Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg Prediction

AllsvenskanSweden Sweden · Regular Season - 14
Malmo FF
1-2
Finished
HT 1-2
IF Elfsborg
Eleda Stadium, Malmo·Kristoffer Karlsson, Sweden 26/07/2026
Malmo FFMalmo FF
1-2
Finished
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.23
SignalSTRONGModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+1.0%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.48
SignalHIGHModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+12.6%
Malmo FF Rest
5 days
IF Elfsborg Rest
7 days

Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg: the result in context

IF Elfsborg beat Malmo FF 2-1 in the Allsvenskan on 26 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Malmo FF had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for IF Elfsborg.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. IF Elfsborg tend to win more corners, 8.4 a game to 6.3 for Malmo FF.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.85
X
20%3.70
2
18%3.90
Double Chance
1X
82%1.23
X2
37%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.59
No
44%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.06 + 1.03 = 3.09
Over 1.5
84%1.20
Over 2.5
60%1.67
Over 3.5
35%2.62
Under 1.5
16%4.20
Under 2.5
40%2.18
Under 3.5
65%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 3.8 = 10.3
Over 8.5
71%1.45
Over 9.5
59%1.77
Over 10.5
47%2.17
Under 8.5
29%2.46
Under 9.5
41%1.95
Under 10.5
53%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.7 = 3.6
Over 3.5
38%-
Over 4.5
24%-
Under 3.5
62%-
Under 4.5
76%-

Match Events

5'A. ZeneliAssist: J. Magnusson
21'S. Holmen INR. Wikstrom out
22'J. StrygerAssist: N. John
34'M. KamaraAssist: A. Zeneli
46'T. Lundbergh INI. Assibu out
61'J. Stryger
69'N. John INBusanello out
69'E. Botheim IND. Garcia out
73'M. Palsson
76'A. Hoog INB. Kurtulus out
76'L. Ostman INF. Ihler out
76'A. Zeneli INS. Hedlund out
79'Busanello
79'S. Haksabanovic
84'A. Djuric
84'J. Stryger INJ. Karlsson out
85'A. Jensen INR. Mohammed out
85'M. Kamara INF. Aronsson out
89'I. Pettersson

Lineups

Malmo FF
4-1-4-1Coach: Gaute Helstrup
IF Elfsborg
4-2-3-1Coach: Bjorn Hamberg
Avg rating6.64
Avg rating6.84
R. OlsenC5.91R. Olsen
J. Stryger7.517J. Stryger
A. Djuric6.95A. Djuric
M. Palsson5.944M. Palsson
N. John6.623N. John
O. Rosengren7.37O. Rosengren
A. Hoog6.245A. Hoog
A. Skogmar6.337A. Skogmar
T. Lundbergh6.347T. Lundbergh
S. Haksabanovic7.229S. Haksabanovic
E. Botheim6.220E. Botheim
I. Pettersson6.331I. Pettersson
A. Jensen6.516A. Jensen
S. HolmenC6.68S. Holmen
T. Isherwood6.64T. Isherwood
N. Hult7.023N. Hult
J. Magnusson7.318J. Magnusson
S. Olsson6.610S. Olsson
M. Kamara8.229M. Kamara
J. Beck6.619J. Beck
A. Zeneli7.69A. Zeneli
L. Ostman6.321L. Ostman

Malmo FF Substitutes

50W. Nieroth
19C. Rosler
25Busanello69'for N. John79'6.9
2J. Karlsson84'for J. Stryger6.9
9D. Garcia69'for E. Botheim6.6
32D. T. Gudjohnsen
4B. Kurtulus76'for A. Hoog6.9
28J. Milosavljevic
39I. Assibu46'for T. Lundbergh6.7

IF Elfsborg Substitutes

1T. Erlandsson
12T. Sander
6R. Wikstrom21'for S. Holmen7.5
22D. Krasniqi
24F. Ihler76'for L. Ostman6.7
25G. Gunnarsson
2R. Mohammed85'for A. Jensen6.6
15S. Hedlund76'for A. Zeneli6.7
28F. Aronsson85'for M. Kamara6.3

