Maardu vs Nõmme United II Prediction

Maardu
2-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Nõmme United II
Maardu linnastaadion 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalSTRONGModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+5.9%
Maardu Rest
8 days
Nõmme United II Rest
6 days

Maardu vs Nõmme United II: the result in context

Maardu beat Nõmme United II 2-1 in the Esiliiga A on 6 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Maardu had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Nõmme United II.

Maardu have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 4.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.96
X
16%4.03
2
17%2.79
Double Chance
1X
84%1.33
X2
33%1.70
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

34'V. Malinin
41'E. Kouadio
90+1'

Team Comparison

MaarduMaardu
Nõmme United IINõmme United II
1619Elo Rating 1480
2.18Attack 1.86
1.91Defense 0.75
83%Hit Rate 31%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+139 Elo
📈BTTS Trend83% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

MaarduMaardu
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.7 in second half)
Nõmme United IINõmme United II
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

MaarduMaardu4Wins · 66%
Draws117%
Nõmme United IINõmme United II1Wins · 17%
4.2Avg Goals
83%Both teams scored5 of 6
83%3+ goals5 of 6

Previous meetings

Esiliiga A09/05/2026
MaarduNõmme United II
21
Esiliiga A08/03/2026
Nõmme United IIMaardu
41
Esiliiga B30/10/2025
Nõmme United IIMaardu
33
Esiliiga B13/07/2025
MaarduNõmme United II
32
Esiliiga B24/05/2025
MaarduNõmme United II
20
Esiliiga B05/04/2025
Nõmme United IIMaardu
13

Recent Form

MaarduMaardu
6W1D3L
29/08/2026
MaarduFCI Levadia II
42
W
24/08/2026
Tallinna KalevMaardu
13
W
20/08/2026
ElvaMaardu
10
L
15/08/2026
MaarduFC Tallinn
10
W
08/08/2026
MaarduViimsi
12
L
01/08/2026
Nõmme Kalju IIMaardu
14
W
18/07/2026
Flora IIMaardu
13
W
13/07/2026
MaarduTartu Welco
18
L
09/07/2026
MaarduFlora II
32
W
03/07/2026
Tallinna KalevMaardu
33
D
Nõmme United IINõmme United II
2W2D6L
30/08/2026
Nõmme United IIElva
01
L
24/08/2026
ViimsiNõmme United II
41
L
20/08/2026
FC TallinnNõmme United II
11
D
17/08/2026
Nõmme United IINõmme Kalju II
20
W
08/08/2026
Nõmme United IIFCI Levadia II
12
L
01/08/2026
Nõmme United IITartu Welco
21
W
27/07/2026
Nõmme United IIViimsi
03
L
18/07/2026
Tallinna KalevNõmme United II
31
L
12/07/2026
Nõmme United IIFlora II
11
D
04/07/2026
FC TallinnNõmme United II
43
L

League Table

Esiliiga A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tartu WelcoTartu Welco34235699:44+5574WWWWW
2ViimsiViimsi331761061:32+2957WDWLL
3Flora IIFlora II321561176:57+1951DLDLW
4FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II331631467:59+851DWWWW
5ElvaElva331481150:51-150DDLDW
6MaarduMaardu311281147:59-1244DDDDW
7FC TallinnFC Tallinn341081643:77-3438WLLWD
8Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev321071556:62-637LLLDL
9Nõmme United IINõmme United II341071755:70-1537DLLLW
10Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II34662239:82-4324LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tartu WelcoTartu Welco3499:4474
2ViimsiViimsi3361:3257
3Flora IIFlora II3276:5751
4FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II3367:5951
5ElvaElva3350:5150
6MaarduMaardu3147:5944
7FC TallinnFC Tallinn3443:7738
8Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3256:6237
9Nõmme United IINõmme United II3455:7037
10Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II3439:8224

About the Maardu vs Nõmme United II forecast

The forecasts for this Esiliiga A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Maardu and Nõmme United II in the Esiliiga A table

In the Esiliiga A table, Maardu are 6th and Nõmme United II 9th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Maardu 47-59, Nõmme United II 55-70. The full standings are on the Esiliiga A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Maardu have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Nõmme United II have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.