Aalesund vs Valerenga Prediction

Aalesund
5-5
Finished
HT 4-2
Valerenga
Color Line Stadion, Aalesund· Mischa Kellerhals, Norway 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.55
SignalGOODModel48%RiskMediumGap+3.2%
Aalesund Rest
6 days
Valerenga Rest
8 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%2.65
X
23%3.78
2
29%2.34
Double Chance
1X
71%1.55
X2
52%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.35
No
42%2.89
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 1.25 = 2.83
Over 1.5
83%1.10
Over 2.5
58%1.39
Over 3.5
32%1.98
Under 1.5
17%5.88
Under 2.5
42%2.83
Under 3.5
68%1.80
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 5.1 = 10.7
Over 8.5
66%1.19
Over 9.5
53%1.36
Over 10.5
43%1.66
Under 8.5
34%3.80
Under 9.5
47%2.79
Under 10.5
57%2.10
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
45%-
Over 4.5
28%-
Under 3.5
55%-
Under 4.5
72%-

Match Events

3'M. Christensen(Penalty)
13'L. Haren(Penalty missed)
14'M. Grundetjern
16'M. ReedAssist: E. Osenbroch
29'E. Hagen
33'L. HarenAssist: M. Grundetjern
35'J. Orsahl
46'G. Rajkovic INM. Westergaard out
46'S. Jarl INH. Sjatil out
46'J. Orsahl INK. Nesso out
56'M. ChristensenAssist: U. Charles
60'M. Reed INK. Lonebu out
63'P. StrandAssist: M. Ofkir
70'M. GrundetjernAssist: M. Ofkir
73'I. Nasberg INK. Tshiembe out
74'U. Charles INM. Andresen out
74'O. Gudmundsson INP. Aukland out
74'L. Haren INO. Saeter out
76'K. Tshiembe
85'C. LangeAssist: K. Finnsson
85'P. Strand ING. Zahid out

Lineups

Aalesund
5-3-2Coach: Kjetil-Andre Rekdal
Valerenga
4-4-2Coach: Johannes Moesgaard
Luca Podlech1L. PodlechLuca Podlech
Uba Charles14U. CharlesUba Charles
Simen Haram4S. HaramSimen Haram
Emil Engqvist22E. EngqvistEmil Engqvist
Ólafur Guðmundsson3Ó. GuðmundssonÓlafur Guðmundsson
Jakob Nyland Örsahl16J. Nyland ÖrsahlJakob Nyland Örsahl
Mathias Christensen21M. ChristensenMathias Christensen
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen18E. Kristoffersen HagenElias Kristoffersen Hagen
Hakon Butli Hammer6H. Butli HammerHakon Butli Hammer
Marcus Haagensen Reed27M. Haagensen ReedMarcus Haagensen Reed
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch15E. Hjertager OsenbrochEndre Hjertager Osenbroch
Oscar Hedvall1O. HedvallOscar Hedvall
Sebastian Jarl55S. JarlSebastian Jarl
Aaron Kiil Olsen4A. Kiil OlsenAaron Kiil Olsen
Ivan Näsberg37I. NäsbergIvan Näsberg
Kolbeinn Finnsson2K. FinnssonKolbeinn Finnsson
Mohamed Ofkir7M. OfkirMohamed Ofkir
Petter Strand24P. StrandPetter Strand
Carl Lange10C. LangeCarl Lange
Lucas Haren77L. HarenLucas Haren
Mathias Grundetjern17M. GrundetjernMathias Grundetjern
Gabriel Rajkovic9G. RajkovicGabriel Rajkovic

Aalesund Substitutes

26Tor Erik LarsenG
7Kristoffer NessøM
2Marius AndresenD
45Philip Sandvik AuklandD
38Tobias LeikangerM
10Mathias KristensenM
39Kristian LonebuF
20Ivan DjantouF
17Elias Heggland MyrlidF

Valerenga Substitutes

13Sander Åke Andreas LønningG
6Vegar Eggen HedenstadD
3Hakon SjatilD
5Kevin TshiembeD
15Odin Thiago HolmM
28Magnus WestergaardM
11Ghayas ZahidM
49Abdoulie JattaD
90Ole Christian SaeterF

Match Stats

AalesundValerenga
31%Ball Possession69%
9Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards1
22Total Shots21
8Shots on Goal9
8Shots off Goal6
12Shots Inside Box16
10Shots Outside Box5
6Blocked Shots6
11Fouls10
1Offsides3
5Goalkeeper Saves2
279Total Passes624
190Passes Accurate529
68%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

AalesundAalesund
ValerengaValerenga
1572Elo Rating 1550
3.78Attack 2.91
1.37Defense 0.19
39%Hit Rate 17%
17.6Shots per Game 16.0
6.3Shots on Target 5.0
5.2Corners per Game 6.3
3.1Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend66% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AalesundAalesund
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2.3 vs 1.5 in second half)
ValerengaValerenga
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Aalesund 0%Draw 0%100% Valerenga
4.23Avg Goals
66%BTTS Rate
66%Over 2.5

Recent Form

AalesundAalesund
0W3D2L
09/08/2026
Ham-KamAalesund
11
D
02/08/2026
AalesundTromso
26
L
26/07/2026
AalesundViking
11
D
16/07/2026
ValerengaAalesund
61
L
11/07/2026
AalesundMolde
22
D
ValerengaValerenga
2W0D3L

Referee Profile

Mischa Kellerhals, Norway · 4 matches analysed

3.4Avg Yellows
3.6Avg Cards
23.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 6% of referees analysed

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt20162252:17+3550WWWWW
2VikingViking20152351:20+3147WDWLW
3MoldeMolde20113643:30+1336WWWWL
4TromsoTromso20105537:27+1035LLDLW
5LillestromLillestrom20102828:26+232WWLDL
6RosenborgRosenborg2093836:29+730WWLWW
7FredrikstadFredrikstad2083924:31-727DLWWW
8BrannBrann20821037:31+626LLDWW
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2067723:26-325DDDLL
10Ham-KamHam-Kam2065927:41-1423LLDLD
11ValerengaValerenga20641033:42-922LDLDL
12KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo20641022:34-1222WLLDW
13SandefjordSandefjord20551018:27-920LDDWL
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK20541120:37-1719LWDLW
15AalesundAalesund2039831:45-1418LWLDD
16StartStart20441222:41-1916WLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2052:1750
2VikingViking2051:2047
3MoldeMolde2043:3036
4TromsoTromso2037:2735
5LillestromLillestrom2028:2632
6RosenborgRosenborg2036:2930
7FredrikstadFredrikstad2024:3127
8BrannBrann2037:3126
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2023:2625
10Ham-KamHam-Kam2027:4123
11ValerengaValerenga2033:4222
12KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2022:3422
13SandefjordSandefjord2018:2720
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2020:3719
15AalesundAalesund2031:4518
16StartStart2022:4116
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

Aalesund vs Valerenga Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Eliteserien fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Eliteserien

ScorePredicts covers Norway football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Aalesund have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Aalesund and Valerenga have met 5 times recently, averaging 4.23 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.