Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga Prediction

Sarpsborg 08 FF
2-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Valerenga
Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg·M. Grotta 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.31
SignalGOODModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-3.3%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.59
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+7.0%
Sarpsborg 08 FF Rest
7 days
Valerenga Rest
7 days

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga: result, form and history

Sarpsborg 08 FF and Valerenga drew 2-2 in the Eliteserien on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 9 previous meetings averaged 3.7 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them. Sarpsborg 08 FF tend to win more corners, 11.8 a game to 6.5 for Valerenga.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.95
X
23%3.90
2
28%3.34
Double Chance
1X
72%1.31
X2
51%1.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.38
No
41%2.84
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.62 + 1.25 = 2.87
Over 1.5
83%1.11
Over 2.5
60%1.40
Over 3.5
35%2.00
Under 1.5
17%6.05
Under 2.5
40%2.87
Under 3.5
65%1.79
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.8 = 10.6
Over 8.5
66%1.19
Over 9.5
54%1.36
Over 10.5
48%1.59
Under 8.5
34%3.90
Under 9.5
46%2.81
Under 10.5
52%2.17
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2 = 3.5
Over 3.5
47%-
Over 4.5
28%-
Under 3.5
53%-
Under 4.5
72%-

Match Events

28'Claus Babo NiyukuriAssist: Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
63'Michael Opoku INSondre Sorlie out
64'Ghayas Zahid INPetter Strand out
69'Claus Babo Niyukuri INPeter Reinhardsen out
70'Dennis Gjengaar INOle Christian Hammerfjell Saeter out
70'Victor Emanuel Halvorsen INAndreas Hansen out
70'Odin Thiago Holm INGabriel Rajkovic out
80'Sondre Sorlie
80'Magnus WestergaardFoul
83'Petter StrandAssist: Ole Christian Hammerfjell Saeter
88'Carl Lange INKevin Ngoyi Tshiembe out
89'Olaus Jair Skarsem INEirik Wichne out
90+2'Gabriel RajkovicAssist: Aaron Kiil Olsen
90+4'Peter ReinhardsenFoul

Lineups

Sarpsborg 08 FF
4-4-2Coach: E. Sel
Valerenga
4-4-2Coach: J. Moesgaard
Avg rating6.80
Avg rating6.68
L. Øy6.587L. Øy
C. Niyukuri7.312C. Niyukuri
B. Utvik7.54B. Utvik
M. Lode7.02M. Lode
A. Hiim6.121A. Hiim
V. Halvorsen7.622V. Halvorsen
S. Christiansen6.78S. Christiansen
A. Sher7.26A. Sher
O. Skarsem6.677O. Skarsem
D. Karlsbakk6.511D. Karlsbakk
M. Opoku6.615M. Opoku
O. Hedvall7.71O. Hedvall
H. Sjåtil6.43H. Sjåtil
A. Kiil Olsen7.14A. Kiil Olsen
S. Jarl6.655S. Jarl
K. Finnsson6.52K. Finnsson
O. Holm6.315O. Holm
M. Westergaard6.228M. Westergaard
C. Lange6.310C. Lange
L. Haren6.577L. Haren
D. Gjengaar6.426D. Gjengaar
G. Zahid6.311G. Zahid

Sarpsborg 08 FF Substitutes

7Camil Mmaee Nwameben
18Bop Gueye
5L. Høyland
1J. Pryts
33A. Nibe70'for Victor Emanuel Halvorsen6.3
20P. Reinhardsen69'for Claus Babo Niyukuri90+4'6.3
10S. Sørli63'for Michael Opoku80'7.5
32E. Wichne89'for Olaus Jair Skarsem6.4
17N. Williams

Valerenga Substitutes

5K. Tshiembe88'for Carl Lange6.1
24P. Strand64'for Ghayas Zahid83'6.9
90O. Sæter70'for Dennis Gjengaar6.8
9G. Rajkovic70'for Odin Thiago Holm90+2'8.1
37I. Näsberg
13S. Lønning
6V. Hedenstad
49Abdoulie Jatta

