Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad Prediction

Lillestrom
1-4
Finished
HT 1-2
Fredrikstad
Åråsen, Lillestrøm· Tore Hansen, Norway 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
86%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalSOLIDModel61%RiskHighGap+2.2%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.75
SignalGOODModel52%RiskHighGap+7.6%
Lillestrom Rest
3 days
Fredrikstad Rest
8 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.75
X
25%3.65
2
17%4.43
Double Chance
1X
83%1.20
X2
42%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.71
No
43%2.02
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.91 + 1.19 = 3.10
Over 1.5
82%1.22
Over 2.5
59%1.78
Over 3.5
32%2.85
Under 1.5
18%3.92
Under 2.5
41%2.00
Under 3.5
68%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 4.3 = 10.5
Over 8.5
74%1.28
Over 9.5
60%1.51
Over 10.5
54%1.79
Under 8.5
26%3.12
Under 9.5
40%2.42
Under 10.5
46%1.94
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 3.3 = 4.8
Over 3.5
68%-
Over 4.5
47%-
Under 3.5
32%-
Under 4.5
53%-

Match Events

8'S. OwusuAssist: S. Sorlokk
17'F. Elkaer
18'M. Nilsson(Penalty)
37'F. Gulbrandsen(Penalty)
46'F. Elkaer IND. Bassi out
54'B. Faraas
59'S. Leach INJ. Jezierski out
59'S. Laghzaoui ING. Wesseh out
59'D. Eid INF. Ghebreyohannes out
64'F. Gulbrandsen INT. Olsen out
65'B. FaraasAssist: H. Skogvold
67'S. Owusu INS. Rafn out
72'E. Kitolano INH. Woxen out
79'B. Faraas
83'I. Amundsen INU. Fredriksen out
86'H. Woxen

Lineups

Lillestrom
4-1-4-1Coach: Hans Odegaard
Fredrikstad
3-4-3Coach: Casper Rojkjaer
Pontus Dahlberg12P. DahlbergPontus Dahlberg
Sturla Ottesen3S. OttesenSturla Ottesen
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås4E. Bjørnsen GarnåsEspen Bjørnsen Garnås
Stian Kristiansen47S. KristiansenStian Kristiansen
Frederik Elkær11F. ElkærFrederik Elkær
Ylldren Ibrahimaj29Y. IbrahimajYlldren Ibrahimaj
Yaw Paintsil26Y. PaintsilYaw Paintsil
Henrik Melland16H. MellandHenrik Melland
Eric Kitolano17E. KitolanoEric Kitolano
Felix Vá20F. VáFelix Vá
Fredrik Gulbrandsen8F. GulbrandsenFredrik Gulbrandsen
Martin Borsheim77M. BorsheimMartin Borsheim
Isak Helstad Amundsen38I. Helstad AmundsenIsak Helstad Amundsen
Fredrik Holmé4F. HolméFredrik Holmé
Solomon Owusu28S. OwusuSolomon Owusu
Daniel Eid16D. EidDaniel Eid
Samuel Leach Holm6S. Leach HolmSamuel Leach Holm
Max Nilsson14M. NilssonMax Nilsson
Sondre Sørløkk13S. SørløkkSondre Sørløkk
Benjamin Faraas7B. FaraasBenjamin Faraas
Henrik Langaas Skogvold23H. Langaas SkogvoldHenrik Langaas Skogvold
Salim Laghzaoui9S. LaghzaouiSalim Laghzaoui

Lillestrom Substitutes

22Daniel BassiF
1Stephan HagerupG
2Lars RangerD
5Sander Moen FossD
6Harald WoxenM
15Gustav NordhF
25Seun AkanjiF
10Thomas Lehne OlsenF

Fredrikstad Substitutes

1Oystein OvretveitG
12Ulrik FredriksenD
5Simen RafnD
19Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-AlemD
24Leonard OwusuM
21Jakub JezierskiM
29Gabriel WessehM
18Bryan FiabemaF
10Johannes NúñezF

Match Stats

LillestromFredrikstad
53%Ball Possession47%
9Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots13
3Shots on Goal9
7Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box8
6Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots1
10Fouls8
5Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves2
489Total Passes448
393Passes Accurate357
80%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

LillestromLillestrom
FredrikstadFredrikstad
1658Elo Rating 1624
1.76Attack 2.34
1.70Defense 2.07
59%Hit Rate 58%
13.3Shots per Game 12.1
3.7Shots on Target 4.6
6.7Corners per Game 4.2
1.4Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.1 goals
📈BTTS Trend49% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk90%

Game State Tendencies

LillestromLillestrom
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
FredrikstadFredrikstad
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 4 historical meetings

Lillestrom 31%Draw 27%42% Fredrikstad
2.42Avg Goals
49%BTTS Rate
42%Over 2.5

Recent Form

LillestromLillestrom
1W2D2L
27/08/2026
LillestromEgnatia Rrogozhinë
1101
W
20/08/2026
Egnatia RrogozhinëLillestrom
00
D
15/08/2026
KFUM OsloLillestrom
11
D
09/08/2026
LillestromRosenborg
02
L
31/07/2026
Bodo/GlimtLillestrom
40
L

Referee Profile

Tore Hansen, Norway · 24 matches analysed

3.9Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
22.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 21% of referees analysed

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt20162252:17+3550WWWWW
2VikingViking20152351:20+3147WDWLW
3MoldeMolde20113643:30+1336WWWWL
4TromsoTromso20105537:27+1035LLDLW
5LillestromLillestrom20102828:26+232WWLDL
6RosenborgRosenborg2093836:29+730WWLWW
7FredrikstadFredrikstad2083924:31-727DLWWW
8BrannBrann20821037:31+626LLDWW
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2167824:29-525LDDDL
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo21741025:35-1025WWLLD
11Ham-KamHam-Kam2065927:41-1423LLDLD
12ValerengaValerenga20641033:42-922LDLDL
13SandefjordSandefjord20551018:27-920LDDWL
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK20541120:37-1719LWDLW
15AalesundAalesund2039831:45-1418LWLDD
16StartStart20441222:41-1916WLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2052:1750
2VikingViking2051:2047
3MoldeMolde2043:3036
4TromsoTromso2037:2735
5LillestromLillestrom2028:2632
6RosenborgRosenborg2036:2930
7FredrikstadFredrikstad2024:3127
8BrannBrann2037:3126
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2124:2925
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2125:3525
11Ham-KamHam-Kam2027:4123
12ValerengaValerenga2033:4222
13SandefjordSandefjord2018:2720
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2020:3719
15AalesundAalesund2031:4518
16StartStart2022:4116
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Eliteserien fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Eliteserien

ScorePredicts covers Norway football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Lillestrom have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Lillestrom and Fredrikstad have met 4 times recently, averaging 2.42 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.