Match Stats

Malmo FFIF Elfsborg
61%Ball Possession39%
5Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
12Total Shots9
1Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box6
2Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots1
18Fouls9
0Offsides5
2Goalkeeper Saves0
588Total Passes388
516Passes Accurate321
88%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Malmo FFMalmo FF
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
1697Elo Rating 1732
0.97Attack 1.87
2.52Defense 1.93
44%Hit Rate 31%
15.3Shots per Game 15.9
4.3Shots on Target 4.6
6.3Corners per Game 8.4
1.7Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.09 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Malmo FFMalmo FF
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Malmo FFMalmo FF4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg3Wins · 30%
2.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Allsvenskan14/09/2025
IF ElfsborgMalmo FF
22
Allsvenskan07/04/2025
Malmo FFIF Elfsborg
21
Svenska Cupen10/03/2025
Malmo FFIF Elfsborg
1000
Allsvenskan28/05/2024
Malmo FFIF Elfsborg
21
Allsvenskan05/05/2024
IF ElfsborgMalmo FF
31
Allsvenskan12/11/2023
Malmo FFIF Elfsborg
10
Allsvenskan28/05/2023
IF ElfsborgMalmo FF
30
Allsvenskan04/09/2022
IF ElfsborgMalmo FF
32
Allsvenskan11/04/2022
Malmo FFIF Elfsborg
11
Allsvenskan22/09/2021
IF ElfsborgMalmo FF
01

Recent Form

Malmo FFMalmo FF
4W2D4L
20/07/2026
Kalmar FFMalmo FF
22
D12/07/2026
Malmo FFIFK Goteborg
40
W04/07/2026
Degerfors IFMalmo FF
01
W
26/06/2026
Malmo FFFC Midtjylland
22
D
30/05/2026
Malmo FFHalmstad
52
W
24/05/2026
Malmo FFVasteras SK FK
23
L
17/05/2026
Hammarby FFMalmo FF
41
L
10/05/2026
BK HackenMalmo FF
32
L
03/05/2026
Malmo FFMjallby AIF
23
L
27/04/2026
AIK StockholmMalmo FF
01
W
IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
1W5D4L
19/07/2026
IF ElfsborgSirius
13
L12/07/2026
GaisIF Elfsborg
10
L05/07/2026
IF ElfsborgHammarby FF
12
L
29/05/2026
Orgryte ISIF Elfsborg
22
D
25/05/2026
IF ElfsborgBK Hacken
11
D
21/05/2026
IF ElfsborgMjallby AIF
11
D
16/05/2026
HalmstadIF Elfsborg
11
D
08/05/2026
IF ElfsborgIF Brommapojkarna
20
W
03/05/2026
IF ElfsborgAIK Stockholm
11
D
27/04/2026
Kalmar FFIF Elfsborg
21
L

Referee Profile

Kristoffer Karlsson163 matches

4.09Cards per match
3.94Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
25.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Kristoffer Karlsson4.09
Other referees3.65

4.09 cards a match, 0.44 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.65).

Cards come from 136 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Allsvenskan 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Hammarby FFHammarby FF27174656:22+3455WWWWL
2SiriusSirius26174556:34+2255LLDWW
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF27164755:25+3052WDDWW
4BK HackenBK Hacken261210447:30+1746DWWWW
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg261110539:26+1343DDDWW
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK26125939:38+141WLWLW
7Malmo FFMalmo FF271241142:36+640LWDLW
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm26108842:45-338DWDLL
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg26108836:45-938DDDWW
10GaisGais26971032:26+634WDLLW
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna26971039:43-434DWLWL
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF26681230:43-1326WLLDL
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF26641623:42-1922LLWLL
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF27551722:46-2420LLLLD
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS26471532:58-2619LDWLL
16HalmstadHalmstad26451718:49-3117LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Hammarby FFHammarby FF2756:2255
2SiriusSirius2656:3455
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF2755:2552
4BK HackenBK Hacken2647:3046
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg2639:2643
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK2639:3841
7Malmo FFMalmo FF2742:3640
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm2642:4538
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg2636:4538
10GaisGais2632:2634
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna2639:4334
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF2630:4326
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF2623:4222
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF2722:4620
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS2632:5819
16HalmstadHalmstad2618:4917
Relegation

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About the Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg forecast

The forecasts for this Allsvenskan match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Malmo FF and IF Elfsborg in the Allsvenskan table

IF Elfsborg and Malmo FF are close in the Allsvenskan table, 5th and 7th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Malmo FF 42-36, IF Elfsborg 39-26. The full standings are on the Allsvenskan Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

IF Elfsborg have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.