Sestao River vs Espanyol Prediction
Spain · Round of 128CupKnockout
Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao 27/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.46
SignalSOLIDModel69%SurpriseHighGap-2.1%
Sestao River Rest
3 days
Espanyol Rest
3 days
Sestao River vs Espanyol: the result in context
Sestao River beat Espanyol 4-3 after extra time in the Copa del Rey on 27 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Sestao River had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Espanyol.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
114%6.26
X22%4.21
264%1.46
Double Chance
1X36%2.58
X286%1.09
Both Teams to Score
Yes47%1.83
No53%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.74 + 1.83 = 2.57
Over 1.572%1.22
Over 2.552%1.72
Over 3.532%2.66
Under 1.528%3.74
Under 2.548%2.05
Under 3.568%1.40
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
6'M. Fernandez Sanchez(Penalty)
8'J. Hernandez
17'T. Dolan
18'A. CarrionAssist: E. Delgado
30'J. Castaneda
40'Andoni UgarteAssist: E. Delgado
42'E. Delgado INPau Chicharito out
46'A. Calatrava INR. Fernandez out
58'A. Arzak INA. Castillo Marcilla out
58'A. Carrion ING. Argente out
64'J. Hernandez INR. Bauza out
64'U. Gonzalez INGabriel Moscardo out
64'T. Dolan INB. Zaragoza out
73'A. Bengoetxea ING. Zorrilla out
73'J. Castaneda INM. Zearreta out
75'P. Lozano INExposito out
78'Exposito
89'M. Zearreta
90'R. Fernandez(Penalty)
Extra Time2 - 1
96'Gabriel MoscardoAssist: B. Zaragoza
98'A. B. LakaAssist: Pau Chicharito
110'O. El Hilali
117'R. Hinojo INQ. Hartman out
120+1'J. Rojo
Lineups
Sestao RiverEspanyol
4-2-3-1Avg ratingAvg rating
1A. Iru
C22M. Etxeberria
4A. Efremov
5A. Ugarte
3J. Rojo2121A. Arzak
16J. Castañeda
6E. Delgado Ginés
20A. Carrión
17A. Bengoetxea Uriarte
8A. Laka
13M. Dmitrović
23O. El Hilali
5C. Riedel
C6L. Cabrera
21R. Hinojo
4U. González
10P. Lozano
22Á. Calatrava
28J. Hernández
24T. Dolan
18M. FernándezSestao River Substitutes
10Pau Miguélez42'for E. Delgado
15Gaizka Argente58'for A. Carrion
9Ander Castillo58'replaced by A. Arzak
13Ibon Urrosolo
26Pablo Nistal
18Carlos Gonzalez
11Gonzalo Zorrilla73'for A. Bengoetxea
12Adama issa Boiro Balde
24Mikel Zearreta Calvo
2Markel Peral
23Iñaki Saenz
27Oier Maroto
Espanyol Substitutes
9Roberto Fernández46'for A. Calatrava90'
26Rafael Bauzà64'for J. Hernandez
20Gabriel Moscardo64'for U. Gonzalez96'
15Bryan Zaragoza64'for T. Dolan
31Llorenç Serred
1Ángel Fortuño
32José Ángel López
3Quilindschy Hartman117'for R. Hinojo
16Vanja Drkušić
7Javi Puado
8Edu Expósito75'for P. Lozano78'
Match Stats
Sestao RiverEspanyol 38%Ball Possession62%
4Corner Kicks10
2Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots13
6Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal6
6Shots Inside Box11
5Shots Outside Box2
0Blocked Shots3
19Fouls24
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
187Total Passes343
93Passes Accurate235
52%Pass Accuracy70%
Team Comparison
Sestao RiverEspanyol1606Elo Rating 1677
1.36Attack 0.77
2.66Defense 1.26
83%Hit Rate 0%
-Shots per Game 13.5
-Shots on Target 2.9
-Corners per Game 3.6
-Cards per Game 3.1
AI Insights
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%
Game State Tendencies
Sestao River- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
Espanyol- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Recent Form
Sestao River8W1D1L
24/10/2026Sestao River
Arosa
18/10/2026Sestao RiverArosa10
W
Marino de LuancoSestao River01
W14/10/2026Sestao River
Salamanca UDS31
W10/10/2026Sestao River
Gimnástica Torrelavega
