Spain · Round of 128
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.16
SignalSTRONGModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-3.2%
Llanera Rest
3 days
Ponferradina Rest
3 days
Llanera vs Ponferradina: result, form and history
Ponferradina beat Llanera on penalties (5-3) after a 1-1 draw in the Copa del Rey on 27 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
116%4.83
X24%3.88
260%1.65
Double Chance
1X40%2.20
X284%1.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.70
No50%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.81 + 1.73 = 2.54
Over 1.573%1.21
Over 2.553%1.69
Over 3.533%2.62
Under 1.527%4.03
Under 2.547%2.09
Under 3.567%1.40
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
14'U. Sabroso
39'S. Faye
42'D. Collado
42'C. Calderon
46'O. Vacas INF. San Emeterio out
54'N. Tounkara
55'L. Ayad INM. Mvondo out
55'A. El Battioui INA. Turmo out
61'D. Andujar
67'U. Sabroso INP. Munoz out
67'C. Calderon INQ. Bari out
73'D. Collado IND. Gonzalez out
74'P. Otia INA. Aleman out
77'J. Chibozo INJ. de Leon out
77'Y. Yakubu INP. Calvo out
82'P. Calvo
84'M. Busto
Extra Time0 - 0
95'N. Tounkara INB. Valle out
110'S. Faye INSlavy out
112'E. Billa ING. Vaamonde out
Penalty Shootout3 - 5
1P. Munoz(Penalty)
1P. Calvo(Penalty)
2J. L. Aranda(Penalty)
2M. Mvondo(Penalty missed)
3D. Andujar(Penalty)
3M. Busto(Penalty)
4Slavy(Penalty)
4A. Turmo(Penalty)
5B. Valle(Penalty)
Lineups
LlaneraPonferradina
4-2-3-11313P. Pellitero
3M. Busto
6M. Oladipupo
14V. González
4P. Elan Otia
15D. Mendy
19A. El Battioui
17D. Collado
7L. Ayad2424E. Njie
1818Y. Yakubu
25A. Abedzadeh
24K. Iglesias
2D. Andújar
14J. Luis Aranda
3S. Nieto
16N. Tounkara
12U. Sabroso
7C. Calderón
17A. Chibozo
21S. Faye
15Ó. VacasLlanera Substitutes
22Mathieu Mvondo
10Adrián Turmo55'replaced by A. El Battioui
8Daniel González
20Alexander Alemán Bautista
9Longo77'replaced by Y. Yakubu82'
16Guillermo Vaamonde
1Javi Benitez
21Miguel Berlanga
29Pablo dos Santos
11Daniel Corgo
30David Azor Fondon
23César García
Ponferradina Substitutes
6Fede San Emeterio46'for O. Vacas
11Quicala Bari67'replaced by C. Calderon
19Pablo Muñoz67'for U. Sabroso
18José De León77'for J. Chibozo
10Borja Valle95'for N. Tounkara
9Slavy110'for S. Faye
13Alvin Abajas
22Emiliano Hernández
20Lucas Macazaga
4Aymane Jelbat
23Aleix Roig
5Eneko Undabarrena
Team Comparison
LlaneraPonferradina1431Elo Rating 1553
1.73Attack 0.54
0.58Defense 2.24
34%Hit Rate 17%
Game State Tendencies
Llanera- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.5 in first half)
Ponferradina- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Recent Form
Llanera3W2D5L
24/10/2026Llanera
Compostela
LlaneraCompostela13
L18/10/2026
ArosaLlanera
ArosaLlanera41
L10/10/2026Llanera
Marino de Luanco
03/10/2026LlaneraMarino de Luanco42
W
BasconiaLlanera11
D27/09/2026Llanera
Racing Santander II
LlaneraRacing Santander II21
W20/09/2026
GernikaLlanera
GernikaLlanera40
L13/09/2026Llanera
Deportivo Alavés II
LlaneraDeportivo Alavés II12
L05/09/2026
Gimnástica TorrelavegaLlanera
Gimnástica TorrelavegaLlanera21
L18/08/2026
Sporting Gijón IILlanera
Sporting Gijón IILlanera22
D14/08/2026
Avilés StadiumLlanera
Avilés StadiumLlanera01
