Fortaleza EC vs São Bernardo Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 23
Fortaleza EC
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
São Bernardo
Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo, Fortaleza· Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho, Brazil 20/08/2026
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
1-1
Finished
São BernardoSão Bernardo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.61
SignalGOODModel66%RiskMediumGap+2.4%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.61
SignalGOODModel54%RiskMediumGap+10.2%
Fortaleza EC Rest
4 days
São Bernardo Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.61
X
26%3.60
2
6%5.64
Double Chance
1X
94%1.13
X2
32%2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.10
No
49%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 0.77 = 2.34
Over 1.5
70%1.36
Over 2.5
46%2.10
Over 3.5
24%3.75
Under 1.5
30%2.95
Under 2.5
54%1.67
Under 3.5
76%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.9 = 9.7
Over 8.5
60%1.35
Over 9.5
51%1.62
Over 10.5
40%2.00
Under 8.5
40%2.88
Under 9.5
49%2.13
Under 10.5
60%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.5
57%-
Over 4.5
42%1.58
Under 3.5
43%-
Under 4.5
58%2.18

Match Events

32'Lucas Sasha
43'PedrinhoAssist: Dudu Miraíma
59'Hyoran INPedro Vitor out
59'Pará INHugo out
63'Vitinho INRodrigo Santos out
64'Maurício Lima INLuiz Fernando out
64'Pedro Henrique INLucas Crispim out
64'Dudu Miraíma INLucas Lima out
68'PierreFoul
75'Juan Miritello INWelliton out
81'Pierre INRyan Gustavo out
81'Felipe Garcia INLéo Jabá out
81'Pedrinho INDaniel Amorim out

Lineups

Fortaleza EC
Coach: Paulo Autuori
São Bernardo
Coach: Catala Ricardo

Fortaleza EC Starting XI

1João RicardoG
22MaíltonD
3Lucas GazalD
6Tomás CardonaD
13Maurício LimaD
88Lucas SashaM
5PierreM
75RodriguinhoM
11VitinhoF
9Juan MiritelloF
16Pedro HenriqueF

São Bernardo Starting XI

1Alex AlvesG
2Rodrigo FerreiraD
35JemersonD
3Helder MacielD
6ParáD
8FoguinhoM
26Dudu MiraímaM
17RomissonM
42HyoranM
29PedrinhoM
9Felipe GarciaF

Fortaleza EC Substitutes

29Rodrigo SantosM
10Lucas CrispimM
32Luiz FernandoF
31WellitonF
37Ryan GustavoM
25Vinicius SilvestreG
28PaulinhoD
4Luan FreitasD
23NerisD
77Paulo BayaF
19Lucas EmanoelF
17Nathan FogaçaF

São Bernardo Substitutes

21HugoD
11Pedro VitorF
14Lucas LimaM
98Léo JabáF
89Daniel AmorimF
12Júnior OliveiraG
90LuizãoD
97AugustoD
30Breno MeloM
37Daniel Davi Simão RoqueF
27EchaporãF
31Lucas FernandesM

Match Stats

Fortaleza ECSão Bernardo
51%Ball Possession49%
8Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards0
24Total Shots14
5Shots on Goal5
11Shots off Goal5
15Shots Inside Box5
9Shots Outside Box9
8Blocked Shots4
9Fouls8
2Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves4
532Total Passes508
470Passes Accurate444
88%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
São BernardoSão Bernardo
1695Elo Rating 1585
1.14Attack 1.39
2.56Defense 2.33
56%Hit Rate 66%
13.6Shots per Game 11.5
3.8Shots on Target 4.4
4.1Corners per Game 4.7
1.6Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+110 Elo

Game State Tendencies

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
São BernardoSão Bernardo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 1 historical meeting

Fortaleza EC 100%Draw 0%0% São Bernardo
1Avg Goals
0%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
2W2D1L
15/08/2026
JuventudeFortaleza EC
00
D09/08/2026
CuiabaFortaleza EC
11
D06/08/2026
Fortaleza ECPalmeiras
32
W02/08/2026
PalmeirasFortaleza EC
30
L
29/07/2026
Fortaleza ECBotafogo SP
10
W
São BernardoSão Bernardo
1W1D3L
15/08/2026
São BernardoBotafogo SP
01
L
08/08/2026
Operario-PRSão Bernardo
13
W
26/07/2026
São BernardoCeara
34
L
24/07/2026
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
21
L
18/07/2026
São BernardoAvai
11
D

Referee Profile

Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho, Brazil · 17 matches analysed

4.5Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
25.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 69% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vila NovaVila Nova29156841:31+1051WDWLW
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino29148749:27+2250LDWWW
3JuventudeJuventude29148731:19+1250LLWDD
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC28139631:23+848DWWDW
5CriciumaCriciuma28138728:25+347LLWLL
6Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense291210736:27+946LWWDW
7CRBCRB291361042:41+145LWLWW
8Operario-PROperario-PR28128839:36+344DWWDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife291111739:29+1044WLWLL
10GoiasGoias291261130:35-542WWLLW
11São BernardoSão Bernardo291181040:31+941WWLWL
12Athletic ClubAthletic Club291011834:31+341DWLWL
13CuiabaCuiaba28913627:22+540DWLWD
14Nautico RecifeNautico Recife281081035:33+238DLWWD
15CearaCeara29981231:37-635WDLWL
16Botafogo SPBotafogo SP29881332:36-432DLLLL
17AvaiAvai29861530:38-830LDLLL
18LondrinaLondrina28771438:39-128WWLDL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro29452021:49-2817LLWLW
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta29342217:62-4513WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vila NovaVila Nova2941:3151
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino2949:2750
3JuventudeJuventude2931:1950
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC2831:2348
5CriciumaCriciuma2828:2547
6Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense2936:2746
7CRBCRB2942:4145
8Operario-PROperario-PR2839:3644
9Sport RecifeSport Recife2939:2944
10GoiasGoias2930:3542
11São BernardoSão Bernardo2940:3141
12Athletic ClubAthletic Club2934:3141
13CuiabaCuiaba2827:2240
14Nautico RecifeNautico Recife2835:3338
15CearaCeara2931:3735
16Botafogo SPBotafogo SP2932:3632
17AvaiAvai2930:3830
18LondrinaLondrina2838:3928
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro2921:4917
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta2917:6213
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Fortaleza EC vs São Bernardo Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie B fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie B

ScorePredicts covers Brazil football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Fortaleza EC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Fortaleza EC and São Bernardo have met 1 times recently, averaging 1 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.