Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma Prediction

J3 LeagueJapan Japan · Regular Season - 12
Matsumoto Yamaga
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Sunpro Alwin, Matsumoto 21/10/2026
Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga
2-0
Finished
Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-6.1%
Matsumoto Yamaga Rest
3 days
Thespakusatsu Gunma Rest
4 days

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma: the result in context

Matsumoto Yamaga beat Thespakusatsu Gunma 2-0 in the J3 League on 21 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Thespakusatsu Gunma have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 3.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.73
X
24%3.54
2
24%4.10
Double Chance
1X
76%1.20
X2
48%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.68
No
45%2.02
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.47 + 1.12 = 2.59
Over 1.5
75%1.20
Over 2.5
52%1.75
Over 3.5
31%2.81
Under 1.5
25%3.76
Under 2.5
48%2.00
Under 3.5
69%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'K. Saso
52'R. Fujimura INT. Nakashima out
53'M. Nuki INA. Sakurai out
60'M. Farzan Sana INK. Matsumoto out
61'T. Shimokawa INK. Kazama out
63'S. Tanaka INA. Inoue out
67'R. Sawazaki INS. Kaneko out
67'R. Sato INH. Murakami out
76'M. Hyakuda INT. Harada out
87'Y. Taguchi INK. Fujieda out
88'K. Saso INK. Kitazume out
90+3'K. Fujieda

Team Comparison

Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga
Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma
1404Elo Rating 1328
0.93Attack 0.94
2.21Defense 1.76
44%Hit Rate 44%

Game State Tendencies

Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga1Wins · 25%
Draws00%
Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma3Wins · 75%
3.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

J3 League23/11/2025
Thespakusatsu GunmaMatsumoto Yamaga
62
J3 League05/07/2025
Matsumoto YamagaThespakusatsu Gunma
13
J2 League30/10/2021
Thespakusatsu GunmaMatsumoto Yamaga
10
J2 League25/04/2021
Matsumoto YamagaThespakusatsu Gunma
10

Recent Form

Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga
4W2D4L
18/10/2026
Parceiro NaganoMatsumoto Yamaga
21
L
14/10/2026
Matsumoto YamagaSanfrecce Hiroshima
01
L
11/10/2026
Matsumoto YamagaKagoshima United
10
W03/10/2026
Matsumoto YamagaGainare Tottori
01
L
29/09/2026
Matsumoto YamagaAlbirex Niigata
10
W
26/09/2026
Tochigi SCMatsumoto Yamaga
12
W
18/09/2026
Roasso KumamotoMatsumoto Yamaga
00
D
13/09/2026
Matsumoto YamagaSagamihara
13
L
09/09/2026
Matsumoto YamagaShonan Bellmare
4333
W
05/09/2026
Matsumoto YamagaOsaka
00
D
Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma
3W1D6L
17/10/2026
Gainare TottoriThespakusatsu Gunma
11
D
10/10/2026
Thespakusatsu GunmaFC Ryukyu
21
W
03/10/2026
Ehime FCThespakusatsu Gunma
31
L
26/09/2026
Thespakusatsu GunmaRoasso Kumamoto
01
L
19/09/2026
Thespakusatsu GunmaKochi United
10
W
12/09/2026
Renofa YamaguchiThespakusatsu Gunma
20
L
05/09/2026
Thespakusatsu GunmaFukushima United
13
L
02/09/2026
Thespakusatsu GunmaAlbirex Niigata
12
L
30/08/2026
Parceiro NaganoThespakusatsu Gunma
12
W
26/08/2026
Tokyo VerdyThespakusatsu Gunma
41
L

League Table

J3 League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United1392227:16+1129LWWLW
2Ehime FCEhime FC1382330:19+1126LWLWW
3Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi1382319:9+1026WLWWW
4OsakaOsaka1365223:13+1023WWLDL
5Roasso KumamotoRoasso Kumamoto1365215:7+823WWWLD
6Nara ClubNara Club1372423:21+223LLWWW
7FC GifuFC Gifu1371524:13+1122LWWWL
8SagamiharaSagamihara1364321:14+722DLWWW
9FC RyukyuFC Ryukyu1362516:15+120WWWLL
10KanazawaKanazawa1352623:19+417WLLDW
11Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano1352617:19-217LLWWL
12KitakyushuKitakyushu1344519:22-316WLWLW
13Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori1343613:23-1015DLDLW
14Fukushima UnitedFukushima United1342726:29-314WWLDL
15Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga1335512:15-314LWLWL
16Tochigi SCTochigi SC1335512:16-414DWLLD
17Biwako ShigaBiwako Shiga1342717:24-714LLLDD
18Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma1341812:22-1013WLDWL
19Kamatamare SanukiKamatamare Sanuki1322915:25-108LWLLD
20Kochi UnitedKochi United131395:28-236DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United1327:1629
2Ehime FCEhime FC1330:1926
3Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi1319:926
4OsakaOsaka1323:1323
5Roasso KumamotoRoasso Kumamoto1315:723
6Nara ClubNara Club1323:2123
7FC GifuFC Gifu1324:1322
8SagamiharaSagamihara1321:1422
9FC RyukyuFC Ryukyu1316:1520
10KanazawaKanazawa1323:1917
11Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano1317:1917
12KitakyushuKitakyushu1319:2216
13Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori1313:2315
14Fukushima UnitedFukushima United1326:2914
15Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga1312:1514
16Tochigi SCTochigi SC1312:1614
17Biwako ShigaBiwako Shiga1317:2414
18Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma1312:2213
19Kamatamare SanukiKamatamare Sanuki1315:258
20Kochi UnitedKochi United135:286
PromotionRelegation

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About the Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma forecast

The forecasts for this J3 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Matsumoto Yamaga and Thespakusatsu Gunma in the J3 League table

In the J3 League table, Matsumoto Yamaga are 15th and Thespakusatsu Gunma 18th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Matsumoto Yamaga 12-15, Thespakusatsu Gunma 12-22. The full standings are on the J3 League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.