Barnsley vs Leicester Prediction

Barnsley
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Leicester
Oakwell Ground, Barnsley 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+3.8%
Barnsley Rest
3 days
Leicester Rest
6 days

Barnsley vs Leicester: the result in context

Barnsley and Leicester drew 1-1 in the League One on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%3.20
X
29%3.75
2
38%2.05
Double Chance
1X
62%1.73
X2
67%1.32
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.41
No
44%2.68
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.22 + 1.27 = 2.49
Over 1.5
75%1.12
Over 2.5
52%1.44
Over 3.5
28%2.12
Under 1.5
25%6.00
Under 2.5
48%2.55
Under 3.5
72%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.4 = 10
Over 8.5
63%1.32
Over 9.5
54%1.59
Over 10.5
41%1.99
Under 8.5
37%2.92
Under 9.5
46%2.21
Under 10.5
59%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.9 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%-
Over 4.5
31%-
Under 3.5
49%-
Under 4.5
69%-

Match Events

7'Liam CullenAssist: Luke Thomas
11'Olabade AlukoFoul
26'Luca ConnellSerious foul
34'A. Richards INTyrese Noslin out
45'Olabade Aluko INWoyo Coulibaly out
46'William Thomas-AlvesFoul
54'Ben Hamed Touré INJonathan Bland out
56'Samuel Charles BraybrookeFoul
61'Reyes ClearyAssist: Arley Kay
62'Liam Cullen INWes Burns out
62'Samuel Charles Braybrooke INTom Watson out
63'Louis PageFoul
67'Cameron McGeehan INVimal Yoganathan out
67'S. Gale INClayton Taylor out
71'Patrick KellyFoul
81'Louis Page INHarry Howell out
86'William Thomas-Alves INBobby Reid out
89'Arley KayTime wasting
90+1'Jonathan BlandFoul
90+6'Clayton TaylorFoul

Lineups

Barnsley
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Stendel
Leicester
4-1-4-1Coach: Russell Martin
Avg rating6.54
Avg rating6.96
Rogan Ravenhill7.325R. Ravenhill
S. Gale6.34S. Gale
C. O'Riordan6.46C. O'Riordan
J. Shepherd6.25J. Shepherd
A. Kay6.72A. Kay
Patrick Kelly6.122P. Kelly
L. Connell5.648L. Connell
Amani Richards6.217A. Richards
C. McGeehan6.38C. McGeehan
R. Cleary8.219R. Cleary
B. Touré6.510B. Touré
A. McCarthy7.729A. McCarthy
O. Aluko6.532O. Aluko
W. O'Hora6.816W. O'Hora
W. Faes6.93W. Faes
L. Thomas8.033L. Thomas
L. Page6.725L. Page
L. Cullen7.711L. Cullen
S. Braybrooke6.836S. Braybrooke
J. Lundstram7.26J. Lundstram
W. Alves7.137W. Alves
E. Riis6.417E. Riis

Barnsley Substitutes

36L. Alker
30Jonathan Bland54'for Ben Hamed Touré90+1'6.0
51Kieren Flavell
9M. Kirk
11T. Noslin34'for A. Richards7.1
13C. Taylor67'for S. Gale90+6'6.8
45Vimal Yoganathan67'for Cameron McGeehan6.4

Leicester Substitutes

20H. Howell81'for Louis Page6.5
14B. De Cordova-Reid86'for William Thomas-Alves6.6
26W. Coulibaly45'for Olabade Aluko6.9
7W. Burns62'for Liam Cullen6.6
15H. Souttar
21F. Ravizzoli
23T. Watson62'for Samuel Charles Braybrooke7.2

Match Stats

BarnsleyLeicester
21%Ball Possession79%
5Corner Kicks12
4Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
12Total Shots20
5Shots on Goal8
7Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box14
3Shots Outside Box6
0Blocked Shots5
19Fouls12
2Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves4
165Total Passes676
101Passes Accurate606
12Free Kicks18

