Stockport County vs Leicester Prediction

League OneEngland England · Regular Season - 6
Stockport County
3-4
Finished
HT 1-2
Leicester
Edgeley Park, Stockport 12/09/2026
Stockport CountyStockport County
3-4
Finished
LeicesterLeicester

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-4.8%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.53
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+5.3%
Stockport County Rest
7 days
Leicester Rest
7 days

Stockport County vs Leicester: the result in context

Leicester beat Stockport County 4-3 in the League One on 12 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Stockport County had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Leicester.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.82
X
25%3.85
2
27%3.75
Double Chance
1X
73%1.25
X2
52%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%1.53
No
33%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.85 + 1.14 = 2.99
Over 1.5
82%1.17
Over 2.5
59%1.53
Over 3.5
35%2.36
Under 1.5
18%4.70
Under 2.5
41%2.34
Under 3.5
65%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.3 = 10.2
Over 8.5
67%1.25
Over 9.5
56%1.45
Over 10.5
46%1.80
Under 8.5
33%3.54
Under 9.5
44%2.55
Under 10.5
54%1.94
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.9 = 3.5
Over 3.5
45%-
Over 4.5
27%-
Under 3.5
55%-
Under 4.5
73%-

Match Events

11'Liam CullenAssist: Louis Page
22'Jack DiamondAssist: Lewis Bate
30'Emil Riis Jakobsen
36'Ethan PyeFoul
48'Emil Riis JakobsenAssist: William Thomas-Alves
50'Louis PageFoul
52'John LundstramAssist: Louis Page
57'Oliver Norwood
61'Kyle Wootton
63'Kyron GordonFoul
71'Samuel Charles Braybrooke INBobby Reid out
71'Harry Wood INMikael Mandron out
71'Lewis Bate INJason Adigun out
76'Emil Riis Jakobsen INTom Watson out
79'Eoghan O'Connell INMamadou Jobe out
79'Ryan Glover INEthan Ennis out
86'Liam Cullen INWes Burns out
86'William Thomas-Alves INIlari Kangasniemi out
86'Warren O'Hora INOlabade Aluko out
87'Jack Diamond INBenoný Breki Andrésson out

Lineups

Stockport County
3-4-3Coach: J. McNulty
Leicester
4-1-4-1Coach: Russell Martin
Avg rating6.42
Avg rating6.64
Oliver Whatmuff5.41O. Whatmuff
Kyron Silveria Gordon5.924K. Silveria Gordon
E. O'Connell6.26E. O'Connell
E. Pye5.95E. Pye
R. Glover5.515R. Glover
L. Bate6.64L. Bate
O. Norwood8.210O. Norwood
B. Osborn6.723B. Osborn
J. Diamond7.47J. Diamond
K. Wootton7.619K. Wootton
H. Wood6.516H. Wood
A. McCarthy6.129A. McCarthy
Jayden Joseph6.32J. Joseph
W. O'Hora6.416W. O'Hora
H. Souttar6.115H. Souttar
L. Thomas6.433L. Thomas
L. Page7.525L. Page
L. Cullen7.111L. Cullen
S. Braybrooke6.736S. Braybrooke
J. Lundstram7.36J. Lundstram
W. Alves6.437W. Alves
E. Riis8.717E. Riis

Stockport County Substitutes

30Ethan Ennis79'for Ryan Glover6.5
2J. Dacres-Cogley
9B. Andrésson87'for Jack Diamond6.3
20J. Adigun71'for Lewis Bate5.7
18L. Fiorini
25M. Jobe79'for Eoghan O'Connell6.0
22M. Mandron71'for Harry Wood6.3

Leicester Substitutes

23T. Watson76'for Emil Riis Jakobsen6.6
21F. Ravizzoli
24I. Kangasniemi86'for William Thomas-Alves6.0
20H. Howell
14B. De Cordova-Reid71'for Samuel Charles Braybrooke6.5
7W. Burns86'for Liam Cullen6.5
32O. Aluko86'for Warren O'Hora5.9

Match Stats

Stockport CountyLeicester
51%Ball Possession49%
8Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal5
11Shots off Goal1
15Shots Inside Box6
4Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots3
7Fouls10
3Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
518Total Passes523
431Passes Accurate434
10Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

