Lyon vs Fenerbahçe Prediction
World · Play-offsCupKnockout
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.64
SignalNEUTRALModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+1.9%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
2.05
SignalSOLIDModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+12.8%
Lyon Rest
4 days
Fenerbahçe Rest
4 days
Lyon vs Fenerbahçe: the result in context
Fenerbahçe beat Lyon 2-1 in the UEFA Champions League on 26 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
152%1.93
X24%3.60
224%3.80
Double Chance
1X76%1.25
X248%1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes63%1.64
No37%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 1.29 = 2.99
Over 1.579%1.22
Over 2.555%1.76
Over 3.530%2.87
Under 1.521%4.00
Under 2.545%2.08
Under 3.570%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 3.5 = 8.6
Over 8.556%1.42
Over 9.542%1.70
Over 10.533%2.10
Under 8.544%2.62
Under 9.558%2.05
Under 10.567%1.66
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.549%1.26
Over 4.530%1.60
Under 3.551%3.30
Under 4.570%2.18
Match Events
24'V. Muriqi
28'A. BrownAssist: M. Greenwood
32'M. SkriniarHolding
51'L. OpendaUnsportsmanlike conduct
61'M. FofanaAssist: A. Maitland-Niles
62'A. Maitland-Niles INZ. Athekame out
62'E. Nuamah INK. Boudache out
64'Goal Disallowed - offsideL. Openda
67'Talisca INI. Yuksek out
71'Goal Disallowed - offsideK. Boudache
76'T. Tessmann INP. Sulc out
76'O. Aydin IND. Nene out
80'M. Greenwood INI. Kahveci out
80'V. Muriqi INR. Lukaku out
86'T. Morton INM. Bidstrup out
86'Abner Vinicius INN. Tagliafico out
90+4'M. GuendouziHolding
90+5'D. NeneTripping
Lineups
LyonFenerbahçe
4-2-3-1Coach: Ismail KartalAvg ratingAvg rating
1D. Greif
98A. Maitland-Niles
21R. Kluivert
19M. Niakhaté
16A. Vinícius
6T. Tessmann
23T. Morton
C8C. Tolisso
7E. Nuamah
17L. Openda
11M. Fofana
31Ederson
27N. Semedo
C37M. Škriniar
15N. Aké
3A. Brown
91N. Kanté
6M. Guendouzi
11M. Greenwood
94Talisca
70O. Aydın
19V. MuriqiLyon Substitutes
13Zachary Athekame62'for A. Maitland-Niles
26Kaïl Boudache62'for E. Nuamah
40Rémy Descamps
3Nicolás Tagliafico86'for Abner Vinicius
20Felix Bacher
22Clinton Mata
2Mads Bidstrup86'for T. Morton
39Mathys de Carvalho
76Mohamed Ouédraogo
99Noah Nartey
10Pavel Šulc76'for T. Tessmann
45Rémi Himbert
Fenerbahçe Substitutes
5İsmail Yüksek67'for Talisca
13Tarık Çetin
75Kuzey Sapaz
14Yiğit Efe Demir
18Mert Müldür
22Levent Mercan
17İrfan Can Kahveci80'for M. Greenwood
28Bartuğ Elmaz
9Romelu Lukaku80'for V. Muriqi
45Dorgeles Nene76'for O. Aydin90+5'
Match Stats
LyonFenerbahçe 59%Ball Possession41%
5Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards3
17Total Shots16
6Shots on Goal7
7Shots off Goal6
12Shots Inside Box12
5Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots3
12Fouls17
3Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves5
450Total Passes311
398Passes Accurate245
88%Pass Accuracy79%
Team Comparison
LyonFenerbahçe1824Elo Rating 1833
1.03Attack 1.73
0.97Defense 1.01
36%Hit Rate 34%
9.2Shots per Game 13.5
4.0Shots on Target 4.5
4.7Corners per Game 4.4
1.0Cards per Game 3.0
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.99 goals
Game State Tendencies
Lyon- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Fenerbahçe- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Lyon0Wins · 0%Draws2100%
Fenerbahçe0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%1.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2
Previous meetings
18/08/2026FenerbahçeLyon11
23/01/2025FenerbahçeLyon00
Recent Form
Lyon6W1D3L
22/08/2026
ToulouseLyonFenerbahçeLyonLyon
Sparta PrahaSparta PrahaLyon
ToulouseLyon02
W18/08/2026FenerbahçeLyon11
D11/08/2026LyonSparta Praha30
W04/08/2026Sparta PrahaLyon21
L29/07/2026
Real BetisLyon
Real BetisLyon40
L24/07/2026