Match Stats

Sarpsborg 08 FFValerenga
40%Ball Possession60%
7Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots12
8Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal5
16Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots2
9Fouls14
0Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves6
417Total Passes614
340Passes Accurate532
82%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
ValerengaValerenga
1612Elo Rating 1601
2.21Attack 1.66
1.32Defense 1.52
81%Hit Rate 42%
22.9Shots per Game 18.0
6.2Shots on Target 6.3
11.8Corners per Game 6.5
2.0Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ValerengaValerenga
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF3Wins · 33%
Draws222%
ValerengaValerenga4Wins · 45%
3.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored6 of 9
67%3+ goals6 of 9

Previous meetings

Eliteserien16/05/2026
ValerengaSarpsborg 08 FF
32
Eliteserien17/08/2025
ValerengaSarpsborg 08 FF
40
Eliteserien06/04/2025
Sarpsborg 08 FFValerenga
11
Eliteserien05/11/2023
Sarpsborg 08 FFValerenga
32
Eliteserien16/04/2023
ValerengaSarpsborg 08 FF
02
Eliteserien29/10/2022
ValerengaSarpsborg 08 FF
33
Eliteserien17/07/2022
Sarpsborg 08 FFValerenga
01
Eliteserien28/10/2021
Sarpsborg 08 FFValerenga
21
Eliteserien01/07/2021
ValerengaSarpsborg 08 FF
41

Recent Form

ValerengaValerenga
4W1D5L
30/08/2026
ValerengaMolde
34
L
23/08/2026
Christiania BKValerenga
27
W
16/08/2026
AalesundValerenga
55
D
08/08/2026
ValerengaBodo/Glimt
12
L
31/07/2026
ValerengaHam-Kam
03
L
26/07/2026
BrannValerenga
23
W
16/07/2026
ValerengaAalesund
61
W
11/07/2026
TromsoValerenga
40
L
04/07/2026
ValerengaFredrikstad
31
W
27/06/2026
ValerengaGais
12
L

Referee Profile

M. Grotta118 matches

3.49Cards per match
3.40Yellow cards per match
0.09Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. Grotta3.49
Other referees3.29

3.49 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.29).

Cards come from 97 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking25192464:26+3859LWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt25192461:23+3859WLWWL
3MoldeMolde25134859:39+2043LWWDL
4RosenborgRosenborg25134849:31+1843WWWDW
5LillestromLillestrom25133936:33+342WWWDL
6TromsoTromso24117643:34+940LDDWL
7BrannBrann251021345:42+332WLLLW
8Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF25871032:39-731LWLWL
9KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo25871032:41-931DDDWW
10ValerengaValerenga24851139:46-729WWLDL
11FredrikstadFredrikstad25851229:44-1529LLLDD
12SandefjordSandefjord25761226:34-827WLLDW
13Ham-KamHam-Kam25761235:53-1827DLLWL
14AalesundAalesund25591143:57-1424LLWLW
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK25651429:51-2223WDLLL
16StartStart25541626:55-2919LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2564:2659
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2561:2359
3MoldeMolde2559:3943
4RosenborgRosenborg2549:3143
5LillestromLillestrom2536:3342
6TromsoTromso2443:3440
7BrannBrann2545:4232
8Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2532:3931
9KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2532:4131
10ValerengaValerenga2439:4629
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2529:4429
12SandefjordSandefjord2526:3427
13Ham-KamHam-Kam2535:5327
14AalesundAalesund2543:5724
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2529:5123
16StartStart2526:5519
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sarpsborg 08 FF and Valerenga in the Eliteserien table

Sarpsborg 08 FF and Valerenga are close in the Eliteserien table, 8th and 10th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Sarpsborg 08 FF 32-39, Valerenga 39-46. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sarpsborg 08 FF have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.