Luton vs Leicester Prediction
England · Regular Season - 13
Luton vs Leicester: what the numbers say
This is a meeting of two teams in form, with 4 wins from five for Luton and 3 for Leicester. They meet in the League One on 24 Oct 2026.
Match Forecasts
Team Comparison
Luton
LeicesterAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Luton- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Leicester- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 1 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Recent Form
LutonLuton
Barnsley
Milton Keynes DonsLuton
WycombeLuton
ColchesterLutonLuton
Ipswich Town U21Luton
Bradford
StevenageLutonLuton
Leyton OrientLuton
Stockport County
Mansfield TownLutonLeicester
BromleyLeicesterLeicester
DoncasterLeicester
PeterboroughStevenageLeicesterLeicester
Fulham U21BarnsleyLeicesterStockport CountyLeicesterLeicester
Oxford UnitedLeicester
PlymouthMilton Keynes DonsLeicesterLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockport County | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23:11 | +12 | 22 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Huddersfield | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22:10 | +12 | 22 | WWDWL |
| 3 | Bradford | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 10:5 | +5 | 21 | DWDDW |
| 4 |  Cambridge United | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 18:14 | +4 | 20 | DWWDD |
| 5 | Plymouth | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | +1 | 19 | LLWWL |
| 6 |  Reading | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23:12 | +11 | 18 | WLWDD |
| 7 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 18 | LWDDD |
| 8 | Oxford United | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:10 | +8 | 18 | WDWDW |
| 9 | Stevenage | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | +5 | 15 | WLWLW |
| 10 | Leicester | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:15 | +1 | 15 | WWLDW |
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:15 | +1 | 15 | WDWDD |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:12 | +3 | 14 | LWDLW |
| 13 | Luton | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:18 | +1 | 14 | WLWLL |
| 14 |  Burton Albion | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:18 | -2 | 14 | DDLLW |
| 15 | Wycombe | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 | DWLDW |
| 16 |  AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7:18 | -11 | 12 | LLLDD |
| 17 |  Blackpool | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 | WLLLD |
| 18 |  Notts County | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 19 | Doncaster | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 | LLWWL |
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 11:18 | -7 | 9 | LWLDD |
| 21 | Peterborough | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:20 | -10 | 9 | LDWLL |
| 22 | Barnsley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 23 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:25 | -16 | 8 | LLLWD |
| 24 |  Wigan | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:15 | -8 | 7 | LWLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockport County | 11 | 23:11 | 22 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 11 | 22:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Bradford | 11 | 10:5 | 21 |
| 4 | Cambridge United | 11 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 5 | Plymouth | 12 | 18:17 | 19 |
| 6 | Reading | 11 | 23:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Sheffield Wednesday | 10 | 20:10 | 18 |
| 8 | Oxford United | 9 | 18:10 | 18 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 10 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 10 | Leicester | 10 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 10 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 11 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 13 | Luton | 10 | 19:18 | 14 |
| 14 | Burton Albion | 12 | 16:18 | 14 |
| 15 | Wycombe | 11 | 18:22 | 14 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 7:18 | 12 |
| 17 | Blackpool | 10 | 15:16 | 11 |
| 18 | Notts County | 10 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 19 | Doncaster | 10 | 10:13 | 9 |
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | 10 | 11:18 | 9 |
| 21 | Peterborough | 11 | 10:20 | 9 |
| 22 | Barnsley | 10 | 10:19 | 8 |
| 23 | Bromley | 10 | 9:25 | 8 |
| 24 | Wigan | 10 | 7:15 | 7 |
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This match
About the Luton vs Leicester forecast
The forecasts for this League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Luton and Leicester in the League One table
In the League One table, Leicester are 10th and Luton 13th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Luton 19-18, Leicester 16-15. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Luton have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Leicester have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Luton and Leicester have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.