Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF Prediction

Molde
3-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Aker Stadion, Molde·Stian Rovig Sletner, Norway 02/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+8.3%
Molde Rest
7 days
Sarpsborg 08 FF Rest
7 days

Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: result, form and history

Molde and Sarpsborg 08 FF drew 3-3 in the Eliteserien on 2 Aug 2026. Sarpsborg 08 FF had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 1 for Molde.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 4.1 goals, and both sides scored in 8 of them. Sarpsborg 08 FF tend to win more corners, 11.8 a game to 6.2 for Molde.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.62
X
23%4.20
2
23%4.63
Double Chance
1X
77%1.18
X2
46%2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.44
No
45%2.52
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.25 = 2.82
Over 1.5
82%1.12
Over 2.5
58%1.41
Over 3.5
33%2.07
Under 1.5
18%5.70
Under 2.5
42%2.70
Under 3.5
67%1.73
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.9 = 9.8
Over 8.5
62%1.27
Over 9.5
50%1.47
Over 10.5
39%1.80
Under 8.5
38%3.20
Under 9.5
50%2.45
Under 10.5
61%1.92
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 1.7 = 3
Over 3.5
35%-
Over 4.5
14%-
Under 3.5
65%-
Under 4.5
86%-

Match Events

22'S. Granaas
33'D. KarlsbakkAssist: C. Niyukuri
40'E. Hestad
51'A. Nibe
56'E. HestadAssist: E. Breivik
60'D. DagaAssist: E. Breivik
64'N. Williams INV. E. Halvorsen out
64'A. Nibe INO. Skarsem out
64'T. Kone-Doherty INJ. Abdullai out
64'C. Zady INO. Spiten-Nysaeter out
72'C. Niyukuri INE. Wichne out
74'M. Linnes INM. Lovik out
74'D. Daga INM. Enggaard out
74'S. Christiansen
81'S. Sorli INM. Opoku out
81'A. Sher INCamil Mmaee out
87'E. Hestad INS. Diop out
89'A. PosiadalaOG

Lineups

Molde
4-2-3-1Coach: Sindre Tjelmeland
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4-2-3-1Coach: Even Sel
Avg rating6.92
Avg rating6.63
Albert Posiadała5.922A. Posiadała
Martin Linnes6.925M. Linnes
Sivert Sira Hansen7.04S. Sira Hansen
Birk Risa7.733B. Risa
Samukelo Kabini6.326S. Kabini
Emil BreivikC7.310E. Breivik
Daniel Daga6.330D. Daga
Eirik Hestad8.35E. Hestad
Sondre Milian Granaas7.923S. Milian Granaas
Caleb Zady Sery6.711C. Zady Sery
Trent Kone Doherty6.924T. Kone Doherty
Leander Øy6.387L. Øy
Claus Niyukuri6.512C. Niyukuri
Bjorn Utvik7.04B. Utvik
Marius Lode6.62M. Lode
Anders Hiim5.921A. Hiim
Sander ChristiansenC6.38S. Christiansen
Aimar Sher6.96A. Sher
Sondre Sörli6.210S. Sörli
Andreas Hansen7.333A. Hansen
Noa Williams6.317N. Williams
Daniel Karlsbakk7.011D. Karlsbakk

Molde Substitutes

21Oskar Spiten-Nysæter64'for C. Zady7.2
9Jalal Abdullai64'for T. Kone-Doherty6.2
8Mathias Løvik74'for M. Linnes6.9
20Mads Enggård74'for D. Daga6.9
29Seydina Mohamed Diop87'for E. Hestad6.3
12Peder Hoel Lervik
52Daniel Bayam Sylte
28Viktor Bender
6Niklas Odegard

Sarpsborg 08 FF Substitutes

22Victor Emanuel Halvorsen64'for N. Williams6.6
77Olaus Skarsem64'for A. Nibe7.0
32Eirik Wichne72'for C. Niyukuri7.0
15Michael Opoku81'for S. Sorli6.5
7Camil Mmaee81'for A. Sher6.7
13Carljohan Eriksson
50Magnus Mevik Eidal
81Mathias Svenningsen-Grønn
18Bop Guèye