Sestao RiverGimnástica Torrelavega00
D04/10/2026
GernikaSestao River
GernikaSestao River12
W30/09/2026Sestao River
Terrassa
Sestao RiverTerrassa41
W26/09/2026Sestao River
Atlético Astorga
Sestao RiverAtlético Astorga20
W20/09/2026
CompostelaSestao River
CompostelaSestao River20
L16/09/2026
ComillasSestao River
ComillasSestao River12
W13/09/2026Sestao River
Real Oviedo II
Sestao RiverReal Oviedo II20
WEspanyol2W2D6L
24/10/2026
Racing SantanderEspanyolEspanyol
Atletico Madrid
MalagaEspanyolEspanyol
Elche
Rayo VallecanoEspanyol
OsasunaEspanyolEspanyol
Sevilla
Real SociedadEspanyolEspanyol
Real MadridEspanyol
Levante
Racing SantanderEspanyol21
L17/10/2026EspanyolAtletico Madrid01
L09/10/2026MalagaEspanyol11
D18/09/2026EspanyolElche13
L15/09/2026Rayo VallecanoEspanyol21
L12/09/2026OsasunaEspanyol02
W06/09/2026EspanyolSevilla11
D29/08/2026Real SociedadEspanyol21
L22/08/2026EspanyolReal Madrid12
L16/08/2026EspanyolLevante30
WBracket
Round of 256
Round of 128
Cuarte
Girona
Calamocha
Europa FcElcheSestao RiverEspanyol
Castellonense
Almeria
Llanera
Ponferradina
RSD Alcalá
Las Palmas
Gimnástica Segoviana
Cultural Leonesa
Atlético Tordesillas
Mirandes
Ciudad de Lucena
Rayo Majadahonda
Manresa
Sant Andreu
Don Benito
Extremadura 1924
Atlético Paso
Cordoba
Manacor
Villarreal
Recreativo HuelvaRayo Vallecano
Tudelano
ZaragozaMalagaArosa
Pontevedra
Utebo
Sabadell
TarancónLevante
Portugalete
Real Unión
Poblense
AD Ceuta FC
Peña Sport
Huesca
Pamplona
Eibar
Coruxo
Zamora
Alaves
Trival Valderas
Leganes
Calvo Sotelo
Albacete
Numancia
Oviedo
Mijas Las Lagunas
Real Jaén
Covadonga
Valladolid
Badajoz
Tenerife
Amorebieta
UD Logroñés
Alcoyano
MallorcaGimnástica Torrelavega
UD Ourense
Reddis
Barakaldo
Deportiva Minera
FC Cartagena
Cieza
Granada CF
Xerez
Cadiz
ValenciaSalamanca UDS
Celta Vigo
Navalcarnero
Real Betis
SS Reyes
CD Coria
Getafe
Atlético Baleares
EldenseOsasuna
Varea
FC Andorra
Real Ávila
Unionistas de Salamanca
Laredo
Burgos
Guijuelo
Sporting Gijon
Conquense
Castellón
Antequera
Águilas
Athletic ClubSevillaRacing Santander
Deportivo La CorunaCuarte0Girona2
Pinatar1Elche3Atlético Tordesillas32Mirandes34Manacor0Villarreal5
Tarancón-Levante-Pamplona-Eibar-
Anaitasuna-Alaves-Trival Valderas-Leganes-
Tavernes-Valencia-Navalcarnero-Real Betis-SS Reyes-CD Coria-
Lebrijana-Getafe-Atlético Baleares-Eldense-
Atletico Calatayud-Osasuna-Varea-FC Andorra-Real Ávila-Unionistas de Salamanca-Laredo-Burgos-Guijuelo-Sporting Gijon-Conquense-Castellón-Antequera-Águilas-
Prat-Athletic Club-
Hortaleza-Sevilla-
Ribadesella CF-Racing Santander-
Auriense-Deportivo La Coruna-Cuarte0Girona2Pinatar1Elche3Atlético Tordesillas32Mirandes34Manacor0Villarreal5Tarancón-Levante-Pamplona-Eibar-Anaitasuna-Alaves-Trival Valderas-Leganes-Tavernes-Valencia-Navalcarnero-Real Betis-SS Reyes-CD Coria-Lebrijana-Getafe-Atlético Baleares-Eldense-Atletico Calatayud-Osasuna-Varea-FC Andorra-Real Ávila-Unionistas de Salamanca-Laredo-Burgos-Guijuelo-Sporting Gijon-Conquense-Castellón-Antequera-Águilas-Prat-Athletic Club-Hortaleza-Sevilla-Ribadesella CF-Racing Santander-Auriense-Deportivo La Coruna-Explore more predictions
This match
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About the Sestao River vs Espanyol forecast
As a knockout tie in the Copa del Rey, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Copa del Rey
More Copa del Rey fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa del Rey Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Sestao River and Espanyol have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.