LDU de Quito vs Mirassol Prediction

LDU de Quito
0-0
After Penalties
HT 0-0PEN 5-4
Mirassol
Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito·Yael Falcon Perez, Argentina 21/08/2026
LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
0-0
After Penalties
MirassolMirassol

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.8 / 10
Value Analysis
53%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
2.12
SignalNEUTRALModel39%SurpriseHighGap+10.1%
LDU de Quito Rest
3 days
Mirassol Rest
4 days

LDU de Quito vs Mirassol: result, form and history

LDU de Quito beat Mirassol on penalties (5-4) after a 0-0 draw in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on 20 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: LDU de Quito had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Mirassol.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 3 matches. LDU de Quito tend to win more corners, 6.8 a game to 3.9 for Mirassol.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.57
X
28%3.77
2
27%6.35
Double Chance
1X
73%1.11
X2
55%2.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%2.10
No
55%1.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.02 = 2.44
Over 1.5
71%1.36
Over 2.5
38%2.12
Over 3.5
19%3.84
Under 1.5
29%3.00
Under 2.5
62%1.70
Under 3.5
81%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.3 = 8.6
Over 8.5
58%1.47
Over 9.5
45%1.82
Over 10.5
34%2.26
Under 8.5
42%2.41
Under 9.5
55%1.91
Under 10.5
66%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 3 = 4.8
Over 3.5
72%1.21
Over 4.5
51%1.42
Under 3.5
28%3.77
Under 4.5
49%2.50

Match Events

12'DenilsonFoul
44'Ricardo AdéFoul
45+3'ChicoFoul
46'R. Mina INJ. Rodriguez out
46'Chico Kim INNeto Moura out
52'J. Corozo INDeyverson out
59'André LuisFoul
70'S. Gonzalez Baquero INA. Alvarado out
77'Shaylon INAlesson out
81'J. W. Cuero Mercado ING. F. Allala Menendez out
87'Andre Luis INBruno Santos out
87'Fernandinho INCarlos Eduardo out
90+2'Denilson INJapa out

Lineups

LDU de Quito
4-3-3Coach: Gustavo Alvarez
Mirassol
5-4-1Coach: Guanaes Rafael
Avg rating7.14
Avg rating6.93
G. Valle8.51G. Valle
J. W. Cuero Mercado7.328J. W. Cuero Mercado
R. AdeC7.54R. Ade
L. Segovia7.744L. Segovia
J. Carabali7.267J. Carabali
F. Cornejo7.620F. Cornejo
J. Pretell7.28J. Pretell
S. Gonzalez Baquero6.35S. Gonzalez Baquero
J. Corozo6.513J. Corozo
M. Estrada6.911M. Estrada
R. Mina27R. Mina
Walter7.222Walter
Daniel Borges7.320D. Borges
Gabriel Knesowitsch7.244G. Knesowitsch
Lucas Oliveira6.92L. Oliveira
Willian Machado7.33W. Machado
Victor Luis6.212V. Luis
Shaylon6.97Shaylon
Denilson7.08Denilson
Chico KimC6.610C. Kim
Fernandinho6.617Fernandinho
Andre Luis6.099A. Luis

LDU de Quito Substitutes

22A. Dominguez
30G. F. Allala Menendez81'for J. W. Cuero Mercado7.5
3R. Mina46'replaced by J. Rodriguez
26I. Zambrano
77K. Velasco
31J. Rodriguez46'for R. Mina6.7
99C. Luna Tobar
25P. Ortiz
32A. Gomez
10A. Alvarado70'for S. Gonzalez Baquero6.9
16Deyverson52'for J. Corozo7.0
7R. Redes

Mirassol Substitutes

23Alex Muralha
90Thomazella
34Joao Victor
32Igor Formiga
25Neto Moura46'for Chico Kim
5Japa90+2'for Denilson
77Alesson77'for Shaylon7.5
30Bruno Santos87'for Andre Luis6.9
96Carlos Eduardo87'for Fernandinho

Match Stats

LDU de QuitoMirassol
63%Ball Possession37%
7Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots16
2Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal10
5Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box9
3Blocked Shots3
13Fouls9
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
484Total Passes270
398Passes Accurate214
82%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
MirassolMirassol
1664Elo Rating 1649
1.58Attack 0.76
1.50Defense 1.93
31%Hit Rate 19%
16.0Shots per Game 11.9
5.6Shots on Target 2.9
6.8Corners per Game 3.9
0.8Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 75% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
MirassolMirassol
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito1Wins · 34%
Draws133%
MirassolMirassol1Wins · 33%
2.0Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
0%3+ goals0 of 3

Previous meetings

CONMEBOL Libertadores14/08/2026
MirassolLDU de Quito
11
CONMEBOL Libertadores08/05/2026
MirassolLDU de Quito
20
CONMEBOL Libertadores15/04/2026
LDU de QuitoMirassol
20

Recent Form

LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
4W3D3L
17/08/2026
AucasLDU de Quito
01
W
14/08/2026
MirassolLDU de Quito
11
D
08/08/2026
LDU de QuitoIndependiente del Valle
02
L
04/08/2026
LDU de QuitoDelfin SC
21
W
30/07/2026
LDU de QuitoLeones del Norte
60
W
27/07/2026
Barcelona SCLDU de Quito
01
W
23/07/2026
Manta FCLDU de Quito
11
D
18/07/2026
LDU de QuitoLeones del Norte
01
L
16/07/2026
Universidad CatolicaLDU de Quito
10
L
12/07/2026
LDU de QuitoLibertad
00
D
MirassolMirassol
2W3D5L
16/08/2026
MirassolFlamengo
15
L
14/08/2026
MirassolLDU de Quito
11
D
09/08/2026
CruzeiroMirassol
31
L
06/08/2026
GremioMirassol
10
L
02/08/2026
MirassolGremio
11
D
30/07/2026
MirassolRemo
21
W
26/07/2026
Vasco DA GamaMirassol
11
D
18/07/2026
MirassolGremio
21
W
30/05/2026
Atletico ParanaenseMirassol
10
L
27/05/2026
LanusMirassol
10
L

Referee Profile

Yael Falcon Perez233 matches

5.47Cards per match
5.24Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
26.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Yael Falcon Perez5.47
Other referees5.09

5.47 cards a match, 0.38 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.09).

Cards come from 179 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals

League Table

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito64028:5+312WWLLW
2MirassolMirassol64027:4+312LWWWL
3LanusLanus63033:7-49WLLWW
4Always ReadyAlways Ready61057:9-23LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito68:512
2MirassolMirassol67:412
3LanusLanus63:79
4Always ReadyAlways Ready67:93

About the LDU de Quito vs Mirassol forecast

As a knockout tie in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

LDU de Quito and Mirassol in the CONMEBOL Libertadores table

In the CONMEBOL Libertadores table, LDU de Quito (1st) and Mirassol (2nd) are level on 12 points. League goal record so far: LDU de Quito 8-5, Mirassol 7-4. The full standings are on the CONMEBOL Libertadores Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.