VfL WolfsburgLyon
VfL WolfsburgLyon02
W18/07/2026
Slavia PrahaLyon
Slavia PrahaLyon20
L15/07/2026Lyon
Servette FC
LyonServette FC21
W11/07/2026Lyon
FC ST. Gallen
LyonFC ST. Gallen63
W08/07/2026Lyon
Mâcon
LyonMâcon52
WFenerbahçe7W2D1L
22/08/2026Fenerbahçe
KonyasporFenerbahçeLyon
Gençlerbirliği S.K.Fenerbahçe
Sturm GrazFenerbahçeFenerbahçeSturm Graz
Gornik ZabrzeFenerbahçeFenerbahçeGornik Zabrze
FenerbahçeKonyaspor42
W18/08/2026FenerbahçeLyon11
D15/08/2026Gençlerbirliği S.K.Fenerbahçe21
L11/08/2026Sturm GrazFenerbahçe01
W05/08/2026FenerbahçeSturm Graz20
W29/07/2026Gornik ZabrzeFenerbahçe11
D21/07/2026FenerbahçeGornik Zabrze10
W14/07/2026
Lask LinzFenerbahçe
Lask LinzFenerbahçe12
W11/07/2026Fenerbahçe
Pogon Szczecin
FenerbahçePogon Szczecin40
W08/07/2026
Admira WackerFenerbahçe
Admira WackerFenerbahçe05
WReferee Profile
4.20Cards per match
4.03Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
25.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.20 cards a match, 0.26 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.46).
Cards come from 195 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Viking
AEK Athens FC
CelticLask Linz
Union St. Gilloise
Bodo/Glimt
Olympiakos Piraeus
NEC NijmegenSparta PrahaLyon
Slovan Bratislava
Mjallby AIF
Aarhus
Lech PoznanFenerbahçeGornik Zabrze
FC Thun
Dinamo ZagrebSturm Graz
Heart Of Midlothian
FK Crvena Zvezda
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Omonia Nicosia
CeljeVikingAEK Athens FCCelticLask LinzUnion St. GilloiseBodo/GlimtOlympiakos PiraeusNEC NijmegenSparta PrahaLyonVikingAEK Athens FCCelticLask LinzLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 7 | DWW |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 6 | LWW |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 6 | WLW |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 6 | WLW |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 6 | WWL |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 | WLW |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 5 | DDW |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 4 | WLD |
| 16 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | DWL |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | LWD |
| 18 |  PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 3 | LWL |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 | LWL |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 | LWL |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 | LLW |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LLW |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 | DLD |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 | LDL |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | -12 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 | Inter | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 | Manchester United | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 | Sabah FA | 3 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Explore more predictions
This match
- Lyon Predictions
- Fenerbahçe Predictions
- UEFA Champions League Predictions
- UEFA Champions League Standings
- UEFA Champions League Stats 2026
- UEFA Champions League top scorers
- UEFA Champions League Knockout Rounds
- UEFA Champions League Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
More UEFA Champions League matches
About the Lyon vs Fenerbahçe forecast
As a knockout tie in the UEFA Champions League, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Champions League
More UEFA Champions League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Champions League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Fenerbahçe have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Lyon and Fenerbahçe have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.