Lyon vs Fenerbahçe Prediction
World · Play-offsCupKnockout
Groupama Stadium, Lyon· Maurizio Mariani, Italy 26/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.64SignalSOLIDModel53%RiskMediumGap+1.9%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
2.05SignalGOODModel52%RiskMediumGap+12.8%
Lyon Rest
4 days
Fenerbahçe Rest
4 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
152%1.93
X24%3.60
224%3.80
Double Chance
1X76%1.25
X248%1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes63%1.64
No37%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 1.29 = 2.99
Over 1.579%1.22
Over 2.555%1.76
Over 3.530%2.87
Under 1.521%4.00
Under 2.545%2.08
Under 3.570%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 3.5 = 8.6
Over 8.556%1.42
Over 9.542%1.70
Over 10.533%2.10
Under 8.544%2.62
Under 9.558%2.05
Under 10.567%1.66
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.549%1.26
Over 4.530%1.60
Under 3.551%3.30
Under 4.570%2.18
Match Events
24'V. Muriqi
28'A. BrownAssist: M. Greenwood
32'M. SkriniarHolding
51'L. OpendaUnsportsmanlike conduct
61'M. FofanaAssist: A. Maitland-Niles
62'A. Maitland-Niles INZ. Athekame out
62'E. Nuamah INK. Boudache out
64'Goal Disallowed - offsideL. Openda
67'Talisca INI. Yuksek out
71'Goal Disallowed - offsideK. Boudache
76'T. Tessmann INP. Sulc out
76'O. Aydin IND. Nene out
80'M. Greenwood INI. Kahveci out
80'V. Muriqi INR. Lukaku out
86'T. Morton INM. Bidstrup out
86'Abner Vinicius INN. Tagliafico out
90+4'M. GuendouziHolding
90+5'D. NeneTripping
Lineups
LyonFenerbahçe
4-2-3-1Coach: Ismail Kartal
1D. GreifDominik Greif
98A. Maitland-NilesAinsley Maitland-Niles
21R. KluivertRuben Kluivert
19M. NiakhatéMoussa Niakhaté
16A. ViníciusAbner Vinícius
6T. TessmannTanner Tessmann
23T. MortonTyler Morton
8C. TolissoCorentin Tolisso
7E. NuamahErnest Nuamah
17L. OpendaLoïs Openda
11M. FofanaMalick Fofana
31EdersonEderson
27N. SemedoNélson Semedo
37M. ŠkriniarMilan Škriniar
15N. AkéNathan Aké
3A. BrownArchie Brown
91N. KantéN'Golo Kanté
6M. GuendouziMattéo Guendouzi
11M. GreenwoodMason Greenwood
94TaliscaTalisca
70O. AydınOğuz Aydın
19V. MuriqiVedat MuriqiLyon Substitutes
13Zachary AthekameD
26Kaïl BoudacheF
40Rémy DescampsG
3Nicolás TagliaficoD
20Felix BacherD
22Clinton MataD
2Mads BidstrupM
39Mathys de CarvalhoM
76Mohamed OuédraogoD
99Noah NarteyM
10Pavel ŠulcM
45Rémi HimbertF
Fenerbahçe Substitutes
5İsmail YüksekM
13Tarık ÇetinG
75Kuzey SapazG
14Yiğit Efe DemirD
18Mert MüldürD
22Levent MercanD
17İrfan Can KahveciM
28Bartuğ ElmazM
9Romelu LukakuF
45Dorgeles NeneF
Match Stats
LyonFenerbahçe 59%Ball Possession41%
5Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots15
6Shots on Goal7
7Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box12
5Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots3
12Fouls15
3Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves5
435Total Passes305
387Passes Accurate242
89%Pass Accuracy79%
Team Comparison
LyonFenerbahçe1817Elo Rating 1841
1.33Attack 1.04
2.24Defense 2.24
37%Hit Rate 31%
12.4Shots per Game 11.7
3.7Shots on Target 5.0
5.2Corners per Game 3.6
1.0Cards per Game 2.7
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.99 goals
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Lyon- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Fenerbahçe- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Head to Head
Based on 2 historical meetings
Lyon 0%Draw 100%0% Fenerbahçe
1.08Avg Goals
54%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Lyon2W1D2L
Referee Profile
Maurizio Mariani, Italy · 5 matches analysed
3.9Avg Yellows
4.1Avg Cards
24.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 20% of referees analysed
League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | +5 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Manchester United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 3 | W |
| 7 |  Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 3 | W |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 | W |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 10 |  Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 11 |  Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 13 |  Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 14 |  Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 15 |  Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 16 |  AEK Athens FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 17 |  AS Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 18 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 19 |  PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 20 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 21 |  Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 22 |  Lille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 23 |  Slavia Praha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 24 |  Club Brugge KV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 25 |  Inter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 26 |  Atletico Madrid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 |  Napoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 |  Lask Linz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 29 |  Viking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 30 |  Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 |  FC Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 |  RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 |  Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 34 |  Sabah FA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 35 |  Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 | L |
| 36 |  Bodo/Glimt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 1 | 6:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Bayern München | 1 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 1 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 1 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Como | 1 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 1 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 1 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 10 | Lens | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 11 | Real Betis | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 12 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 14 | Real Madrid | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 15 | Arsenal | 1 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 16 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 17 | AS Roma | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 18 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 19 | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 20 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 21 | Villarreal | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 22 | Lille | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 23 | Slavia Praha | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 24 | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 25 | Inter | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 26 | Atletico Madrid | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 27 | Napoli | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 28 | Lask Linz | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 29 | Viking | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 30 | Galatasaray | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 31 | FC Porto | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 32 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 34 | Sabah FA | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodo/Glimt | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
Champions League
Bracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
AEK Athens FCViking
CelticLask Linz
Sparta PrahaLyon
Union St. GilloiseBodo/Glimt
Olympiakos Piraeus
NEC Nijmegen
Mjallby AIFSlovan Bratislava
Aarhus
Lech Poznan
FC Thun
Dinamo ZagrebFenerbahçe
Gornik Zabrze
Sturm Graz
Heart Of Midlothian
Hapoel Beer Sheva
FK Crvena Zvezda
Omonia Nicosia
CeljeAEK Athens FCVikingCelticLask LinzSparta PrahaLyonUnion St. GilloiseBodo/GlimtOlympiakos PiraeusNEC NijmegenAEK Athens FCVikingCelticLask LinzLyon vs Fenerbahçe Prediction
As a knockout-stage UEFA Champions League fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Champions League
ScorePredicts covers UEFA Champions League across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Lyon and Fenerbahçe have met 2 times recently, averaging 1.08 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.