WPonferradina3W5D2L
24/10/2026Ponferradina
Barakaldo
ZamoraPonferradinaPonferradina
Real Avilés
PontevedraPonferradina
PonferradinaBarakaldo00
D17/10/2026ZamoraPonferradina11
D11/10/2026PonferradinaReal Avilés02
L04/10/2026Ponferradina
Mirandes
27/09/2026PonferradinaMirandes10
WPontevedraPonferradina11
D19/09/2026Ponferradina
Mérida AD
PonferradinaMérida AD10
W13/09/2026
Deportivo La Coruña IIPonferradina
Deportivo La Coruña IIPonferradina21
L04/09/2026Ponferradina
Lugo
PonferradinaLugo00
D29/08/2026
UD OurensePonferradina
UD OurensePonferradina01
W19/08/2026Ponferradina
Real Madrid II
PonferradinaReal Madrid II22
DBracket
Round of 256
Round of 128
Cuarte
Girona
Calamocha
Europa Fc
Elche
Sestao River
Espanyol
Castellonense
AlmeriaLlaneraPonferradina
RSD Alcalá
Las Palmas
Gimnástica Segoviana
Cultural Leonesa
Atlético TordesillasMirandes
Ciudad de Lucena
Rayo Majadahonda
Manresa
Sant Andreu
Don Benito
Extremadura 1924
Atlético Paso
Cordoba
Manacor
Villarreal
Recreativo Huelva
Rayo Vallecano
Tudelano
Zaragoza
MalagaArosaPontevedra
Utebo
Sabadell
Tarancón
Levante
Portugalete
Real Unión
Poblense
AD Ceuta FC
Peña Sport
Huesca
Pamplona
Eibar
CoruxoZamora
Alaves
Trival Valderas
Leganes
Calvo Sotelo
Albacete
Numancia
Oviedo
Mijas Las Lagunas
Real Jaén
Covadonga
Valladolid
Badajoz
Tenerife
Amorebieta
UD Logroñés
Alcoyano
MallorcaGimnástica TorrelavegaUD Ourense
ReddisBarakaldo
Deportiva Minera
FC Cartagena
Cieza
Granada CF
Xerez
Cadiz
Valencia
Salamanca UDS
Celta Vigo
Navalcarnero
Real Betis
SS Reyes
CD Coria
Getafe
Atlético Baleares
Eldense
Osasuna
Varea
FC Andorra
Real Ávila
Unionistas de Salamanca
Laredo
Burgos
Guijuelo
Sporting Gijon
Conquense
Castellón
Antequera
Águilas
Athletic Club
Sevilla
Racing Santander
Deportivo La CorunaCuarte0Girona2
Pinatar1Elche3Atlético Tordesillas32Mirandes34Manacor0Villarreal5
Tarancón-Levante-
Anaitasuna-Alaves-Alcoyano-Mallorca-
Tavernes-Valencia-Navalcarnero-Real Betis-SS Reyes-CD Coria-
Lebrijana-Getafe-Atlético Baleares-Eldense-
Atletico Calatayud-Osasuna-Varea-FC Andorra-Real Ávila-Unionistas de Salamanca-Laredo-Burgos-Guijuelo-Sporting Gijon-Conquense-Castellón-Antequera-Águilas-
Prat-Athletic Club-
Hortaleza-Sevilla-
Ribadesella CF-Racing Santander-
Auriense-Deportivo La Coruna-Cuarte0Girona2Pinatar1Elche3Atlético Tordesillas32Mirandes34Manacor0Villarreal5Tarancón-Levante-Anaitasuna-Alaves-Alcoyano-Mallorca-Tavernes-Valencia-Navalcarnero-Real Betis-SS Reyes-CD Coria-Lebrijana-Getafe-Atlético Baleares-Eldense-Atletico Calatayud-Osasuna-Varea-FC Andorra-Real Ávila-Unionistas de Salamanca-Laredo-Burgos-Guijuelo-Sporting Gijon-Conquense-Castellón-Antequera-Águilas-Prat-Athletic Club-Hortaleza-Sevilla-Ribadesella CF-Racing Santander-Auriense-Deportivo La Coruna-Explore more predictions
This match
More Copa del Rey matches
About the Llanera vs Ponferradina forecast
As a knockout tie in the Copa del Rey, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Copa del Rey
More Copa del Rey fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa del Rey Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Llanera and Ponferradina have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.