Team Comparison

BarnsleyBarnsley
LeicesterLeicester
1483Elo Rating 1609
1.28Attack 2.74
0.19Defense 1.71
0%Hit Rate 64%
20.1Shots per Game 19.8
6.3Shots on Target 7.0
7.9Corners per Game 7.1
2.1Cards per Game 0.8

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BarnsleyBarnsley
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LeicesterLeicester
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

BarnsleyBarnsley
4W2D4L
15/09/2026
PeterboroughBarnsley
7363
L
12/09/2026
PlymouthBarnsley
30
L
05/09/2026
BarnsleyStevenage
15
L
02/09/2026
BarnsleyBlackpool
21
W
29/08/2026
Leyton OrientBarnsley
13
W
25/08/2026
BarnsleyCrewe
32
W
22/08/2026
DoncasterBarnsley
00
D
15/08/2026
BarnsleyBromley
01
L
08/08/2026
BarnsleyWigan
6151
W
02/08/2026
Guiseley AFCBarnsley
11
D
LeicesterLeicester
3W3D4L
12/09/2026
Stockport CountyLeicester
34
W
05/09/2026
LeicesterOxford United
04
L
01/09/2026
LeicesterPlymouth
20
W
29/08/2026
Milton Keynes DonsLeicester
00
D
25/08/2026
IpswichLeicester
31
L
22/08/2026
LeicesterBurton Albion
12
L
15/08/2026
Notts CountyLeicester
11
D
08/08/2026
LeicesterNorthampton
10
W
01/08/2026
LeicesterGenoa
01
L
25/07/2026
MalagaLeicester
33
D

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Stockport CountyStockport County1171323:11+1222WWWWD
2HuddersfieldHuddersfield1164122:10+1222WWDWL
3BradfordBradford1163210:5+521DWDDW
4Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1155118:14+420DWWDD
5PlymouthPlymouth1261518:17+119LLWWL
6ReadingReading1153323:12+1118WLWDD
7Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1053220:10+1018LWDDD
8Oxford UnitedOxford United953118:10+818WDWDW
9StevenageStevenage1043315:10+515WLWLW
10LeicesterLeicester1043316:15+115WWLDW
11Mansfield TownMansfield Town1043316:15+115WDWDD
12Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1142515:12+314LWDLW
13LutonLuton1042419:18+114WLWLL
14Burton AlbionBurton Albion1235416:18-214DDLLW
15WycombeWycombe1135318:22-414DWLDW
16AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon113357:18-1112LLLDD
17BlackpoolBlackpool1032515:16-111WLLLD
18Notts CountyNotts County1024410:13-310WLLLL
19DoncasterDoncaster1023510:13-39LLWWL
20Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1016311:18-79LWLDD
21PeterboroughPeterborough1123610:20-109LDWLL
22BarnsleyBarnsley1022610:19-98LLLDL
23BromleyBromley102269:25-168LLLWD
24WiganWigan102177:15-87LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Stockport CountyStockport County1123:1122
2HuddersfieldHuddersfield1122:1022
3BradfordBradford1110:521
4Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1118:1420
5PlymouthPlymouth1218:1719
6ReadingReading1123:1218
7Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1020:1018
8Oxford UnitedOxford United918:1018
9StevenageStevenage1015:1015
10LeicesterLeicester1016:1515
11Mansfield TownMansfield Town1016:1515
12Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1115:1214
13LutonLuton1019:1814
14Burton AlbionBurton Albion1216:1814
15WycombeWycombe1118:2214
16AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon117:1812
17BlackpoolBlackpool1015:1611
18Notts CountyNotts County1010:1310
19DoncasterDoncaster1010:139
20Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1011:189
21PeterboroughPeterborough1110:209
22BarnsleyBarnsley1010:198
23BromleyBromley109:258
24WiganWigan107:157
PromotionRelegation

About the Barnsley vs Leicester forecast

The forecasts for this League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Barnsley and Leicester in the League One table

In the League One table, Leicester are 10th and Barnsley 22nd, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Barnsley 10-19, Leicester 16-15. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Leicester have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Barnsley and Leicester have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.