San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC Prediction

PayPal Park, San Jose· Jair Antonio Maruffo, USA 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel51%RiskMediumGap+2.6%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.85
SignalGOODModel48%RiskMediumGap+11.1%
San Jose Earthquakes Rest
3 days
Minnesota United FC Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%2.25
X
24%3.75
2
23%2.87
Double Chance
1X
77%1.40
X2
47%1.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.42
No
36%2.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.84 + 1.14 = 2.98
Over 1.5
85%1.14
Over 2.5
69%1.47
Over 3.5
39%2.20
Under 1.5
15%5.50
Under 2.5
31%2.60
Under 3.5
61%1.65
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.4 = 9.9
Over 8.5
66%1.35
Over 9.5
53%1.58
Over 10.5
39%1.98
Under 8.5
34%3.00
Under 9.5
47%2.25
Under 10.5
61%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.3 = 5.1
Over 3.5
69%1.84
Over 4.5
55%2.41
Under 3.5
31%1.89
Under 4.5
45%1.51

Match Events

4'T. Werner(Penalty)
10'J. PereyraAssist: A. Markanich
40'K. YeboahAssist: K. Duncan
44'K. YeboahAssist: O. Gene
46'J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza INI. Harkes out
57'T. Werner IND. Johnson out
65'M. CaldeiraAssist: K. Duncan
66'N. Tsakiris INN. Fernandez out
66'O. Bouda INP. Marie out
77'M. Caldeira INT. Chancalay out
77'O. Gene INN. Triantis out
78'Vitor Costa INJ. Ricketts out
83'K. Yeboah INM. Gonzalez out
83'W. Trapp INC. Harvey out
85'B. Kikanovic
86'M. GonzalezAssist: J. Pereyra
86'A. Markanich IND. Padelford out

Lineups

San Jose Earthquakes
4-2-3-1Coach: Bruce Arena
Minnesota United FC
3-4-1-2Coach: Cameron Knowles
A. Gunn1A. GunnA. Gunn
B. Kikanovic28B. KikanovicB. Kikanovic
D. Munie5D. MunieD. Munie
R. Roberts18R. RobertsR. Roberts
Vitor Costa87V. CostaVitor Costa
J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza40J. A. Gonzalez MendozaJ. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
B. Leroux34B. LerouxB. Leroux
O. Bouda7O. BoudaO. Bouda
N. Tsakiris10N. TsakirisN. Tsakiris
T. Werner11T. WernerT. Werner
P. Judd19P. JuddP. Judd
D. Callender12D. CallenderD. Callender
J. Diaz28J. DiazJ. Diaz
M. Boxall15M. BoxallM. Boxall
M. Duggan23M. DugganM. Duggan
K. Duncan3K. DuncanK. Duncan
O. Gene30O. GeneO. Gene
W. Trapp20W. TrappW. Trapp
A. Markanich13A. MarkanichA. Markanich
J. Pereyra26J. PereyraJ. Pereyra
K. Yeboah9K. YeboahK. Yeboah
M. Caldeira22M. CaldeiraM. Caldeira

San Jose Earthquakes Substitutes

31F. MontaliG
4D. RomneyD
3P. MarieD
17J. JasinskiD
2J. RickettsD
6I. HarkesM
20N. FernandezM
9L. JovanovicF
79D. JohnsonF

Minnesota United FC Substitutes

1A. SmirG
2D. PadelfordD
67C. HarveyM
24J. GresselM
16A. JacksonM
25N. TriantisD
8T. ChancalayF
18M. GonzalezF
29M. DiengF

Match Stats

San Jose EarthquakesMinnesota United FC
59%Ball Possession41%
3Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards0
11Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box1
2Blocked Shots1
14Fouls15
0Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves5
495Total Passes351
397Passes Accurate258
80%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
1591Elo Rating 1565
1.29Attack 2.75
1.64Defense 0.00
50%Hit Rate 14%
10.5Shots per Game 13.1
3.5Shots on Target 5.3
3.4Corners per Game 4.1
2.5Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.97 goals
📈BTTS Trend66% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0 in second half)
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

San Jose Earthquakes 27%Draw 0%73% Minnesota United FC
3.74Avg Goals
66%BTTS Rate
66%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Jair Antonio Maruffo, USA · 20 matches analysed

3.9Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
22.7Avg Fouls
Stricter than 21% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656:23+3349WLWLW
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834:30+444DLWDD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645:36+944WWDWD
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649:42+744DWWWD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846:38+842DWWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843:29+1441DLWDD
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236:35+136DWDLW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034:42-833WDLWL
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247:48-132LLDWL
10San DiegoSan Diego25861142:42030LLLWW
11AustinAustin26791032:44-1230DWDDW
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake25851237:42-529LLLDL
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2478928:33-529DDDDD
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139:46-729LLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729:63-3418LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2556:2349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2634:3044
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City2645:3644
4FC DallasFC Dallas2649:4244
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2646:3842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2743:2941
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids2636:3536
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy2734:4233
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2647:4832
10San DiegoSan Diego2542:4230
11AustinAustin2632:4430
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake2537:4229
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2428:3329
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC2639:4629
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2529:6318
Promotion

San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

San Jose Earthquakes have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. San Jose Earthquakes and Minnesota United FC have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.74 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.