Stockport CountyStockport County
LeicesterLeicester
1673Elo Rating 1613
1.21Attack 2.29
2.36Defense 1.95
50%Hit Rate 63%
18.2Shots per Game 14.3
4.7Shots on Target 6.0
7.6Corners per Game 6.6
1.4Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.99 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Stockport CountyStockport County
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
LeicesterLeicester
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Stockport CountyStockport County0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
LeicesterLeicester0Wins · 0%
0.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

League Cup23/08/2022
Stockport CountyLeicester
1030

Recent Form

Stockport CountyStockport County
7W0D3L
05/09/2026
WiganStockport County
04
W
02/09/2026
LutonStockport County
20
L
29/08/2026
Stockport CountyWycombe
51
W
22/08/2026
Stockport CountyBlackpool
12
L
18/08/2026
Stockport CountyEverton U21
63
W
15/08/2026
PlymouthStockport County
13
W08/08/2026
Stockport CountyDoncaster
4151
L
01/08/2026
Stockport CountyPreston
10
W
28/07/2026
OldhamStockport County
01
W
17/07/2026
Stockport CountyBristol City
20
W
LeicesterLeicester
3W3D4L
05/09/2026
LeicesterOxford United
04
L
01/09/2026
LeicesterPlymouth
20
W
29/08/2026
Milton Keynes DonsLeicester
00
D
25/08/2026
IpswichLeicester
31
L22/08/2026
LeicesterBurton Albion
12
L
15/08/2026
Notts CountyLeicester
11
D
08/08/2026
LeicesterNorthampton
10
W
01/08/2026
LeicesterGenoa
01
L
25/07/2026
MalagaLeicester
33
D
22/07/2026
CadizLeicester
01
W

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1384127:11+1628WWWWD
2Stockport CountyStockport County1482426:14+1226WLDWW
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1265120:11+923DWDWD
4LutonLuton1372426:20+623WWWWL
5PlymouthPlymouth1472521:19+223DWLLW
6ReadingReading1364325:13+1222DWWLW
7BradfordBradford1364310:8+222LDDWD
8Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1456321:21021LDLDW
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1355322:14+820DDLLW
10LeicesterLeicester1354422:19+319DWLWW
11Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1346322:20+218WWWLW
12Mansfield TownMansfield Town1253420:18+218LWWDW
13WycombeWycombe1346321:23-218WDDWL
14Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1352619:14+517WLLWD
15Burton AlbionBurton Albion1445518:21-317LWDDL
16StevenageStevenage1244417:13+416DLWLW
17Notts CountyNotts County1235413:14-114WDWLL
18AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon133469:21-1213LDLLL
19BlackpoolBlackpool1233617:21-412DLWLL
20DoncasterDoncaster1333714:22-812LLWLL
21WiganWigan1331911:22-1110WLLLW
22PeterboroughPeterborough1324711:23-1210LDLDW
23BarnsleyBarnsley1223712:22-109DLLLL
24BromleyBromley1323813:33-209LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1327:1128
2Stockport CountyStockport County1426:1426
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1220:1123
4LutonLuton1326:2023
5PlymouthPlymouth1421:1923
6ReadingReading1325:1322
7BradfordBradford1310:822
8Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1421:2121
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1322:1420
10LeicesterLeicester1322:1919
11Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1322:2018
12Mansfield TownMansfield Town1220:1818
13WycombeWycombe1321:2318
14Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1319:1417
15Burton AlbionBurton Albion1418:2117
16StevenageStevenage1217:1316
17Notts CountyNotts County1213:1414
18AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon139:2113
19BlackpoolBlackpool1217:2112
20DoncasterDoncaster1314:2212
21WiganWigan1311:2210
22PeterboroughPeterborough1311:2310
23BarnsleyBarnsley1212:229
24BromleyBromley1313:339
PromotionRelegation

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About the Stockport County vs Leicester forecast

The forecasts for this League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Stockport County and Leicester in the League One table

In the League One table, Stockport County are 2nd and Leicester 10th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Stockport County 26-14, Leicester 22-19. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Leicester have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Stockport County and Leicester have met only 1 time recently, with 0.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.