Motherwell vs Falkirk Prediction

Motherwell
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Falkirk
Fir Park, Motherwell· C. Graham 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.41
SignalHIGHModel58%RiskMediumGap+10.4%
Motherwell Rest
2 days
Falkirk Rest
8 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.80
X
22%3.75
2
23%4.20
Double Chance
1X
77%1.22
X2
45%1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.66
No
46%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 0.94 = 2.62
Over 1.5
72%1.22
Over 2.5
46%1.74
Over 3.5
24%2.80
Under 1.5
28%4.10
Under 2.5
54%2.08
Under 3.5
76%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.3 = 10
Over 8.5
62%1.54
Over 9.5
50%1.91
Over 10.5
40%2.39
Under 8.5
38%2.30
Under 9.5
50%1.81
Under 10.5
60%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 3.1 = 5.4
Over 3.5
73%1.67
Over 4.5
54%2.10
Under 3.5
27%2.12
Under 4.5
46%1.65

Match Events

44'F. YeatsDelay of game
46'M. Booth INA. Lowry out
46'F. Yeats INC. Sibbald out
51'M. MoormannFoul
64'T. Sparrow INJ. Koutroumbis out
65'M. Moormann INJ. Girdwood-Reich out
65'B. KrauhausFoul
68'B. Parkinson INR. MacIver out
68'A. Doherty INP. McGovern out
75'L. FadingerFoul
76'E. Longelo INE. Wilson out
76'W. Vogt INR. Charles-Cook out
90+1'B. Krauhaus INJ. McMillan out

Lineups

Motherwell
4-2-3-1Coach: Alfred Johansson
Falkirk
4-2-3-1Coach: John McGlynn
Alex Paulsen1A. PaulsenAlex Paulsen
Tom Sparrow7T. SparrowTom Sparrow
Jamie Knight-Lebel4J. Knight-LebelJamie Knight-Lebel
Martin Moormann5M. MoormannMartin Moormann
Emmanuel Longelo45E. LongeloEmmanuel Longelo
Oscar Priestman12O. PriestmanOscar Priestman
Lukas Fadinger8L. FadingerLukas Fadinger
Willy Vogt77W. VogtWilly Vogt
Mikey Booth27M. BoothMikey Booth
Ibrahim Said19I. SaidIbrahim Said
Tawanda Maswanhise18T. MaswanhiseTawanda Maswanhise
Scott Bain19S. BainScott Bain
Ryan Strain22R. StrainRyan Strain
Lewis Neilson15L. NeilsonLewis Neilson
Liam Henderson5L. HendersonLiam Henderson
Leon McCann3L. McCannLeon McCann
Finley Barbrook16F. BarbrookFinley Barbrook
Ben Krauhaus28B. KrauhausBen Krauhaus
Aodhan Doherty47A. DohertyAodhan Doherty
Finn Yeats14F. YeatsFinn Yeats
Ethan Ross23E. RossEthan Ross
Ben Parkinson7B. ParkinsonBen Parkinson

Motherwell Substitutes

11Alex LowryM
22Johnny KoutroumbisD
3Jake Girdwood-ReichD
31Jack McConnellG
21Matty ConnellyG
23Ewan WilsonD
25Olly WhyteM
24Luca RossM
17Regan Charles-CookF

Falkirk Substitutes

10Craig SibbaldM
11Paul McGovernF
9Ross MaclverF
1Nicky HogarthG
21Deniss MelniksM
20Connor AllanD
6Coll DonaldsonD
4Jack McMillanD
32Kalvin BennettM

Match Stats

MotherwellFalkirk
57%Ball Possession43%
2Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots10
1Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box3
3Shots Outside Box7
1Blocked Shots5
17Fouls16
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
545Total Passes399
460Passes Accurate298
84%Pass Accuracy75%

Team Comparison

MotherwellMotherwell
FalkirkFalkirk
1608Elo Rating 1544
1.19Attack 1.23
0.93Defense 1.69
17%Hit Rate 23%
15.6Shots per Game 11.2
5.1Shots on Target 3.7
7.0Corners per Game 5.1
1.2Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MotherwellMotherwell
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FalkirkFalkirk
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Based on 4 historical meetings

Motherwell 0%Draw 23%77% Falkirk
2.23Avg Goals
46%BTTS Rate
46%Over 2.5

Recent Form

MotherwellMotherwell
3W1D1L
FalkirkFalkirk
2W0D3L
01/08/2026
FalkirkST Mirren
02
L
25/07/2026
FalkirkStranraer
30
W
21/07/2026
Alloa AthleticFalkirk
4121
L
18/07/2026
FalkirkGenk
10
W
14/07/2026
FalkirkAyr Utd
01
L

Referee Profile

C. Graham · 27 matches analysed

5.0Avg Yellows
5.2Avg Cards
26.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 87% of referees analysed

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic660014:3+1118WWWWW
2Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian741214:8+613DLWWW
3RangersRangers64117:4+313WWWWL
4DundeeDundee73139:7+210WLDLW
5ST MirrenST Mirren73138:9-110LLLWD
6ST JohnstoneST Johnstone72239:10-18DLWDL
7AberdeenAberdeen72237:8-18DWDLL
8Dundee UtdDundee Utd72239:11-28WDLWL
9MotherwellMotherwell72239:11-28LLLWD
10HibernianHibernian72148:11-37DLLLW
11FalkirkFalkirk71336:9-36DWDLL
12KilmarnockKilmarnock71246:15-95DWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic614:318
2Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian714:813
3RangersRangers67:413
4DundeeDundee79:710
5ST MirrenST Mirren78:910
6ST JohnstoneST Johnstone79:108
7AberdeenAberdeen77:88
8Dundee UtdDundee Utd79:118
9MotherwellMotherwell79:118
10HibernianHibernian78:117
11FalkirkFalkirk76:96
12KilmarnockKilmarnock76:155
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Motherwell vs Falkirk Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Premiership fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Premiership

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Key Factors for This Match

Motherwell and Falkirk have met 4 times recently, averaging 2.23 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.