Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG Prediction

Monarcas
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Leones Negros UDG
Estadio Morelos, Morelia 13/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.3 / 10
Monarcas Rest
5 days
Leones Negros UDG Rest
4 days

Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG: result, form and history

Monarcas beat Leones Negros UDG 1-0 in the Liga de Expansión MX on 13 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Leones Negros UDG have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game. Monarcas tend to win more corners, 8.0 a game to 4.0 for Leones Negros UDG.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.67
X
26%3.63
2
19%4.65
Double Chance
1X
81%1.17
X2
45%2.10
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Team Comparison

MonarcasMonarcas
Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG
1566Elo Rating 1571
1.46Attack 1.38
1.38Defense 2.03
46%Hit Rate 42%
17.0Shots per Game 9.0
6.0Shots on Target 2.0
8.0Corners per Game 4.0
2.0Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

MonarcasMonarcas
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MonarcasMonarcas3Wins · 30%
Draws00%
Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG7Wins · 70%
2.5Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga de Expansión MX20/09/2026
MonarcasLeones Negros UDG
20
Liga de Expansión MX05/04/2026
Leones Negros UDGMonarcas
20
Liga de Expansión MX27/10/2025
MonarcasLeones Negros UDG
23
Liga de Expansión MX11/05/2025
Leones Negros UDGMonarcas
20
Liga de Expansión MX04/05/2025
MonarcasLeones Negros UDG
20
Liga de Expansión MX21/03/2025
Leones Negros UDGMonarcas
21
Liga de Expansión MX06/10/2024
MonarcasLeones Negros UDG
02
Liga de Expansión MX05/04/2024
MonarcasLeones Negros UDG
02
Liga de Expansión MX19/11/2023
Leones Negros UDGMonarcas
20
Liga de Expansión MX16/11/2023
MonarcasLeones Negros UDG
21

Recent Form

MonarcasMonarcas
5W2D3L
Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG
5W2D3L
08/11/2026
Leones Negros UDGDurango
21
W
06/11/2026
DurangoLeones Negros UDG
10
L
01/11/2026
Leones Negros UDGTepatitlán
31
W
25/10/2026
Mineros de ZacatecasLeones Negros UDG
02
W
18/10/2026
Leones Negros UDGAlebrijes de Oaxaca
12
L
11/10/2026
Venados FCLeones Negros UDG
11
D
04/10/2026
Leones Negros UDGDorados
63
W
26/09/2026
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros UDG
12
W
20/09/2026
MonarcasLeones Negros UDG
20
L
13/09/2026
Leones Negros UDGCA La Paz
22
D

Bracket

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals

League Table

Liga de Expansión MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CA La PazCA La Paz1593336:18+1830WWDWL
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1593334:20+1430WWLDW
3MonarcasMonarcas1582526:19+726LWLDD
4PiratasPiratas1574427:15+1225DWWLW
5CancúnCancún1574428:18+1025WWDDW
6Venados FCVenados FC1574431:25+625DWDDW
7DurangoDurango1573521:15+624WLWDW
8TlaxcalaTlaxcala1564529:27+222WWDWD
9Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1571715:25-1022WWWWL
10Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1553726:26018LLLDL
11TapatíoTapatío1553725:28-318DLLWL
12Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1545621:24-317DLLLD
13DoradosDorados1544723:32-916LLWLL
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1543815:25-1015LLWDL
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1535717:24-714LLWWD
16TepatitlánTepatitlán15211211:44-337LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CA La PazCA La Paz1536:1830
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1534:2030
3MonarcasMonarcas1526:1926
4PiratasPiratas1527:1525
5CancúnCancún1528:1825
6Venados FCVenados FC1531:2525
7DurangoDurango1521:1524
8TlaxcalaTlaxcala1529:2722
9Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1515:2522
10Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1526:2618
11TapatíoTapatío1525:2818
12Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1521:2417
13DoradosDorados1523:3216
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1515:2515
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1517:2414
16TepatitlánTepatitlán1511:447
Promotion

About the Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG forecast

As a knockout tie in the Liga de Expansión MX, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Monarcas and Leones Negros UDG in the Liga de Expansión MX table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Leones Negros UDG are 2nd in the Liga de Expansión MX, 4 points ahead of Monarcas in 3rd. League goal record so far: Monarcas 26-19, Leones Negros UDG 34-20. The full standings are on the Liga de Expansión MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.