LDU de Quito vs Mirassol Prediction

CONMEBOL LibertadoresWorld World · Round of 16
CupKnockout
LDU de Quito
0-0
After Penalties
HT 0-0PEN 5-4
Mirassol
Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito· Yael Falcon Perez, Argentina 21/08/2026
LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
0-0
After Penalties
MirassolMirassol

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.8 / 10
Value Analysis
53%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
2.12
SignalGOODModel39%RiskHighGap+10.1%
LDU de Quito Rest
3 days
Mirassol Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.57
X
28%3.77
2
27%6.35
Double Chance
1X
73%1.11
X2
55%2.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%2.10
No
55%1.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.02 = 2.44
Over 1.5
71%1.36
Over 2.5
38%2.12
Over 3.5
19%3.84
Under 1.5
29%3.00
Under 2.5
62%1.70
Under 3.5
81%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.3 = 8.6
Over 8.5
58%1.47
Over 9.5
45%1.82
Over 10.5
34%2.26
Under 8.5
42%2.41
Under 9.5
55%1.91
Under 10.5
66%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 3 = 4.8
Over 3.5
72%1.21
Over 4.5
51%1.42
Under 3.5
28%3.77
Under 4.5
49%2.50

Match Events

12'DenilsonFoul
44'Ricardo AdéFoul
45+3'ChicoFoul
46'R. Mina INJ. Rodriguez out
46'Chico Kim INNeto Moura out
52'J. Corozo INDeyverson out
59'André LuisFoul
70'S. Gonzalez Baquero INA. Alvarado out
77'Shaylon INAlesson out
81'J. W. Cuero Mercado ING. F. Allala Menendez out
87'Andre Luis INBruno Santos out
87'Fernandinho INCarlos Eduardo out
90+2'Denilson INJapa out

Lineups

LDU de Quito
4-3-3Coach: Gustavo Alvarez
Mirassol
5-4-1Coach: Guanaes Rafael
G. Valle1G. ValleG. Valle
J. W. Cuero Mercado28J. W. Cuero MercadoJ. W. Cuero Mercado
R. Ade4R. AdeR. Ade
L. Segovia44L. SegoviaL. Segovia
J. Carabali67J. CarabaliJ. Carabali
F. Cornejo20F. CornejoF. Cornejo
J. Pretell8J. PretellJ. Pretell
S. Gonzalez Baquero5S. Gonzalez BaqueroS. Gonzalez Baquero
J. Corozo13J. CorozoJ. Corozo
M. Estrada11M. EstradaM. Estrada
R. Mina27R. MinaR. Mina
Walter22WalterWalter
Daniel Borges20D. BorgesDaniel Borges
Gabriel Knesowitsch44G. KnesowitschGabriel Knesowitsch
Lucas Oliveira2L. OliveiraLucas Oliveira
Willian Machado3W. MachadoWillian Machado
Victor Luis12V. LuisVictor Luis
Shaylon7ShaylonShaylon
Denilson8DenilsonDenilson
Chico Kim10C. KimChico Kim
Fernandinho17FernandinhoFernandinho
Andre Luis99A. LuisAndre Luis

LDU de Quito Substitutes

22A. DominguezG
30G. F. Allala MenendezD
3R. MinaD
26I. ZambranoM
77K. Velasco
31J. RodriguezM
99C. Luna TobarM
25P. Ortiz
32A. Gomez
10A. AlvaradoM
16DeyversonF
7R. RedesF

Mirassol Substitutes

23Alex MuralhaG
90ThomazellaG
34Joao VictorD
32Igor FormigaD
25Neto Moura
5JapaM
77AlessonF
30Bruno SantosF
96Carlos Eduardo

Match Stats

LDU de QuitoMirassol
63%Ball Possession37%
7Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots16
2Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal10
5Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box9
3Blocked Shots3
13Fouls9
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
484Total Passes270
398Passes Accurate214
82%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
MirassolMirassol
1640Elo Rating 1645
0.99Attack 1.30
2.02Defense 1.54
19%Hit Rate 23%
13.0Shots per Game 15.2
2.6Shots on Target 4.9
3.7Corners per Game 7.0
2.2Cards per Game 3.5

AI Insights

⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.1 in first half)
MirassolMirassol
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 3 historical meetings

LDU de Quito 28%Draw 39%33% Mirassol
2Avg Goals
39%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
3W1D1L
17/08/2026
AucasLDU de Quito
01
W
14/08/2026
MirassolLDU de Quito
11
D08/08/2026
LDU de QuitoIndependiente del Valle
02
L
04/08/2026
LDU de QuitoDelfin SC
21
W
30/07/2026
LDU de QuitoLeones del Norte
60
W
MirassolMirassol
0W2D3L
16/08/2026
MirassolFlamengo
15
L
14/08/2026
MirassolLDU de Quito
11
D09/08/2026
CruzeiroMirassol
31
L
06/08/2026
GremioMirassol
10
L
02/08/2026
MirassolGremio
11
D

Referee Profile

Yael Falcon Perez, Argentina · 8 matches analysed

3.9Avg Yellows
4.1Avg Cards
22.2Avg Fouls
Stricter than 18% of referees analysed

League Table

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito64028:5+312WWLLW
2MirassolMirassol64027:4+312LWWWL
3LanusLanus63033:7-49WLLWW
4Always ReadyAlways Ready61057:9-23LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito68:512
2MirassolMirassol67:412
3LanusLanus63:79
4Always ReadyAlways Ready67:93

Bracket

Round of 16
Quarter-finals

LDU de Quito vs Mirassol Prediction

As a knockout-stage CONMEBOL Libertadores fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONMEBOL Libertadores

ScorePredicts covers CONMEBOL Libertadores across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

LDU de Quito and Mirassol have met 3 times recently, averaging 2 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.