Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd Prediction

Kilmarnock
0-4
Finished
HT 0-3
Dundee Utd
Rugby Park, Kilmarnock· N. Walsh 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
2.00
SignalGOODModel40%RiskMediumGap+9.9%
Kilmarnock Rest
14 days
Dundee Utd Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.46
X
27%3.50
2
30%2.64
Double Chance
1X
70%1.44
X2
57%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.57
No
45%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.62 + 1.09 = 2.71
Over 1.5
79%1.21
Over 2.5
53%1.70
Over 3.5
28%2.72
Under 1.5
21%4.24
Under 2.5
47%2.14
Under 3.5
72%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.4 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.30
Over 9.5
53%1.52
Over 10.5
41%1.85
Under 8.5
36%3.05
Under 9.5
47%2.35
Under 10.5
59%1.85
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.5
51%1.52
Over 4.5
31%2.02
Under 3.5
49%2.28
Under 4.5
69%1.73

Match Events

10'Bert EsselinkFoul
12'Emmanuel AgyeiAssist: Mehdi Merghem
19'Robbie Deas INGeorge Stanger out
35'Cathal McCarthyFoul
36'Zachary Sapsford(Penalty)
38'Zachary SapsfordFoul
41'Will FerryAssist: Mehdi Merghem
43'Joe HugillFoul
45'Jonathan Meier INJamie Brandon out
45'Nicky Clescenco INDjenairo Daniels out
63'Mehdi Merghem INJesse Randall out
63'abdoulaye yoro INLachlan Rose out
64'Mark O'Hara INBailey Rice out
64'Tyreece John-Jules INCole Burke out
69'Will FerryFoul
74'Zachary Sapsford INNeil Farrugia out
77'Jesse RandallAssist: Will Ferry
79'Daniel Bennie INDario Naamo out
90+2'Bailey RiceFoul

Lineups

Kilmarnock
4-4-2Coach: Neil McCann
Dundee Utd
4-3-3Coach: Jim Goodwin
M. Stryjek1M. StryjekM. Stryjek
J. Meier19J. MeierJ. Meier
C. McCarthy4C. McCarthyC. McCarthy
R. Deas6R. DeasR. Deas
M. Schjønning-Larsen21M. Schjønning-LarsenM. Schjønning-Larsen
N. Cleșcenco20N. CleșcencoN. Cleșcenco
M. O'Hara5M. O'HaraM. O'Hara
T. Lowery18T. LoweryT. Lowery
G. Kiltie11G. KiltieG. Kiltie
J. Hugill9J. HugillJ. Hugill
T. John-Jules10T. John-JulesT. John-Jules
J. Walton1J. WaltonJ. Walton
B. Esselink3B. EsselinkB. Esselink
M. Forbes18M. ForbesM. Forbes
W. Ferry11W. FerryW. Ferry
Abdoulaye Yoro26A. YoroAbdoulaye Yoro
E. Agyei12E. AgyeiE. Agyei
Panutche Camará8P. CamaráPanutche Camará
M. Merghem7M. MerghemM. Merghem
Z. Sapsford9Z. SapsfordZ. Sapsford
D. Bennie77D. BennieD. Bennie

Kilmarnock Substitutes

39E. BowieD
2J. BrandonD
29D. DanielsF
7R. McKenzieM
49B. RiceM
14G. StangerD
15J. YfekoD

Dundee Utd Substitutes

4I. IovuD
93I. MetsokoF
22D. NaamoD
21J. RandallF
15L. RoseF
6R. GrahamD
20N. FarrugiaF
19K. CiubotaruD
30J. AmissahG

Match Stats

KilmarnockDundee Utd
52%Ball Possession48%
3Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots21
4Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal9
10Shots Inside Box15
6Shots Outside Box6
8Blocked Shots4
11Fouls12
0Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves5
436Total Passes417
347Passes Accurate353
12Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

KilmarnockKilmarnock
Dundee UtdDundee Utd
1505Elo Rating 1525
0.69Attack 1.05
1.59Defense 1.15
14%Hit Rate 19%
11.7Shots per Game 17.3
4.2Shots on Target 5.7
6.2Corners per Game 6.7
2.5Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

KilmarnockKilmarnock
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.1 in first half)
Dundee UtdDundee Utd
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Kilmarnock 58%Draw 42%0% Dundee Utd
2.41Avg Goals
56%BTTS Rate
41%Over 2.5

Recent Form

KilmarnockKilmarnock
2W0D3L
14/08/2026
KilmarnockAyr Utd
32
W
09/08/2026
KilmarnockCeltic
15
L
02/08/2026
ST JohnstoneKilmarnock
43
L
25/07/2026
PeterheadKilmarnock
5040
L
21/07/2026
KilmarnockHamilton Academical
10
W
Dundee UtdDundee Utd
0W1D4L

Referee Profile

N. Walsh · 98 matches analysed

4.0Avg Yellows
4.3Avg Cards
24.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 27% of referees analysed

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic660014:3+1118WWWWW
2RangersRangers64117:4+313WWWWL
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian640213:7+612LWWWW
4ST MirrenST Mirren63128:6+210LLWDW
5MotherwellMotherwell62228:9-18LLWDD
6DundeeDundee62137:6+17LDLWW
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone62138:9-17LWDLL
8AberdeenAberdeen62136:7-17WDLLL
9HibernianHibernian62047:10-36LLLWW
10FalkirkFalkirk61235:8-35WDLLD
11Dundee UtdDundee Utd61236:11-55DLWLL
12KilmarnockKilmarnock61145:14-94WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic614:318
2RangersRangers67:413
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian613:712
4ST MirrenST Mirren68:610
5MotherwellMotherwell68:98
6DundeeDundee67:67
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone68:97
8AberdeenAberdeen66:77
9HibernianHibernian67:106
10FalkirkFalkirk65:85
11Dundee UtdDundee Utd66:115
12KilmarnockKilmarnock65:144
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Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Premiership fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Premiership

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Key Factors for This Match

Kilmarnock and Dundee Utd have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.41 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.