Montenegro vs Armenia Prediction

Montenegro
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Armenia
Gradski Stadion, Podgorica·Manfredas Lukjancukas 05/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.42
SignalSOLIDModel69%SurpriseMediumGap-1.1%
Montenegro Rest
3 days
Armenia Rest
3 days

Montenegro vs Armenia: the result in context

Montenegro and Armenia drew 0-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 5 Oct 2026. Montenegro had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 1 for Armenia.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 5.0 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
69%1.42
X
21%4.75
2
10%6.82
Double Chance
1X
90%1.11
X2
31%2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.79
No
51%1.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.77 + 0.73 = 2.50
Over 1.5
78%1.18
Over 2.5
56%1.65
Over 3.5
37%2.55
Under 1.5
22%4.33
Under 2.5
44%2.23
Under 3.5
63%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.6 + 3.5 = 10
Over 8.5
56%1.64
Over 9.5
47%2.04
Over 10.5
35%2.63
Under 8.5
44%2.14
Under 9.5
53%1.70
Under 10.5
65%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.2 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%1.90
Over 4.5
32%-
Under 3.5
48%1.85
Under 4.5
68%-

Match Events

45'viktor djukanovic INStevan Jovetić out
56'Gor Manvelyan INEduard Spertsyan out
57'Ognjen GasevicFoul
62'milan roganovic INMarko Vešović out
62'Marko Janković INStefan Loncar out
73'Erik Simonyan INArgishti·Petrosyan out
74'Artur Miranyan INArayik Eloyan out
79'Andrija Bulatović INM. Šimun out
80'karlen hovhannisyanFoul
85'Card upgrade confirmedStefan Loncar
86'Stefan LoncarSerious foul
88'Milutin Osmajić INDanilo Vukanić out
88'narek hovhannisyan INArtur Gharibyan out
90+1'Eduard SpertsyanFoul

Lineups

Montenegro
4-3-3Coach: Mirko Vucinić
Armenia
4-2-3-1Coach: E. Melikyan
Avg rating6.64
Avg rating6.70
B. Popović7.01B. Popović
M. Roganović6.82M. Roganović
A. Đurić7.44A. Đurić
S. Savić7.715S. Savić
O. Gašević6.316O. Gašević
M. Janković6.48M. Janković
A. Bulatović7.121A. Bulatović
Vasilije Adžić6.717V. Adžić
V. Đukanović6.719V. Đukanović
N. Krstović6.59N. Krstović
M. Osmajić6.220M. Osmajić
A. Beglaryan7.512A. Beglaryan
E. Piloyan7.13E. Piloyan
E. Simonyan6.922E. Simonyan
G. Harutyunyan7.24G. Harutyunyan
N. Tiknizyan6.521N. Tiknizyan
U. Iwu6.66U. Iwu
K. Hovhannisyan6.08K. Hovhannisyan
A. Serobyan6.99A. Serobyan
G. Manvelyan6.714G. Manvelyan
N. Hovhannisyan6.77N. Hovhannisyan
A. Miranyan6.318A. Miranyan

Montenegro Substitutes

10S. Jovetić45'for viktor djukanovic6.6
14J. Drešaj
22S. Lončar62'for Marko Janković86'5.6
13I. Nikić
12D. Petković
3R. Radunović
6S. Rubežić
7M. Vešović62'for milan roganovic6.5
5I. Vujačić
23D. Vuković
11M. Šimun79'for Andrija Bulatović6.6
18Danilo Vukanić88'replaced by Milutin Osmajić

Armenia Substitutes

16G. Matinyan
1A. Mishiev
19K. Muradyan
15K. Nalbandyan
5A. Petrosyan73'for Erik Simonyan6.6
10E. Spertsyan56'for Gor Manvelyan90+1'6.4
20D. Terteryan
11N. Grigoryan
23A. Eloyan74'for Artur Miranyan6.8
13K. Ayvazyan
2N. Aghasaryan
17A. Gharibyan88'for narek hovhannisyan6.4

Match Stats

MontenegroArmenia
64%Ball Possession36%
4Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
8Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal2
2Shots off Goal6
4Shots Inside Box3
4Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots1
15Fouls11
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
597Total Passes337
530Passes Accurate266
89%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

MontenegroMontenegro
ArmeniaArmenia
1447Elo Rating 1367
1.66Attack 0.86
1.79Defense 0.69
59%Hit Rate 17%
12.7Shots per Game 11.0
4.9Shots on Target 3.4
4.3Corners per Game 5.2
1.7Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MontenegroMontenegro
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ArmeniaArmenia
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

MontenegroMontenegro2Wins · 67%
Draws00%
ArmeniaArmenia1Wins · 33%
5.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored3 of 3
100%3+ goals3 of 3

Previous meetings

UEFA Nations League28/09/2026
ArmeniaMontenegro
23
World Cup - Qualification Europe10/06/2017
MontenegroArmenia
41
World Cup - Qualification Europe11/11/2016
ArmeniaMontenegro
32

Recent Form

MontenegroMontenegro
5W1D4L
02/10/2026
LatviaMontenegro
12
W
28/09/2026
ArmeniaMontenegro
23
W
25/09/2026
MontenegroCyprus
21
W
05/06/2026
SlovakiaMontenegro
22
D
01/06/2026
BulgariaMontenegro
01
W
17/11/2025
MontenegroCroatia
23
L
14/11/2025
GibraltarMontenegro
12
W
09/10/2025
Faroe IslandsMontenegro
40
L
08/09/2025
CroatiaMontenegro
40
L
05/09/2025
MontenegroCzech Republic
02
L
ArmeniaArmenia
2W2D6L
02/10/2026
CyprusArmenia
20
L
28/09/2026
ArmeniaMontenegro
23
L
25/09/2026
ArmeniaLatvia
20
W
09/06/2026
ArmeniaMoldova
11
D
06/06/2026
ArmeniaKazakhstan
11
D
16/11/2025
PortugalArmenia
91
L
13/11/2025
ArmeniaHungary
01
L
14/10/2025
Rep. Of IrelandArmenia
10
L
11/10/2025
HungaryArmenia
20
L
09/09/2025
ArmeniaRep. Of Ireland
21
W

Referee Profile

Manfredas Lukjancukas140 matches

4.19Cards per match
3.97Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Manfredas Lukjancukas4.19
Other referees4.38

4.19 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.38).

Cards come from 31 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MontenegroMontenegro43107:4+310DWWW
2CyprusCyprus42115:3+27WWDL
3ArmeniaArmenia41124:5-14DLLW
4LatviaLatvia40132:6-41LLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1MontenegroMontenegro47:410
2CyprusCyprus45:37
3ArmeniaArmenia44:54
4LatviaLatvia42:61
Promotion

About the Montenegro vs Armenia forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Montenegro and Armenia in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Montenegro are 1st in the UEFA Nations League, 6 points ahead of Armenia in 3rd. League goal record so far: Montenegro 7-4, Armenia 4-5. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Montenegro have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.