Minnesota United FC vs San Diego Prediction

Allianz Field, Saint Paul· T. Ford 02/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalSOLIDModel52%RiskMediumGap-1.2%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.48
SignalGOODModel50%RiskMediumGap+12.3%
Minnesota United FC Rest
7 days
San Diego Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%2.00
X
23%3.80
2
24%3.40
Double Chance
1X
76%1.30
X2
47%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%1.47
No
33%2.56
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.8 + 1.21 = 3.01
Over 1.5
81%1.15
Over 2.5
63%1.52
Over 3.5
37%2.30
Under 1.5
19%5.13
Under 2.5
37%2.40
Under 3.5
63%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.2 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.55
Over 9.5
46%1.91
Over 10.5
32%2.43
Under 8.5
40%2.35
Under 9.5
54%1.82
Under 10.5
68%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.4 = 4.2
Over 3.5
59%1.63
Over 4.5
35%2.26
Under 3.5
41%2.15
Under 4.5
65%1.61

Match Events

3'T. ChancalayAssist: W. Trapp
60'K. Sargeant INL. Bombino out
60'D. Vazquez INA. Mighten out
61'A. Alvarado Jr INGabriel Pirani out
64'A. Dreyer(Penalty)
64'A. Dreyer
64'D. Callender
65'A. Markanich IND. Padelford out
65'M. Dieng INK. Yeboah out
80'T. Chancalay INM. Gonzalez out
80'K. Duncan INB. Hlongwane out
83'O. Valakari INA. Godoy out

Lineups

Minnesota United FC
5-4-1Coach: Cameron Knowles
San Diego
4-3-3Coach: Mikey Varas
Drake Callender12D. CallenderDrake Callender
Kyle Duncan3K. DuncanKyle Duncan
Jefferson Díaz28J. DíazJefferson Díaz
Michael Boxall15M. BoxallMichael Boxall
Morris Duggan23M. DugganMorris Duggan
Anthony Markanich13A. MarkanichAnthony Markanich
Joaquín Pereyra26J. PereyraJoaquín Pereyra
Wil Trapp20W. TrappWil Trapp
Owen Gene30O. GeneOwen Gene
Tomás Chancalay8T. ChancalayTomás Chancalay
Mamadou  Dieng29M. DiengMamadou Dieng
CJ Dos Santos1C. Dos SantosCJ Dos Santos
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson3D. Dan ÞórhallssonDagur Dan Þórhallsson
Christopher McVey97C. McVeyChristopher McVey
Manu Duah26M. DuahManu Duah
Kieran Sargeant5K. SargeantKieran Sargeant
Alejandro Alvarado Jr70A. Alvarado JrAlejandro Alvarado Jr
Jeppe Tverskov6J. TverskovJeppe Tverskov
Onni Valakari8O. ValakariOnni Valakari
Anders Dreyer10A. DreyerAnders Dreyer
Marcus Ingvartsen7M. IngvartsenMarcus Ingvartsen
David Vazquez19D. VazquezDavid Vazquez

Minnesota United FC Substitutes

2Devin PadelfordD
9Kelvin YeboahF
18Mauricio GonzálezF
21Bongokuhle HlongwaneF
1Alec SmirG
24Julian GresselM
67Carlos HarveyM
7Dominik FitzM
22Marcus CaldeiraF

San Diego Substitutes

27Luca BombinoD
12Gabriel PiraniM
77Alex MightenF
20Aníbal GodoyM
18Duran FerreeG
33Oscar VerhoevenD
25Ian PilcherD
9Lewis MorganF
14Bryan ZambléF

Match Stats

Minnesota United FCSan Diego
32%Ball Possession68%
8Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots13
8Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal9
7Shots Inside Box8
6Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots2
8Fouls3
0Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves7
337Total Passes727
274Passes Accurate653
81%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
San DiegoSan Diego
1565Elo Rating 1589
2.75Attack 1.38
0.00Defense 0.60
14%Hit Rate 31%
13.1Shots per Game 10.5
5.3Shots on Target 4.8
4.1Corners per Game 5.4
1.9Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.01 goals
📈BTTS Trend73% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
San DiegoSan Diego
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Based on 4 historical meetings

Minnesota United FC 54%Draw 0%46% San Diego
3.27Avg Goals
73%BTTS Rate
73%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
0W2D3L
26/07/2026
Minnesota United FCVancouver Whitecaps
00
D
23/07/2026
Sporting Kansas CityMinnesota United FC
21
L
23/05/2026
Minnesota United FCReal Salt Lake
11
D
17/05/2026
New England RevolutionMinnesota United FC
21
L
14/05/2026
Minnesota United FCColorado Rapids
01
L
San DiegoSan Diego
2W1D2L
26/07/2026
San DiegoFC Dallas
10
W
23/07/2026
Colorado RapidsSan Diego
10
L
24/05/2026
San DiegoVancouver Whitecaps
24
L
17/05/2026
San DiegoFC Cincinnati
33
D
14/05/2026
San DiegoAustin
50
W

Referee Profile

T. Ford · 70 matches analysed

3.8Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
22.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 16% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656:23+3349WLWLW
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834:30+444DLWDD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645:36+944WWDWD
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649:42+744DWWWD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846:38+842DWWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843:29+1441DLWDD
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236:35+136DWDLW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034:42-833WDLWL
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247:48-132LLDWL
10San DiegoSan Diego26871144:44031DLLLW
11AustinAustin26791032:44-1230DWDDW
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake25851237:42-529LLLDL
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2478928:33-529DDDDD
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139:46-729LLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729:63-3418LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2556:2349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2634:3044
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City2645:3644
4FC DallasFC Dallas2649:4244
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2646:3842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2743:2941
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids2636:3536
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy2734:4233
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2647:4832
10San DiegoSan Diego2644:4431
11AustinAustin2632:4430
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake2537:4229
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2428:3329
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC2639:4629
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2529:6318
Promotion

Minnesota United FC vs San Diego Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Major League Soccer

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Key Factors for This Match

Minnesota United FC and San Diego have met 4 times recently, averaging 3.27 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.