brazil 20/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.61
SignalSOLIDModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+2.4%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.61
SignalGOODModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+10.2%
Fortaleza EC Rest
4 days
São Bernardo Rest
5 days

Fortaleza EC vs São Bernardo: the result in context

Fortaleza EC and São Bernardo drew 1-1 in the Serie B on 19 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.61
X
26%3.60
2
6%5.64
Double Chance
1X
94%1.13
X2
32%2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.10
No
49%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 0.77 = 2.34
Over 1.5
70%1.36
Over 2.5
46%2.10
Over 3.5
24%3.75
Under 1.5
30%2.95
Under 2.5
54%1.67
Under 3.5
76%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.9 = 9.7
Over 8.5
60%1.35
Over 9.5
51%1.62
Over 10.5
40%2.00
Under 8.5
40%2.88
Under 9.5
49%2.13
Under 10.5
60%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.5
57%-
Over 4.5
42%1.58
Under 3.5
43%-
Under 4.5
58%2.18

Match Events

32'Lucas Sasha
43'PedrinhoAssist: Dudu Miraíma
59'Hyoran INPedro Vitor out
59'Pará INHugo out
63'Vitinho INRodrigo Santos out
64'Maurício Lima INLuiz Fernando out
64'Pedro Henrique INLucas Crispim out
64'Dudu Miraíma INLucas Lima out
68'PierreFoul
75'Juan Miritello INWelliton out
81'Pierre INRyan Gustavo out
81'Felipe Garcia INLéo Jabá out
81'Pedrinho INDaniel Amorim out

Lineups

Fortaleza EC
Coach: Paulo Autuori
São Bernardo
Coach: Catala Ricardo

Fortaleza EC Starting XI

1João RicardoC6.3
22Maílton7.2
3Lucas Gazal6.6
6Tomás Cardona7.2
13Maurício Lima64'replaced by Luiz Fernando6.6
88Lucas Sasha32'7.5
5Pierre68'81'replaced by Ryan Gustavo7.2
75Rodriguinho7.2
11Vitinho63'replaced by Rodrigo Santos6.5
9Juan Miritello75'replaced by Welliton6.2
16Pedro Henrique64'replaced by Lucas Crispim6.6
Avg rating6.81

São Bernardo Starting XI

1Alex Alves7.5
2Rodrigo Ferreira7.3
35Jemerson7.9
3Helder Maciel6.7
6Pará59'replaced by Hugo6.7
8FoguinhoC6.9
26Dudu Miraíma64'replaced by Lucas Lima7.6
17Romisson7.0
42Hyoran59'replaced by Pedro Vitor6.2
29Pedrinho43'81'replaced by Daniel Amorim7.9
9Felipe Garcia81'replaced by Léo Jabá5.9
Avg rating6.91

Fortaleza EC Substitutes

29Rodrigo Santos63'for Vitinho7.3
10Lucas Crispim64'for Pedro Henrique6.6
32Luiz Fernando64'for Maurício Lima6.3
31Welliton75'for Juan Miritello7.0
37Ryan Gustavo81'for Pierre6.7
25Vinicius Silvestre
28Paulinho
4Luan Freitas
23Neris
77Paulo Baya
19Lucas Emanoel
17Nathan Fogaça

São Bernardo Substitutes

21Hugo59'for Pará6.7
11Pedro Vitor59'for Hyoran6.9
14Lucas Lima64'for Dudu Miraíma6.3
98Léo Jabá81'for Felipe Garcia6.7
89Daniel Amorim81'for Pedrinho6.3
12Júnior Oliveira
90Luizão
97Augusto
30Breno Melo
37Daniel Davi Simão Roque
27Echaporã
31Lucas Fernandes

Match Stats

Fortaleza ECSão Bernardo
51%Ball Possession49%
8Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards0
24Total Shots14
5Shots on Goal5
11Shots off Goal5
15Shots Inside Box5
9Shots Outside Box9
8Blocked Shots4
9Fouls8
2Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves4
533Total Passes509
471Passes Accurate445
88%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
São BernardoSão Bernardo
1701Elo Rating 1618
1.32Attack 1.70
2.21Defense 1.46
34%Hit Rate 50%
14.3Shots per Game 11.5
3.7Shots on Target 4.2
6.2Corners per Game 6.2
2.7Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
São BernardoSão Bernardo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
São BernardoSão Bernardo0Wins · 0%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Serie B12/04/2026
São BernardoFortaleza EC
01
5.28Cards per match
5.00Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
27.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho5.28
Other referees5.06

5.28 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.06).

Cards come from 32 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Operario-PROperario-PR381691351:50+157WWLWL
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3814111354:44+1053DLWWL
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3811151246:46048DLWLD
14CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta38362921:81-6015LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Operario-PROperario-PR3851:5057
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3854:4453
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3846:4648
14CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3821:8115
PromotionRelegation

About the Fortaleza EC vs São Bernardo forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Fortaleza EC and São Bernardo in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Fortaleza EC are 5th and São Bernardo 11th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Fortaleza EC 44-33, São Bernardo 54-44. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fortaleza EC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Fortaleza EC and São Bernardo have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.