Lillestrom vs Valerenga Prediction

Lillestrom
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Valerenga
R. Saggi 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.1 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.58
SignalHIGHModel66%RiskMediumGap+5.7%
Lillestrom Rest
6 days
Valerenga Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.95
X
24%3.90
2
32%3.38
Double Chance
1X
68%1.30
X2
56%1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.40
No
42%2.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.63 + 1.11 = 2.74
Over 1.5
79%1.11
Over 2.5
54%1.40
Over 3.5
33%2.04
Under 1.5
21%5.75
Under 2.5
46%2.75
Under 3.5
67%1.75
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.7 = 10.6
Over 8.5
68%1.15
Over 9.5
56%1.31
Over 10.5
44%1.55
Under 8.5
32%3.98
Under 9.5
44%3.20
Under 10.5
56%2.25
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.9 = 3.5
Over 3.5
47%-
Over 4.5
28%-
Under 3.5
53%-
Under 4.5
72%-

Match Events

25'Ruben GabrielsenAssist: Frederik Elkaer
29'Fredrik GulbrandsenFoul
41'Sebastian JarlFoul
58'Dennis Gjengaar INGabriel Rajkovic out
58'Ghayas Zahid INOdin Thiago Holm out
70'Håkon SjåtilFoul
70'Carl Lange INPetter Strand out
70'Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren INOle Christian Hammerfjell Saeter out
73'Daniel Bassi INWinston Robin Yaw Paintsil out
73'Fredrik Gulbrandsen INThomas Lehne Olsen out
80'Frederik ElkaerFoul
84'Mathias Grundetjern INHåvard Nielsen out
86'Eric Kitolano INFilip Ottosson out
90+4'Yildren Ibrahimaj INStian Kristiansen out
90+4'Gabriel RajkovicFoul
90+5'Ole Christian Hammerfjell SaeterFoul
90+6'Thomas Lehne Olsen

Lineups

Lillestrom
4-1-4-1Coach: H. Ødegaard
Valerenga
4-4-2Coach: J. Moesgaard
P. Dahlberg12P. DahlbergP. Dahlberg
L. Ranger2L. RangerL. Ranger
R. Gabrielsen28R. GabrielsenR. Gabrielsen
S. Foss5S. FossS. Foss
F. Elkær11F. ElkærF. Elkær
Y. Ibrahimaj29Y. IbrahimajY. Ibrahimaj
D. Bassi22D. BassiD. Bassi
G. Nyheim14G. NyheimG. Nyheim
E. Kitolano17E. KitolanoE. Kitolano
Vá20
F. Gulbrandsen8F. GulbrandsenF. Gulbrandsen
O. Hedvall1O. HedvallO. Hedvall
H. Sjåtil3H. SjåtilH. Sjåtil
A. Kiil Olsen4A. Kiil OlsenA. Kiil Olsen
S. Jarl55S. JarlS. Jarl
K. Finnsson2K. FinnssonK. Finnsson
M. Grundetjern17M. GrundetjernM. Grundetjern
M. Westergaard28M. WestergaardM. Westergaard
C. Lange10C. LangeC. Lange
L. Haren77L. HarenL. Haren
D. Gjengaar26D. GjengaarD. Gjengaar
G. Zahid11G. ZahidG. Zahid

Lillestrom Substitutes

1S. HagerupG
47S. KristiansenD
18K. KrygårdM
16H. MellandM
15G. NordhF
10T. Lehne OlsenF
3S. OttesenD
21F. OttossonM
26Y. PaintsilM

Valerenga Substitutes

7H. NielsenF
13S. LønningG
15O. HolmM
6V. HedenstadD
9G. RajkovicF
5K. TshiembeD
24P. StrandM
37I. NäsbergD
90O. SaeterF

Match Stats

LillestromValerenga
51%Ball Possession49%
6Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards4
4Total Shots17
1Shots on Goal3
1Shots off Goal10
3Shots Inside Box11
1Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots4
14Fouls14
3Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves0
395Total Passes381
309Passes Accurate294
13Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

LillestromLillestrom
ValerengaValerenga
1682Elo Rating 1550
1.89Attack 2.91
1.97Defense 0.19
69%Hit Rate 17%
8.1Shots per Game 16.0
2.5Shots on Target 5.0
4.7Corners per Game 6.3
1.7Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+132 Elo
📈BTTS Trend36% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

LillestromLillestrom
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
ValerengaValerenga
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Lillestrom 83%Draw 0%17% Valerenga
3.31Avg Goals
36%BTTS Rate
36%Over 2.5

Recent Form

LillestromLillestrom
3W1D1L
05/09/2026
BrannLillestrom
12
W
02/09/2026
Aurskog FinstadbruLillestrom
03
W
30/08/2026
LillestromFredrikstad
14
L
27/08/2026
LillestromEgnatia Rrogozhinë
1101
W
20/08/2026
Egnatia RrogozhinëLillestrom
00
D

Referee Profile

R. Saggi · 86 matches analysed

3.8Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
22.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 15% of referees analysed

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt20162252:17+3550WWWWW
2VikingViking20152351:20+3147WDWLW
3MoldeMolde20113643:30+1336WWWWL
4TromsoTromso20105537:27+1035LLDLW
5LillestromLillestrom20102828:26+232WWLDL
6RosenborgRosenborg2093836:29+730WWLWW
7FredrikstadFredrikstad2083924:31-727DLWWW
8BrannBrann20821037:31+626LLDWW
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2067723:26-325DDDLL
10Ham-KamHam-Kam2065927:41-1423LLDLD
11ValerengaValerenga20641033:42-922LDLDL
12KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo20641022:34-1222WLLDW
13SandefjordSandefjord20551018:27-920LDDWL
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK20541120:37-1719LWDLW
15AalesundAalesund2039831:45-1418LWLDD
16StartStart20441222:41-1916WLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2052:1750
2VikingViking2051:2047
3MoldeMolde2043:3036
4TromsoTromso2037:2735
5LillestromLillestrom2028:2632
6RosenborgRosenborg2036:2930
7FredrikstadFredrikstad2024:3127
8BrannBrann2037:3126
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2023:2625
10Ham-KamHam-Kam2027:4123
11ValerengaValerenga2033:4222
12KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2022:3422
13SandefjordSandefjord2018:2720
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2020:3719
15AalesundAalesund2031:4518
16StartStart2022:4116
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

Lillestrom vs Valerenga Prediction

This Eliteserien meeting between Lillestrom and Valerenga carries extra rivalry weight, and our AI model factors that context in alongside team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Eliteserien

ScorePredicts covers Norway football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Lillestrom have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Lillestrom and Valerenga have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.31 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.