Match Stats

MoldeSarpsborg 08 FF
63%Ball Possession37%
5Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots10
9Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots1
14Fouls6
2Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves6
700Total Passes399
605Passes Accurate311
86%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

MoldeMolde
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
1738Elo Rating 1612
3.87Attack 2.21
1.69Defense 1.32
69%Hit Rate 81%
20.8Shots per Game 22.9
10.6Shots on Target 6.2
6.2Corners per Game 11.8
2.3Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+126 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MoldeMolde
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MoldeMolde5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF4Wins · 40%
4.1Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Eliteserien25/05/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFMolde
21
Eliteserien30/11/2025
Sarpsborg 08 FFMolde
10
Eliteserien30/03/2025
MoldeSarpsborg 08 FF
02
Eliteserien10/11/2024
Sarpsborg 08 FFMolde
22
Eliteserien20/05/2024
MoldeSarpsborg 08 FF
24
NM Cupen08/05/2024
MoldeSarpsborg 08 FF
42
Eliteserien26/11/2023
Sarpsborg 08 FFMolde
13
Eliteserien22/07/2023
MoldeSarpsborg 08 FF
51
NM Cupen12/07/2023
MoldeSarpsborg 08 FF
31
Eliteserien28/08/2022
MoldeSarpsborg 08 FF
41

Recent Form

MoldeMolde
4W1D5L
26/07/2026
KFUM OsloMolde
24
W
18/07/2026
MoldeBrann
12
L
11/07/2026
AalesundMolde
22
D
05/07/2026
RosenborgMolde
21
L
28/06/2026
MoldeBodo/Glimt
14
L
21/06/2026
MoldeKFUM Oslo
51
W
30/05/2026
MoldeSandefjord
21
W
25/05/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFMolde
21
L
16/05/2026
MoldeKristiansund BK
10
W
10/05/2026
TromsoMolde
20
L
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
5W1D4L
26/07/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFHam-Kam
10
W
18/07/2026
Kristiansund BKSarpsborg 08 FF
00
D
12/07/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFViking
10
W
29/05/2026
BrannSarpsborg 08 FF
12
W
25/05/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFMolde
21
W
16/05/2026
ValerengaSarpsborg 08 FF
32
L
09/05/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFFredrikstad
21
W
03/05/2026
LillestromSarpsborg 08 FF
40
L
26/04/2026
KFUM OsloSarpsborg 08 FF
10
L
19/04/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFTromso
01
L

Referee Profile

Stian Rovig Sletner106 matches

3.29Cards per match
3.25Yellow cards per match
0.04Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Stian Rovig Sletner3.29
Other referees3.50

3.29 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.50).

Cards come from 28 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking25192464:26+3859LWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt25192461:23+3859WLWWL
3MoldeMolde25134859:39+2043LWWDL
4RosenborgRosenborg25134849:31+1843WWWDW
5LillestromLillestrom25133936:33+342WWWDL
6TromsoTromso25117743:38+540LLDDW
7BrannBrann251021345:42+332WLLLW
8ValerengaValerenga25951143:46-332WWWLD
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF25871032:39-731LWLWL
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo25871032:41-931DDDWW
11FredrikstadFredrikstad25851229:44-1529LLLDD
12SandefjordSandefjord25761226:34-827WLLDW
13Ham-KamHam-Kam25761235:53-1827DLLWL
14AalesundAalesund25591143:57-1424LLWLW
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK25651429:51-2223WDLLL
16StartStart25541626:55-2919LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2564:2659
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2561:2359
3MoldeMolde2559:3943
4RosenborgRosenborg2549:3143
5LillestromLillestrom2536:3342
6TromsoTromso2543:3840
7BrannBrann2545:4232
8ValerengaValerenga2543:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2532:3931
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2532:4131
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2529:4429
12SandefjordSandefjord2526:3427
13Ham-KamHam-Kam2535:5327
14AalesundAalesund2543:5724
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2529:5123
16StartStart2526:5519
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Molde and Sarpsborg 08 FF in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Molde are 3rd and Sarpsborg 08 FF 9th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Molde 59-39, Sarpsborg 08 FF 32-39. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Molde have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Sarpsborg 08 FF have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.