Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC Prediction

America First Field, Sandy· R. Vazquez 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel61%RiskMediumGap+5.1%
Real Salt Lake Rest
4 days
Minnesota United FC Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.80
X
24%3.85
2
22%4.10
Double Chance
1X
78%1.21
X2
46%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.53
No
40%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 1.13 = 2.68
Over 1.5
76%1.17
Over 2.5
56%1.60
Over 3.5
34%2.47
Under 1.5
24%4.75
Under 2.5
44%2.29
Under 3.5
66%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4 = 9.1
Over 8.5
51%1.44
Over 9.5
44%1.75
Over 10.5
32%2.27
Under 8.5
49%2.60
Under 9.5
56%2.00
Under 10.5
68%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.2 = 4.4
Over 3.5
61%1.67
Over 4.5
42%2.31
Under 3.5
39%2.11
Under 4.5
58%1.58

Match Events

12'Z. Booth
15'Z. Booth IND. Marczuk out
32'J. Diaz
46'K. Duncan INB. Hlongwane out
56'Lineker Rodrigues
60'Lineker Rodrigues INS. Lobjanidze out
68'
71'J. Diaz INC. Harvey out
71'M. Dieng INK. Yeboah out
71'T. Chancalay INM. Gonzalez out
82'S. SolansAssist: D. Luna
86'D. Luna INA. Hezarkhani out
87'S. Solans INV. Olatunji out
87'W. Trapp INM. Caldeira out
89'J. PereyraAssist: M. Caldeira
90+4'S. Spierings

Lineups

Real Salt Lake
5-4-1Coach: Pablo Mastroeni
Minnesota United FC
4-4-1-1Coach: Cameron Knowles
Rafael Cabral1R. CabralRafael Cabral
Z. Booth23Z. BoothZ. Booth
P. Quinton26P. QuintonP. Quinton
J. J. Arias21J. J. AriasJ. J. Arias
L. Engel4L. EngelL. Engel
J. Sanabria8J. SanabriaJ. Sanabria
Lineker Rodrigues70L. RodriguesLineker Rodrigues
S. Spierings6S. SpieringsS. Spierings
N. Caliskan92N. CaliskanN. Caliskan
D. Luna10D. LunaD. Luna
S. Solans22S. SolansS. Solans
D. Callender12D. CallenderD. Callender
J. Diaz28J. DiazJ. Diaz
M. Boxall15M. BoxallM. Boxall
M. Duggan23M. DugganM. Duggan
A. Markanich13A. MarkanichA. Markanich
K. Duncan3K. DuncanK. Duncan
W. Trapp20W. TrappW. Trapp
O. Gene30O. GeneO. Gene
T. Chancalay8T. ChancalayT. Chancalay
J. Pereyra26J. PereyraJ. Pereyra
M. Dieng29M. DiengM. Dieng

Real Salt Lake Substitutes

31M. StajduharG
98A. KatranisD
3K. HenryD
29S. JunquaD
7P. RuizM
39A. HezarkhaniF
12S. LobjanidzeM
11D. MarczukF
17V. OlatunjiF

Minnesota United FC Substitutes

1A. SmirG
2D. PadelfordD
67C. HarveyM
24J. GresselM
7D. FitzM
21B. HlongwaneF
22M. CaldeiraF
9K. YeboahF
18M. GonzalezF

Match Stats

Real Salt LakeMinnesota United FC
57%Ball Possession43%
7Corner Kicks10
3Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots15
7Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal9
8Shots Inside Box11
5Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots3
7Fouls12
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves7
575Total Passes422
495Passes Accurate329
86%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
1545Elo Rating 1565
0.62Attack 2.75
1.02Defense 0.00
0%Hit Rate 14%
12.5Shots per Game 13.1
5.1Shots on Target 5.3
5.2Corners per Game 4.1
3.1Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend66% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Real Salt Lake 0%Draw 58%42% Minnesota United FC
2.18Avg Goals
66%BTTS Rate
23%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
2W1D2L
12/08/2026
Real Salt LakeFC Juarez
30
W
09/08/2026
Real Salt LakeAtlante FC
40
W
05/08/2026
Tigres UANLReal Salt Lake
6151
L
02/08/2026
St. Louis CityReal Salt Lake
11
D
26/07/2026
Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake
21
L
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
1W2D2L

Referee Profile

R. Vazquez · 87 matches analysed

4.0Avg Yellows
4.2Avg Cards
22.8Avg Fouls
Stricter than 25% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656:23+3349WLWLW
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834:30+444DLWDD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645:36+944WWDWD
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649:42+744DWWWD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846:38+842DWWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843:29+1441DLWDD
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236:35+136DWDLW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034:42-833WDLWL
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247:48-132LLDWL
10San DiegoSan Diego26871144:44031DLLLW
11AustinAustin26791032:44-1230DWDDW
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake25851237:42-529LLLDL
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2478928:33-529DDDDD
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139:46-729LLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729:63-3418LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2556:2349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2634:3044
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City2645:3644
4FC DallasFC Dallas2649:4244
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2646:3842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2743:2941
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids2636:3536
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy2734:4233
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2647:4832
10San DiegoSan Diego2644:4431
11AustinAustin2632:4430
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake2537:4229
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2428:3329
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC2639:4629
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2529:6318
Promotion

Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Real Salt Lake and Minnesota United FC have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.18 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.