Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin Prediction

Stadion Radomiaka Radom, Radom·Tomasz Kwiatkowski 12/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalHIGHModel42%SurpriseMediumGap-6.4%
Radomiak Radom Rest
10 days
Motor Lublin Rest
22 days

Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin: result, form and history

Motor Lublin beat Radomiak Radom 3-2 in the Ekstraklasa on 12 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 4 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.36
X
27%3.50
2
35%2.73
Double Chance
1X
65%1.40
X2
62%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.50
No
39%2.42
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 1.34 = 2.79
Over 1.5
79%1.18
Over 2.5
58%1.60
Over 3.5
35%2.51
Under 1.5
21%4.50
Under 2.5
42%2.17
Under 3.5
65%1.48
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.8 = 10.7
Over 8.5
67%1.62
Over 9.5
57%2.00
Over 10.5
48%2.52
Under 8.5
33%2.22
Under 9.5
43%1.74
Under 10.5
52%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%-
Over 4.5
38%-
Under 3.5
42%-
Under 4.5
62%-

Match Events

9'Christopher SimonFoul
18'Kamil LukoszekHandball
23'Bartosz BereszyńskiFoul
24'Filip KoperskiAssist: Jan Grzesik
33'Christos DonisFoul
38'Makan AikoFoul
45'Elves Baldé INLucas Lima Linhares out
53'Mbaye Jacques NdiayeAssist: Makan Aiko
61'Makan Aiko INFabio Ronaldo Costa Conceicao out
61'Bartosz Bereszyński INMarek Kristian Bartos out
61'Bi Irié Fernand Gouré INGuilherme Luiz out
62'Rafał Wolski INAbdoul Tapsoba out
70'Karol Czubak(Penalty)
73'Roberto Oliveira Alves INIbrahima Camará out
77'Rony Lopes INMateusz Legowski out
80'Steve KingueAssist: Ibrahima Camará
83'Ronaldo Lumungo INManu out
84'Lucas Lima LinharesTime wasting
86'Marek Kristian BartosFoul
87'Yacine Bourhane INPaskal Konrad Meyer out
90+2'Christopher Simon

Lineups

Radomiak Radom
4-2-3-1Coach: John Carver
Motor Lublin
4-1-4-1Coach: M. Misiura
Avg rating6.28
Avg rating6.63
F. Majchrowicz6.11F. Majchrowicz
K. Szcześniak6.33K. Szcześniak
S. Kingue7.314S. Kingue
F. Koperski6.972F. Koperski
J. Grzesik6.113J. Grzesik
R. Alves6.310R. Alves
C. Donis5.977C. Donis
Ronaldo Afonso5.990R. Afonso
R. Wolski6.227R. Wolski
Elves5.821Elves
F. Gouré6.411F. Gouré
G. Tratnik6.233G. Tratnik
K. Lukoszek6.417K. Lukoszek
B. Bereszyński6.218B. Bereszyński
T. Plavotić6.44T. Plavotić
F. Luberecki6.724F. Luberecki
Y. Bourhane6.627Y. Bourhane
M. Ndiaye8.230M. Ndiaye
Rony Lopes6.69R. Lopes
C. Simon8.28C. Simon
M. Aïko6.370M. Aïko
K. Czubak7.210K. Czubak

Radomiak Radom Substitutes

8I. Camará73'for Roberto Oliveira Alves6.6
18Manu83'for Ronaldo Lumungo6.3
26Adrián Diéguez
99B. Gradecki
23K. Karasek
82Luquinhas45'for Elves Baldé84'5.8
7C. Nunnely
80Guilherme Luiz61'for Bi Irié Fernand Gouré6.6
28Romário Baró
15A. Tapsoba62'for Rafał Wolski6.0
97Conrado

Motor Lublin Substitutes

5A. Akatov
39M. Bartoš61'for Bartosz Bereszyński86'6.5
90Dominik Gregorski
23F. Haxha
2Paskal Konrad Meyer87'for Yacine Bourhane6.1
71M. Popa
77Mateusz Posmyk
29T. Santos
47Alioune Tall
22M. Zlomanczuk
11Fábio Ronaldo61'for Makan Aiko5.9
6M. Łęgowski77'for Rony Lopes6.0

Match Stats

Radomiak RadomMotor Lublin
45%Ball Possession55%
3Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards5
6Total Shots22
2Shots on Goal11
1Shots off Goal7
4Shots Inside Box15
2Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots4
14Fouls16
0Offsides5
7Goalkeeper Saves0
362Total Passes426
290Passes Accurate370
14Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
1445Elo Rating 1512
1.36Attack 1.95
0.00Defense 1.33
0%Hit Rate 42%
14.4Shots per Game 22.2
3.9Shots on Target 7.8
6.8Corners per Game 6.3
1.4Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom0Wins · 0%
Draws250%
Motor LublinMotor Lublin2Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Ekstraklasa06/04/2026
Radomiak RadomMotor Lublin
11
Ekstraklasa29/09/2025
Motor LublinRadomiak Radom
22
Ekstraklasa24/05/2025
Radomiak RadomMotor Lublin
23
Ekstraklasa02/12/2024
Motor LublinRadomiak Radom
10

Recent Form

Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom
3W3D4L
02/10/2026
Radomiak RadomPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
72
W
20/09/2026
Lech PoznanRadomiak Radom
51
L
14/09/2026
Radomiak RadomPiast Gliwice
02
L
05/09/2026
Widzew ŁódźRadomiak Radom
00
D
01/09/2026
Korona Kielce IIRadomiak Radom
01
W
29/08/2026
Radomiak RadomCracovia Krakow
21
W
23/08/2026
Radomiak RadomZaglebie Lubin
00
D
14/08/2026
Legia WarszawaRadomiak Radom
50
L
09/08/2026
Radomiak RadomAEL
11
D
08/08/2026
Radomiak RadomGornik Zabrze
13
L

Referee Profile

Tomasz Kwiatkowski151 matches

4.33Cards per match
4.20Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Tomasz Kwiatkowski4.33
Other referees4.35

4.33 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.35).

Cards come from 117 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1191129:10+1928WWWWL
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1283121:11+1027DDWDW
3Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1173119:9+1024WWWWW
4Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1265123:11+1223LDWWD
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1263319:15+421WDLWW
6Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1262422:18+420WDWLW
7Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1254315:15019DWLLW
8GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1260622:17+518LLWWW
9Korona KielceKorona Kielce1253414:18-418WLLWL
10JagielloniaJagiellonia1150614:17-315WLLLL
11Wisla PlockWisla Plock1142510:16-614LWLWW
12Motor LublinMotor Lublin1234517:21-413DWWDL
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1233614:19-512LDWLL
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1218315:16-111DDLDD
15Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1223716:22-69WLLLL
16Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1222816:23-78LLLWD
17Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1222812:28-168LLLLL
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa12201016:28-126LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1129:1028
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1221:1127
3Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1119:924
4Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1223:1123
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1219:1521
6Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1222:1820
7Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1215:1519
8GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1222:1718
9Korona KielceKorona Kielce1214:1818
10JagielloniaJagiellonia1114:1715
11Wisla PlockWisla Plock1110:1614
12Motor LublinMotor Lublin1217:2113
13Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1214:1912
14Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1215:1611
15Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1216:229
16Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1216:238
17Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1212:288
18Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa1216:286
Relegation

About the Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Radomiak Radom and Motor Lublin in the Ekstraklasa table

In the Ekstraklasa table, Motor Lublin are 12th and Radomiak Radom 17th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Radomiak Radom 12-28, Motor Lublin 17-21. The full standings are on the Ekstraklasa Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.